Lion of the Blogosphere

Has Scott Walker been reading my blog?

Yesterday I wrote “I think it’s time for [Scott Walker] to drop out.”

Today, he announces that he’s dropping out.

* * *

In January 2014 I wrote that Scott Walker would not win the nomination.

He reminds me of Tim Pawlenty. Pawlenty was also a governor from a northern-midwest state who was well liked and respected by Republican-Party insiders and who could supposedly attract the votes of working-class white Democrats, but was social-conservative enough to be liked by the Christian Right.

But like Pawlenty, Scott Walker is unknown outside of hardcore politics circles. The history of Republican nominations shows that someone who is well known or even “next-in-line” always wins the Republican nomination. Pawlenty’s presidential campaign never even took off at all because he was just too boring. I once made the mistake of predicting that Pawlenty would win the Republican nomination, and I’ve learned from my mistakes.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 21, 2015 at 5:11 pm

Posted in Politics

19 Responses

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  1. He should have waited until the battle royale died down a bit. Walker had the most plausible appeal to the base, and if Trump wasn’t causing such chaos he would be close to the top.

    Maybe this means it will come down to Trump and Jeb, in which case Trump will walk away with it.


    September 21, 2015 at 5:31 pm

    • Thras, I’m with you on all of his except that I don’t think Trump will walk away with it. But wasn’t Walker leading before Trump entered the race? McCain had been leading for months, and when the Giuliani spell ran dry, McCain emerged the nominee early on.

      I am devastated that Walker dropped out and hope that maybe later on he’ll reenter the race (wishful thinking on my part?) But if we end up with someone who may be unelectable (Jeb, Cruz, Huckabee, etic) the base will have no one to blame but themselves for their foolish insistence on treating a presidential race as a form of entertainment. Commentators haven’t explained why we have to take today’s polls so literally when the FIRST voting is still over 3 months away. What would have happened if John McCain had dropped out in late September of 2007? And Walker has advantaged that McCain didn’t have then. He, Walker, hasn’t alienated any part of the Christian Right, he’s a relatively fresh face on the scene, and he isn’t too old to be president.


      September 21, 2015 at 9:03 pm

      • Giuliani’s poll numbers had to fall. It was never realistic to think that he could would do well with voters who don’t live in the NYC metro area. Trump, on the other hand, is not a regional candidate.


        September 22, 2015 at 12:44 am

  2. He’s too prole to read your blog.


    September 21, 2015 at 5:39 pm

  3. Except that in March of 2015 (much more recent prediction) you predicted that he would challenge Bush for the nomination. As well as a number of other predictions that keep moving around about who will win.

    2/15/13 Christee to be the nominee

    1/10/14 No one but Bush can win the nomination –

    1/13/14 Huckabee will win –

    3/10/15 Walker supplants Huckabee and will now challenge Bush for the nomination –

    You have a lot of bases covered there. Pretty easy to get some predictions right when you make so many different ones.


    September 21, 2015 at 5:44 pm

    • Every prediction seems like it made sense at the time I made it.

      The 2/5/13 prediction didn’t anticipate “Bridgegate.”

      The “no one but Bush” prediction predicted that Christie was not going to win (true) and the main prediction has not yet been disproven.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      September 21, 2015 at 6:56 pm

    • Glad someone pointed this out. I remembered but was too lazy to dig up all the links.

      Do you still think Jeb is the smart Bush? I would have said yes prior to a year ago but this campaign has made me wonder. George W. won two elections, including one against the VP of a sitting president. Yes, a lot of his policies seem asinine in retrospect but for being the favorite of the Republican establishment, Jeb’s campaign has been an absolute train wreck, and I can’t say I feel like he’d do a much better job than his older brother.

      Jokah Macpherson

      September 21, 2015 at 9:52 pm

  4. A campaign runs on money and he probably wasn’t getting any. I was all prepared to support him in the beginning, but the more I saw of him the more he reminded me of just another glib College Republican hustler (like Lee Atwater or Karl Rove) who is already in the right place. No use promoting him beyond his abilities.

    Mrs Stitch

    September 21, 2015 at 5:48 pm

  5. Remember that short story written about T-paw? That was great. Where can we find that? Anybody know?


    September 21, 2015 at 6:06 pm

    • Isn’t it funny? Lion and I both thought T-Paw would be the nominee in 2008. But Pawlenty didn’t have much charisma. And there was something youthful and a bit dorky about his appearance. I actually found him a little sexy (shades of Gilbert Gottfried?) but there was definitely something about him that looked “school boyish” rather than presidential. I don’t think Walker has this same problem with his appearance, but Walker comes across as a little too short to be president.


