Lion of the Blogosphere

There’s another debate tonight!

After the last debate, I declared that “Carson is the big winner of this debate,” primarily because he I thought that he sucked less than he did in previous debates, or maybe because I was just getting used to him.

The latest poll shows that Carson still leads Trump 24% to 23%, so maybe I was right about that. Rubio is in third place with 12%.

At this time in 2007, Giuliani was still in first place. Giuliani’s support began to collapse in mid-December. Some blame the Kerik scandal. Will someone be able to manufacture a scandal about both Carson and Trump so that Rubio can win the nomination? Perhaps the Carson scandal is already out there; Carson told a lot of whoppers about his childhood that appear to be fabrications.

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Also, after last debate, I wrote that “I think it’s time for Christie and Huckabee to drop out.” Someone at Fox Business News must have been reading my blog, because they removed those two from this debate. Thanks for listening, guys.

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In betting markets, Rubio is now the strong but not odds-on favorite. The wisdom of the crowd is that Trump and Carson will both magically disappear and make way for the “real” politician to emerge as the winner.

This has to happen pretty soon. If Carson wins Iowa and Trump wins New Hampshire, which would happen if the elections were today, it’s hard to imagine that Rubio would then come from behind and win all of the other states.

It’s notable that the wise crowd has finally figured out that Bush isn’t going to win, after they said he was for many months despite his negligible poll numbers. How long will it take the wise crowd to crown Trump, assuming Trump doesn’t have that predicted collapse in his support that’s supposed to happen sometime during the next two months?

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

November 10, 2015 at 8:53 am

Posted in Politics

15 Responses

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  1. How many debates have there been now? And is there anything left to say? What is the point of having more debates? I say no more debates until people have actually voted and then reduce the number of debate participants to two or three at the most.


    November 10, 2015 at 10:02 am

    • You can never have too many debates. No matter how many they have, they will never reach the point where they don’t need more in as many different forums hosted by as many different kinds of moderators as possible.

      Without debates, whoever can afford the most advertising & whoever gets the best media coverage wins. Debates are a rare opportunity for politicians to talk directly to voters though unfortunately the media still spins it later for those who don’t watch.

      There should be laws forcing all the networks to carry debates & all bloggers to blog about the debates police should do random house calls & fine people who don’t have the TV on tuned to the debates


      November 10, 2015 at 12:58 pm

    • More debates signify more circle jerking of problems facing average Meriproles.

      Lion’s readers should know that politicos love creating problems via big government and social programs.


      November 10, 2015 at 2:48 pm

  2. Apparently Jeb!’s team is about to unleash a flurry of anti-Rubio ads over the coming weeks. This will make him look small, and will backfire badly like everything else he does. Rest assured he will suck big time tonight at the debate. His “no more Mr. Nice Guy” routine looks inauthentic and falls flat. He will be officially kaput by the end of the year.

    And let’s face it…Ben Carson is nuts. When he evaporates his support will go to Ted Cruz who is about to surge with plenty of money and a good ground game. At that point Trump and Cruz should form an alliance. In my opinion a Trump/Cruz ticket would be incredibly strong. Once the establishment officially dumps Jeb! they will want a Rubio/Fiorina or Rubio/Haley ticket. However, if Trump and Cruz can stick together i think they would be unstoppable.


    November 10, 2015 at 10:05 am

    • I think Trump and Cruz already have an alliance. They’ve never attacked each other and I think they both feel they can get the other’s support when one of them drops out.

      Mike Street Station

      November 10, 2015 at 3:16 pm

  3. Polls with high sample sizes and low margins of error all show Trump with comfortable double digit leads, state and nationally. Including Iowa.

    Polls with low sample sizes, massive re-weightings and high margins of error show Carson slightly ahead, tied with or nipping at Trump’s heals. This is not a coincidence. Also not a coincidence that it’s these polls that get all the reportage.

    Also, the polls seem to have stopped asking about specific issues such as the economy, immigration, military. Trump had been consistently dominating the issues questions in every poll.

    Andrew E.

    November 10, 2015 at 10:21 am

    • Yes, that’s pretty whacky.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      November 10, 2015 at 11:49 am

    • What an idiot. Everyone knows the pyramids were built by the residents of Atlantis, with the help of ancient astronauts, right before an extra-solar planet caused a pole shift and brought on the last ice age.


      November 10, 2015 at 1:24 pm

      • Dude, you are so totally wrong. The pyramids were build as landing pads for Goa’uld motherships.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        November 10, 2015 at 1:33 pm

  4. I might be a prime example of losing interest in a candidate. (This time) When Trump blew onto the scene with his -mexicans suck- message (they do suck) I was wowed to the point of paying close attention. Wow, someone acknowledges what most working stiffs believe but can’t say because of racist! The shiny-new factor and telling people what they want to hear wears off after awhile. That’s human, we lose interest, we just do.

    I’d still rather see this guy as president rather than anyone else, but I don’t feel the need to pay attention to the same message anymore. Hopefully he can out manuver any slimes!

    ADD voter

    November 10, 2015 at 11:47 am

    • People are losing interest because there’s no actual depth to his message, and he’s getting over-exposed.


      November 10, 2015 at 1:19 pm

  5. Looks like if Jeb! is going down, he is going to take Rubio with him:

    Jeb Bush Allies Threaten Wave of Harsh Attacks on Marco Rubio, an Ex-Mentee


    November 10, 2015 at 12:46 pm

    • That’s the best possible scenario, the two biggest establishment candidates take each other out.

      Mike Street Station

      November 10, 2015 at 3:17 pm

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