Lion of the Blogosphere

Is Trump surging in the polls?

Reuters poll released yesterday has 42% of likely Republican primary voters supporting Trump.

However, the poll was based on a sample of only 257 likely voters. I would really like to see this result repeated in another poll to be sure it really happened.

* * *

Perhaps the Paris terrorist attacks will help Trump. He did say that we shouldn’t let in Syrian refugees because they could be from ISIS, and we now know that one of the terrorists was a Syrian “refugee.”

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

November 14, 2015 at 3:41 pm

Posted in Politics

13 Responses

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  1. Non-white immigration (invasion) is THE issue of our times and perhaps all time. It’s not like this wasn’t all predicted and warned against a long time ago. See Stoddard, Burnham, Madison, Raspail, etc.

    It is the unspoken truth in many people’s hearts who cannot speak it because the rulers won’t allow it. And you don’t have to be a pure nordic to not want your country and the world overflowing with R-selected peoples.


    November 14, 2015 at 5:13 pm

    • You should give full names if you want people to know who you’re referncing

      Lloyd Llewellyn

      November 14, 2015 at 7:26 pm

      • Blacks, hispanics, subcontinentals and muslims.


        November 15, 2015 at 6:24 pm

  2. Angela Merkel, a terrorist, should be held in Guantanamo Bay without trial.


    November 14, 2015 at 5:58 pm

    • Night of the Long Knives Part Two…coming soon to a theater near you.


      November 14, 2015 at 6:58 pm

  3. Yes Trump is surging.

    Btw, before Paris he was taking some flak for his takedown of Ben Carson the night before in Iowa. Trump clearly doesn’t believe Gentle Ben’s story. If you haven’t already, watch the 10-minute segment at the following link beginning at 1:55:00. It is mesmerizing. The audience is mostly silent but completely entranced and hanging on his words.

    There’s a key moment in the middle where he actually talks about the Christians letting the government take away Christianity. A remarkable moment of leadership, especially with Paris happening less than 24 hours later.

    Andrew E.

    November 14, 2015 at 8:24 pm

  4. Reuters is reporting that a second “Syrian refugee,” was one of the terrorists.

    Apparently they entered France via Belgium, which has a bigger per-capita jihadist problem than France.


    November 14, 2015 at 9:09 pm

  5. I am totally in the tank for Trump and I simply do not believe these online polls. The traditional polls may be off, but not my this much.

    I think the RCP rolling average of ~25 percent for Trump is basically accurate, maybe underestimating him by 3 or 4 points, but certainly not by 15.

    The key is going to be winning Iowa which unfortunately is loaded with Evangelicals who love Carson. Hopefully Cruz and Rubio can take enough of Carson’s support to give the victory to Trump. If we win Iowa, NH is a lock and SC would become a lock as well. After 3 straight victory Florida would likewise be in the bag. If Trump runs the table in those first 4 states, would there be any way of stopping him?

    Of course, even if Trump doesn’t win the nom he has already accomplished a lot. He has:
    1. Knocked Scott Walker and Rick Perry out of the race.
    2. Damaged Jeb Bush so completely that Jeb, the establishment favorite, is already a non viable candidate months before the first primary despite a massive war chest.
    3. Made immigration an national issue, which has led to…
    4. Huckabee, Paul and Cruz changing their position from open borders to immigration restriction and forced Rubio and Christie to pay lip service to border control.
    5. Busted the smug liberal delusion that the GOPe will always bail them out by forcing pro immigrant policies on the base. Read DailyKos, they are either panicking or in denial. The one’s in denial are particularly funny as some of them are still insisting Jeb will win the nom.

    Otis the Sweaty

    November 15, 2015 at 12:04 pm

    • I’m pretty sure the poll in question was a traditional telephone poll. I don’t trust it because the sample size is too low. I’d call it only 35% for Donald not 42%. Still a very good showing.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      November 15, 2015 at 1:02 pm

      • It appears that the Lions of the Blogosphere is a real thing.

        The Lion who graduated from UPenn and hails from Arizona, is MIA!


        November 15, 2015 at 2:33 pm

  6. The system is so absurdly anti-democratic. It’s preposterous that Trump is “winning” even though the majority of Republican voters don’t want him. We need a better electoral and/or primary system.


    November 15, 2015 at 8:21 pm

    • “It’s preposterous that Trump is “winning” even though the majority of Republican voters don’t want him.”

      This is not true, except to the extent that it’s often the case that when there are more than two candidates in a race, no one candidate has more than 50% of the votes.

      But the majority of Republican voters have a favorable opinion of Trump.

      It’s also not true that Trump has been proclaimed as “winning.” In fact, the mainstream opinion is that Trump will somehow magically fall out of favor and Rubio will win. Now that’s anti-Democratic that a guy polling 10% is the presumed winner.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      November 15, 2015 at 8:31 pm

  7. Reuters/Ipsos is an online poll. That is day 1 stuff, Lion.

    Basically if the poll isn’t published by RCPs tracker, it isn’t legitimate.

    People on the ground are saying that Carson is extremely popular in Iowa, although not as popular as Trump. The Carson support is very real and he has an Obama like personality cult where his supporters don’t even care about his positions, it is like a religious thing for them. Trump’s attacks against Carson might hurt Trump, but they won’t hurt Carson at all. Going negative against Carson simply doesn’t work and I expect Trump to layoff Carson from here on out.

    Supposedly Trump has built a massive ground game in Iowa with tons of volunteers, but who knows how well things will actually turn out. Howard Deen had much more political experience than Trump and a better team around him and they still completely blew the Iowa caucuses. Trump has got to win Iowa and Carson stands a good chance of messing everything up.

    Otis the Sweaty

    November 15, 2015 at 8:45 pm

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