The Drudge poll, as usually, shows a huge lead for Trump being the winner of the debate, but I think that just reflects Drudge’s readership, which is anti-establishment right-wing but not evangelical Christian.
Carson had momentum going into this debate, has this debate changed anything to stop that? I don’t think so. I think Carson did less bad this debate than in previous debates. He seemed a lot less nervous, and slightly more presidential. Trump also seemed more presidential.
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Betting markets have finally given up on Jeb Bush, after insisting for months that he was the odds on favorite despite pathetic poll numbers. Now they have Rubio in first place and Trump in second place. But I don’t see how Rubio and Bush squabbling with each other during the debate is going to help him.
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I think it’s time for Christie and Huckabee to drop out. I don’t think either of them had a bad debate performance, but nothing happened that will suddenly propel them higher in the polls. Evangelicals who supported Huckabee in 2008 now support Carson, and I don’t see that changing.