Lion of the Blogosphere

Trump at 41% nationwide. Yuuge!!

Monmouth University poll. Most significantly, this was a live-interview poll, the kind on which Trump usually does poorly.

This is a higher showing in a national poll than any Republican candidate had, before actual voting, in 2008 or 2012. And on top of that, it’s probably underestimating his true support by a few percentage points because some people are afraid to tell the pollster they support Trump because it’s politically incorrect.

When will the Republican establishment realize that Trump is going to be the nominee, and start supporting him?

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

December 14, 2015 at 6:18 pm

Posted in Politics

39 Responses

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  1. Everyone likes Trump. Even my butt naked Puerto Rican likes him. I think it can be a real revolution in the making. What Trump needs is not to give ANY positions of authority to anyone who is tainted by an association with the establishment. He needs to hire people like me, who haven’t voted in over 20 years, are dedicated to his agenda and will make sure that Trump himself doesn’t not fall into liberal heresy once he is the president.


    December 14, 2015 at 6:30 pm

    • I second that Trump should hire Yakov if he is elected President (I still think the chances of his being elected are close to zero, by the way).

      The federal bureaucracy is really large, and that is without taking into account a possible “deep state”. The President, who I think is increasingly a puppet, has to make thousands of appointments and can’t possibly supervise everything. The temptation is to pick people who already are experienced in the higher levels of the federal bureaucracy, Wall Street, corporate boardrooms, and prestigious universities in some cases.

      For a reform administration, this is basically a mistake. The rot is set in too much and the permanent government would basically be given a license to continue. Its better to pick basically nobodies who you can trust and are dependent on you for their positions. They should not necessarily be campaign donors or their relatives. Renaissance kings used this tactic to bring their feudal aristocracies under control.

      There is a danger in this method of picking people who will be over their heads (Michael Brown, for example), but I think the situation has gotten bad enough for this. At the highest levels, you can have a few establishment types who you can work with for credibility. I think the heads of the federal departments are increasingly figureheads as well.


      December 15, 2015 at 11:01 am

      • I second that Trump should hire Yakov if he is elected President (I still think the chances of his being elected are close to zero, by the way).

        That’s two reasons why your judgment can’t be trusted.


        December 15, 2015 at 12:08 pm

  2. “When will the Republican establishment realize that Trump is going to be the nominee, and start supporting him?”


    Maybe never. The GOP Beltway powermongers aren’t that different from their Democrat counterparts – they all favor massive immigration and giving more power to the elites (i.e., themselves). If they support Trump, they renounce their core positions. But if they resist him and he wins anyway, they will be left out in the cold. And if he loses, there may never be another Republican president. Screw them all. Go Trump!

    Black Death

    December 14, 2015 at 7:10 pm

  3. When will the Republican establishment realize that Trump is going to be the nominee, and start supporting him?

    Trump is anathema to the establishment because he has been critical of free trade, globalism, open borders and the excesses of multiculturalism. He is also a nationalist and populist. In foreign affairs, he appears to be a realist. All of these things frighten the elites and make Trump extremely undesirable from their perspective. He is espousing dangerous ideas and is not playing by the rules. No one in the donor class owns him. The mainstream media, the Democrats and the Republican establishment are going to do everything in their power to deny him the nomination. The main thing that is terrifying the leftists and the Republican elites is that Trump has unleashed a right-wing populist backlash that is scaring the crap out of them.

    Lewis Medlock

    December 14, 2015 at 7:42 pm

  4. Iowa is the only problem point at this point. And in even there he’s at worst only a few points behind Cruz with two months left before the caucuses. In every other primary state, especially the Southern primaries, he’s breaking into the mid 30s or low 40s.

    The Undiscovered Jew

    December 14, 2015 at 7:55 pm

    • I’m not too worried: the more face time people get with Cruz the less they like him. The opposite is true for Trump.

      F G

      December 15, 2015 at 6:48 am

  5. I’m wondering why, if Trump is going to be the nominee, you aren’t seeing him with a significant lead in Iowa. Yes, Iowa doesn’t usually go with the eventual nominee – it’s a haven for dedicated socons (like Maryk!) But then socons are usually nationalist. And if this is such a unique election, and Trump is really, how to put it? – the great white hope, then shouldn’t Iowa caucus goers be behaving more like the rest of the conservative movement? I’m wondering why the Iowa conservatives wouldn’t be rallying around Trump. What would make them so different from conservatives in other states?


    December 14, 2015 at 8:16 pm

    • Trump will win Iowa comfortably. Then Otis will have to move from the stupid Christians to the stupid Jews (democrats) who refuse to vote for Trump and vote Hillary instead.

      Andrew E.

