Trump at 38% in another new poll
New ABC News/Washington Post poll has Trump at 38%, with a 23-point lead over second-place Ted Cruz.
Nate Cohn at the NY Times is still insisting Trump won’t, because Dean lost in 2004, Romney lost in 2008, and Giuliani lost in 2012.
None of those candidates ever had as big of a lead in the polls as Trump. Dean had only a single poll (in January 2008) where he hit 30%, and he was only 12 points ahead of Kerry the eventual winner. And the media certainly won’t be able to take out Trump by saying he “screamed,” like they did so easily with Dean.
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The poll also shows that Clinton only has a 6-point lead over Trump in a hypothetical matchup, which I think that Trump will be able to surmount once he’s the nominee, with perhaps another ISIS attack thrown in to help Trump.
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Republican presidential candidate Jeb Bush stood in the home of a Dallas fundraiser in mid-November and confidently declared: “Come December 15, [Donald] Trump will be in decline.”
Today is Dec. 15, and unless you count two recent polls that showed Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) leading in Iowa, Trump still tops the GOP presidential campaign field. In fact, by several measures he’s surging — there’s no sign of decline.