More about abortion
It has been pointed out that the wording of the GSS question, “abortion for any reason,” causes more people to answer “no.”
In a 2012 Gallup Poll asking if people would like to see Roe v. Wade overturned, 53% said “no” and only 29% said “yes.” The majority is comfortable with the status quo and doesn’t want change.
So overall, the strong anti-abortion position that Republicans are supposed to have in order to win the Republican Primary is a loser position in a national presidential election against a pro-choice Democrat.
Although there are commenters who like to insist that abortion isn’t really that important to who wins elections, I strongly disagree. The fact that there are a lot of single-issue voters on both sides of abortion is what prevents the Republican Party from dominating the white vote. Republicans should theoretically win in white states like Pennsylvania, but they don’t.
I personally am mystified by why white people put being anti-abortion over other more important issues. It’s not like anyone is being forced to have an abortion. I can see why SWPLs/bobos are strongly pro-choice, because an unplanned pregnancy could derail a young woman’s self-actualizing career and cause her to become a single mother with a crappy job and no chance of finding a good husband. Even SWPLs/bobos who are not children-bearing-age women feel strongly about this, because they don’t want this to happen to their sister or daughter. Fear of losing social class is a strong motivator to vote Democratic!
Blacks are actually the smarter voters, because even though they are more pro-life than whites, they nearly unanimously vote Democratic because Democrats support them on the issues that directly matter to blacks, or at least that’s what blacks believe.
The same is true for Hispanics who are the most pro-life demographic (because they are religious Catholics), but they vote Democratic and not Republican. One of the reasons why some pro-life Republicans want more Hispanic immigration is because they think it will tip the balance in favor of pro-life. Whenever they say that Hispanics are “natural conservatives,” they are talking about abortion. But it doesn’t happen. Hispanics vote Democratic despite being pro-life.