      December 14, 2015 at 10:22 pm

      • Jews are a tiny minority, and I predict that Trump will do better among Jews than any president since Reagan.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        December 14, 2015 at 10:28 pm

      • “Trump will win Iowa comfortably”

        I would be surprised if Trump won Iowa. The caucus system, where you have to spend hours waiting around to vote, is different from a normal primary and may be intimidating to Trump voters, many of whom would be first time caucus voters.

        Mike Street Station

        December 15, 2015 at 10:28 am

      • Don’t underestimate Trump’s ground operation.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        December 15, 2015 at 10:53 am

    • But then socons are usually nationalist

      Wanting millions more blacks and hispanics is nationalist?

      The Iowa conservatives don’t like Trump for several reasons:
      1. Trump isn’t very conservative. He is the most left wing guy in the field on all issues besides immigration.
      2. Immigration doesn’t effect Iowa as badly as it does the rest of the country, thus Iowa whites in general are less xenophobic
      3. Iowans are big into Christian identity politics, hence their love for Carson, Santorum and Huckabee. Trump cannot play that game, Cruz can.
      4. Iowans are friendly midwesterners who like good manners and don’t like aggressive New York jerks like Trump

      I think Cruz could be a real threat to Trump. He is a MUCH better advocate for immigration restrictionism than Trump is and is also able to focus on the issues, whereas Trump just makes everything about him. Trump didn’t deflate Carson, Carson deflated himself and Cruz is not going to do that. If Trump, who is a terrible debater, tries to attack Cruz in the debates, Cruz will pick him apart.

      I’m still going to support Trump till the bitter end, but I could live with Cruz. Especially if he put Ivanka on the ticket.

      And as for the general, I don’t care. I just want a Republican to campaign on white identity politics and anti immigrant sentiment. And if we lose this time, so what? We are building a movement that will be able to take over as America continues to fall apart.

      Otis the Sweaty

      December 15, 2015 at 12:41 am

      • Cruz is tripling down on the normal Republican positions, except that he recently started copying some of Trumps immigration proposals. He’s not a populist like Trump. He won’t win the non-evangelical blue-collar white vote like Trump.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        December 15, 2015 at 8:47 am

  6. Lion, please come down to earth. The establishment will never accept Trump. He will not be the nominee Lion, please Just come down to earth. The establishment will never accept him. He will not be the nominee. It goes state by state. National poles mean nothing.


    December 14, 2015 at 9:00 pm

  7. So what. Trump will lose to Hillary in the general election.

    Establishment Pundit

    December 14, 2015 at 9:33 pm

    • No. If it actually came down to Trump vs Hilary in a general election, I am 99% sure Trump would win.

      But he’s not going to get the nomination. Everybody keeps whining about the Republican establishment with a capital E. Newsflash: it’s their party. Trump is attempting a hostile takeover and it will fail. The Republican establishment is not a rotten corporation or a failing housing project. It’s a very old, very established political party. It’s a party, not a democracy. And Trump is an outsider who will not succeed. The only way for nationalist positions to be effected, will be for nationalists to create their own political party. Good luck with that.


      December 15, 2015 at 8:56 am

    • Trump will crush Hillary by drawing in Democrats and Independents who don’t like traditional Republicans but also hate Hillary and the Clinton machine.


      December 15, 2015 at 12:02 pm

  8. Not for a while yet. Rush Limbaugh just criticized Trump for attacking Cruz from the left, which has restored hopes in the establishment that Trump’s support will fragment.


    December 14, 2015 at 9:48 pm

    • Rush Limbaugh is a fat drug addict, and is a tool of the establishment.


      December 15, 2015 at 1:10 am

      • LOL, so true!


        December 15, 2015 at 8:57 am

      • Nah, I don’t think so. If Limbaugh was a tool of the Establishment, he could have spoken out against Trump a long time ago. But instead, he seemed to support Trump, or at least praise the way Trump understands the media. I think Limbaugh was sincere. He likes Trump, but he didn’t like the fact that Trump attacked another conservative Republican from the left. It’s a fair criticism.

        Great Again

        December 15, 2015 at 10:05 am

      • That’s really naive. Limbaugh is very canny, he didn’t attack Trump outright because he thought that there might be a chance that Trump wd. win the nomination. Now that the establishment is coalescing around Cruz, you can see him attack trump more and more.


        December 15, 2015 at 11:09 am

    • Cruz is insane. First, he is not even qualified to be President because he is a Cuban Canadian. His birth certificate issue is the same as Obama’s. Second, Iowa always goes for the Evangelical guy. If Cruz wins Iowa it will be no different than Santorum winning Iowa in 2012. Third, Cruz believes that he is an “Anointed King”. Cruz and his religious followers believe that he will take control of society and transfer the wealth to the righteous gentile believers. It is called the “Seven Mountain Mandate”. Fourth, Ted Cruz’s wife worked for Goldman Sachs. Cruz won’t be a banker shill! Promise! The guy is a joke. Trump is the only rational candidate to vote for and I am not a fan of Trump. Trump loves the police state.


