Released yesterday. Like other polls, shows that Trump has pulled ahead of Carson, 28% to 18%. Unlike other polls, shows that Cruz has moved up to 18% to tie with Carson for second place.
I think it’s significant that Trump’s support with women increased from 22 to 27% since the previous NBC/SurveyMonkey poll. In a match between Trump and Cruz, women prefer Trump.
Party elites are still counting on Rubio to beat back Trump. Will they turn to Cruz if he stays ahead of Rubio? They prefer Rubio to Cruz, but prefer anyone to Trump.