      September 21, 2015 at 9:09 pm


      I still say this is Steve Sailer’s weirdest post of all time; even weirded than some of the boring golf course posts.

      Jokah Macpherson

      September 21, 2015 at 10:23 pm

  6. Do you think Carson’s Muslim statement will raise his numbers?


    September 21, 2015 at 6:39 pm

  7. Walker looks like such a dork on his Harley:

    I think he mentioned something about being into riding Harleys at the last debate. Something about his Secret Service code name being related to motorcycles or Harleys because he likes to ride Harleys. He looks like a dorky high school math teacher trying to look cool and failing miserably.


    September 21, 2015 at 6:42 pm

  8. Someone should warn Ann Coulter that Ivanka Trump is Jewish before she makes more of what could, at best, be called poorly thought out comments about Jews and Israel, .

    One text message from Ivanka to Donald Trump is all it will take for Coulter to lose all connections with the Trump campaign:

    Donald Trump on Jewish Daughter Ivanka: ‘This Wasn’t in the Plan But I’m Very Glad it Happened’ (VIDEO)

    February 6, 2015

    “I want to thank my Jewish daughter. I have a Jewish daughter,” he said at the event, which drew a star-studded crowd of 500 to the Capitale on Bowery. “This wasn’t in the plan but I’m very glad it happened.”

    Trump’s daughter, Ivanka Trump, converted to Judaism in 2009 before marrying real estate developer Jared Kushner, whom Donald described on stage as a “spectacular guy.” In presenting the award to her father, Ivanka described him as someone who has firm convictions and “a man who uses his platform and uses his voice to effectuate change.”

    “He is fundamentally somebody who believes that it’s his civic duty to speak his mind and often say what’s not popular and what others are afraid to,” she added. “He has used his voice often and loudly in support of Israel and in support of developments within Israel, in support of security for Israel and in support of the idea of Israeli democracy.”

    On stage, Trump concluded his acceptance speech by asserting his strong support for the Jewish state. He told the audience, “We love Israel. We will fight for Israel 100 percent, 1,000 percent. It will be there forever.”

    Ivanka Trump happy to be Jewish
    Daughter of billionaire Donald Trump talks to Vogue magazine about how converting has blessed her family life

    March 1, 2015

    In an interview with Vogue magazine published last week, the daughter of business mogul Donald Trump revealed that she and her husband, Jared Kushner, keep Shabbat, including not using their telephones on the day of rest.

    “We observe the Sabbath,” Trump said. “From Friday to Saturday we don’t do anything but hang out with one another. We don’t make phone calls.”

    The subject of her conversion, which Trump, 33, admits she has preferred to keep out of the public eye, came up during a meeting with reporter Jonathan Van Meter in the Trump SoHo hotel. As waiters brought over food, Trump noted, “We don’t eat meat… or, well, we keep kosher.”

    The mother of two then went on to speak more about life after her 2009 conversion, a move she made because husband Kushner’s family are Orthodox Jews, but has since been kept discreet. Trump’s father, Donald, is a Presbyterian Christian.

    “I just feel like it’s such an intimate thing for us,” said Trump, who is reported to have taken the moniker “Yael,” a popular Jewish women’s name. Yael was an Old Testament woman who, according to the story from Judges 5:24-27, killed enemy general Sisera by driving a tent peg though his head, enabling the Israelites to gain victory in a war.

    The Undiscovered Jew

    September 21, 2015 at 7:12 pm

    • What did she say about Israel and Jews?


      September 21, 2015 at 10:55 pm

    • This*.

      Coulter later claimed she was referring to how Republicans pander too much to Evangelicals. That of course doesn’t really help her position; is she saying Republicans shouldn’t try to win Evangelical votes in a primary?

      But even if that really was what she meant, I hope Coulter wishes Ivanka a happy YomKippur and in the future refrains from saying anything that Yael might interpret as an insult to her people and her religion. It would be a shame if the Jewish Trump has to bring further infractions to Donald’s attention.


      The Undiscovered Jew

      September 22, 2015 at 9:15 pm

  9. Scott Walker is a boring guy. However, pound for pound he was the best political fighter up on that stage. People don’t realize how much he accomplished for conservative causes in his state, often against all odds. I really respect him for that and wish him well.


    September 21, 2015 at 7:40 pm

  10. I have indeed been reading, though the decision was my own. Godspeed, my friend, and Go Badgers!

    Scott Walker

    September 21, 2015 at 8:54 pm

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