Lion of the Blogosphere

NY Times article about Republican primaries

Headline for the article says Party Rules to Streamline Race May Backfire for G.O.P. Implicit in the headline is the assumption that a quick win for Donald Trump is worse for the G.O.P than a race that is not “streamlined.”

“There is a bubble of delusion among Republicans and Democrats in Washington, D.C., with regard to their parties’ respective nominating processes,” Mr. Schmidt [a senior adviser to Senator John McCain of Arizona when he ran for president in 2008] said. “There is no magic date upon which the air will come out of the Donald Trump balloon. The notion that Donald Trump cannot be the Republican nominee is completely and totally wrong.”

The new rules make it more likely that if someone wins both Iowa and New Hampshire, he will quickly run away with the nomination. Trump is currently leading the polls in both of those states.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 20, 2015 at 4:24 pm

Posted in Politics

7 Responses

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  1. Ha! The establishment changed those rules so they wouldn’t have another situation like they had in 2012 when it took Romney months after New Hampshire to beat back the competition. If Trump pulls out a when both in Iowa and New Hampshire, I expect to see some establishment dirty tricks to change the rules again mid primary.

    Mike Street Station

    September 20, 2015 at 4:47 pm

  2. I love the endless concern trolling towards the GOP. As if the Times, CNN, NPR, etc want the Republicans to actually be a winning party. It’s obviously bs. I don’t recall anything along the same lines worrying about how the Democrats might go too left.

    Regardless. Any GOP that satisfies the NYTimes is doomed. And that’s fine with me.


    September 20, 2015 at 7:19 pm

  3. “It’s going to go on for a while,” said Karl Rove, a Republican strategist

    There’s the money quote from Mr. Establishment himself. It’s 100% aspirational –he wants to draw out *this* particular race because his guy isn’t winning. You can bet that if Jeb were winning, he’d be saying this is a great system for finding the nominee now let’s all get behind him. He knows that Bush will now have to fight to pick up every delegate and simultaneously work to get similar candidates out of the race if Trump racks up some early primary wins and starts to consolidate his momentum.

    It’s rather sordid that the NY Times is seemingly conspiring with the GOP Establishment to create the narrative that Trump is somehow undeserving of the nomination if he wins the early races and that he’s spoiling their eventual nominee’s chances merely by running. No wonder Republicans have come to hate their own party and its controllers.


    September 20, 2015 at 7:46 pm

  4. I strongly disagree with allowing the same states to go first every time. I would rather it be random and no state should be among the first five if it has been among the first five in any of the last five years.

    not too late

    September 20, 2015 at 8:20 pm

    • Iowa and New Hampshire are in no way representative states. Obviously they should come up with a better system that either has more representative states go first or, as you suggest, make it random for each Presidential election.

      Mike Street Station

      September 20, 2015 at 10:19 pm

  5. “I strongly disagree with allowing the same states to go first every time.”

    There are two ways of doing this correctly.

    The first is to treat the presidential nomination the same as the nomination of a candidate for either House of Congress, Governor, Mayor, or any other office. Hold a nationwide primary, allow all members of the party to vote, winner is the nominee. Maybe hold some sort of runoff if no candidate gets above a certain percentage.

    The second is to hold conventions more often than a few months before the presidential election -this was once done in the US, and is the norm in other countries- and treat them as more than advertising for the already selected candidate (in their current state their federal subsidies should be withdrawn, as they give the Democrats and Republicans a big advantage over current and possible future alternative parties). Hold a convention every year. State parties can select their delegates any way they want and whenever they want, as long as they select new delegates every two to four years.

    The convention held the year a new president takes office selects a presumptive nominee for the next presidential election. This person could act as sort of a leader of the opposition, which the country could use anyway. During the presidential election year, the party members are polled about whether they still want to continue with this candidate for the actual presidential election. If the party members don’t back him/ her, the convention that year picks a new candidate. Do the same with the vice presidential candidates.

    Either would work. The current system is inane. Its the political equivalent of the pre-BCS college championship system.


    September 21, 2015 at 12:07 am

  6. Why does anybody ever talk to Steve Schmidt about anything.

    He, more than anybody else, lost that election for McCain (1) repeatedly threatening to quit if McCain ever said anything critical of Obama, (2) recommending Sarah Palin, and then (3) Bashing Sarah Palin before the election.

    Guy is just a fuckup loser.


    September 22, 2015 at 11:35 am

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