      December 15, 2015 at 2:27 am

      • Yeah, can somebody please explain to me how Cruz can be running for president when he was born in Canada? And at the time his father was not an American citizen?


        December 15, 2015 at 8:59 am

      • Trump really should bring that up.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        December 15, 2015 at 9:07 am

      • Its not really fair to Cruz, but if he actually became President of the U.S. he would probably be the least “presidential” of the group in background, looks, and demeanor. The only competitors who I can think of off hand are J.Q. Adams, A. Johnson, Taft, and Carter. And Adams had been a successful diplomat and Taft, whose issue was that he was really fat, was an experienced judge and administrator, both well qualified for the job in a way the Cruz is not. The most recent of the group is Carter, whose lack of a presidential demeanor gave him lots of problems during his administration, and Cruz is probably worse.


        December 15, 2015 at 11:07 am

  9. Why exactly should Republicans accept Trump as their likely nominee? Do they really want a nominee who supports affirmative action – ? Trumps cluelessness as to mismatch theory is pretty pathetic.

    Trump’s positions are all over the place. On many issues he’s a left wingnut Democrat. On what I consider the most important consideration for the next president – what kind of justices they will appoint to the supreme court – Trump is the kind of uninformed egoist who will appoint people based on personality over anything else. The fact that most members of the legal profession are left wing would result in his choosing judges as supportive of affirmative action, illegal immigration, and other progressive causes as Hillary.

    Ron S

    December 15, 2015 at 1:55 am

    • Affirmative action support is unfortunate, but Trump has proven to be politically incorrect and he changes his mind all the time. I think he’s just trying to get the black vote right now.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      December 15, 2015 at 8:50 am

      • Trump is smart enough to realize that you can’t go after all minority groups at once. The white vote just isn’t sufficiently unified. So Trump is going to ally himself with blacks because it would be mutually beneficial to both whites and blacks to stop the immigration of low-skill Hispanics and Muslims. Also, the electoral map is set up so that just by accumulating a small percentage of blacks (from Romney’s 7% to, say, 12%), they can deliver several swing states.

        Also, there’s a moral distinction. Immigrants have no right to be here. We are under no moral obligation whatsoever to admit them. Blacks, for the most part, were brought here against the will hundreds of years ago. We have some responsibility to try and work out our differences. (Reasonable people can argue about how much of responsibility, but suffice to say that our duty to blacks is greater than it is to Hispanics or Muslims.)

        Great Again

        December 15, 2015 at 3:19 pm

    • You have not been paying attention. Trump has said many times that his favorite Supreme Court justice is Clarence Thomas. Just this past weekend in South Carolina he said the qualities he’d look for in a justice are one with a top legal scholar mind, conservative, loves the Constitution. In that townhall he railed against Justice Roberts for Obamacare and said good things about both Alito and Scalia. But Thomas appears to be his favorite. That should be good enough for anyone on the right.

      Andrew E.

      December 15, 2015 at 9:31 am

  10. New poll out today Dec. 15th, Trump at 38, Cruz at 15.


    December 15, 2015 at 7:25 am

  11. The Los Angeles Unified School District just closed down in response to a credible terrorist threat. Let’s see what kind of effect this has. What I would like to know is who did the threatening and are we ever going to know?


    December 15, 2015 at 11:10 am

  12. I am in favor of affirmative action for blacks. Blacks need a hand up and it is an easy way to maybe get some black votes and cause the various left wing groups to fight each other when Latinos, gays, white women, immigrants, trannies and Muslims demand a bigger share of the pie.

    Otis the Sweaty

    December 15, 2015 at 1:04 pm

    • Private people with their own money should go ahead and give blacks, or whoever they want to, a hand up. The government, with money seized from taxpayers, shouldn’t be discriminating based on race. Especially since systematically refusing to hire the best applicant for a job hurts our entire society–don’t you want people who are the best at fighting fires or chasing criminals or teaching engineering doing so, not people who got the job based on the color of their skin?


      December 15, 2015 at 9:32 pm

      • “Especially since systematically refusing to hire the best applicant for a job hurts our entire society–don’t you want people who are the best at fighting fires or chasing criminals or teaching engineering”

        But the majority of jobs don’t create value. Does it really matter if a less qualified applicant is hired for corporate HR, for marketing, etc?

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        December 15, 2015 at 9:34 pm

  13. ted cruz is way too ugly to become president. the republican party would be crazy to stick somebody with his face in the primaries as he will lose on that basis alone.

    james n.s.w

    December 15, 2015 at 6:02 pm

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