Lion of the Blogosphere

Trump at 38% in another new poll

New ABC News/Washington Post poll has Trump at 38%, with a 23-point lead over second-place Ted Cruz.

Nate Cohn at the NY Times is still insisting Trump won’t, because Dean lost in 2004, Romney lost in 2008, and Giuliani lost in 2012.

None of those candidates ever had as big of a lead in the polls as Trump. Dean had only a single poll (in January 2008) where he hit 30%, and he was only 12 points ahead of Kerry the eventual winner. And the media certainly won’t be able to take out Trump by saying he “screamed,” like they did so easily with Dean.

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The poll also shows that Clinton only has a 6-point lead over Trump in a hypothetical matchup, which I think that Trump will be able to surmount once he’s the nominee, with perhaps another ISIS attack thrown in to help Trump.

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In a companion article at the Washington Post:

Republican presidential candidate Jeb Bush stood in the home of a Dallas fundraiser in mid-November and confidently declared: “Come December 15, [Donald] Trump will be in decline.”

Today is Dec. 15, and unless you count two recent polls that showed Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) leading in Iowa, Trump still tops the GOP presidential campaign field. In fact, by several measures he’s surging — there’s no sign of decline.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

December 15, 2015 at 9:16 am

Posted in Uncategorized

29 Responses

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  1. Know someone who is pretty connected with Republicans and conservatives in DC. Says everyone who has worked with Cruz can’t stand him. Senate staffers, other Senators, and anyone else. He’s just really not liked by much of anyone.


    December 15, 2015 at 10:28 am

    • That’s what I read in the MSM. Where there is smoke there’s fire.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      December 15, 2015 at 10:54 am

      • Who wouldn’t like a guy who would only study with people who went to HYPS, and not to the “lesser Ivies”?

        Actually that is an ignorant statement. There are a lot of people of similar intelligence who went to state schools, as can be verified by SAT data. This is an ignorant Latin classist sentiment, that “there are no people of similar intellectual caliber at state schools or ‘lesser Ivies’ to those who went to HYPS.” I like Latin classism when it plays in my favor, but the upper end of it is nauseating – no different than American classism I guess.


        December 15, 2015 at 12:45 pm

    • I’m getting the feeling (from reading mildly between the lines of NYT) that the GOPe are trying to use Iowa to sneak in VP Cruz as their backup option.


      December 15, 2015 at 11:06 am

    • Cruz looks like a sweaty, rancid, slickyball. It could be coming from his Italian traces. (MaryK take note)

      However, it could be coming from his Spaniard side, which makes more sense, since he shares the same surname with this weird looking lady, testament of Spain’s mongrel Christian, Jewish, Muslim roots.


      December 15, 2015 at 4:50 pm

      • And this is her husband, Javier Bardem:

        He would do well blending in with the Middle Eastern Jews in Israel or the Arabs in the Middle East.


        December 15, 2015 at 4:55 pm

    • That Cruz is detested by his Senate colleagues is a plus in my opinion.


      December 15, 2015 at 7:18 pm

      • Javier Bardem and Penelope Cruz are unlikely to ever live in Israel, given their rabidly unfriendly views of that country.


        December 15, 2015 at 8:27 pm

      • Not wanting to study with “lesser Ivy” guys was just the nerdy “Luzhin Defense” faux- mathlete side of young Welsey Crusher Cruz. In his defense, there is no reason a mid-high-IQ guy like that, in his early 20s, with his obvious lack of normal social skills and obvious lack of genuine high IQ abilities, could have completely understood the absurdity of his arrogance. He has matured since, one hopes . Now he is a Dad, has a normal life, has lived like a normal human for a decade or two, and he knows the “I am an intellectual aristocrat” airs have to go. By the way, there are very few Senators from big states who are not absurd individuals, even after they grow up – it is hard to think of exceptions – Al d’Amato is an ok guy, Santorum is liked by people who know him, and one or two of the doctor senators and military vet senators would not be completely deplorable friends or golfing buddies. But big state Senators are mostly absurd humans. Cruz is a lot less absurd than most of them. That being said, senators from small states, I have heard, can sometimes be decent people.Anyway, under the totality of circumstances, I would like to echo Daniel at 7:18 PM, who correctly pointed out that being disliked by one’s 2015 Senator colleagues is a good thing.

        howitzer daniel

        December 15, 2015 at 8:42 pm

  2. ¡Jeb!: 5%; Trump, 38%. That wily Jeb has Trump right were he wants him.

    Jonathan Silber

    December 15, 2015 at 11:42 am

  3. Regarding Trump and Clinton, I’ve watched a bit of Clinton on what passes for her stump and she seems like one of the worst, most shrill candidates I’ve ever seen. Compare that to Trump who is one of the best ever on the stump. Clinton has absolutely nothing to say. Nothing. She just hurls isms and phobias at her audience. Trump is willing to go after her decades of corruption, her responsibility for the Arab Spring which has costs hundreds of thousands of lives, her email scandal.

    If ISIS attacks the US within 2-3 months of the general election Trump will win all 50 states.

    Andrew E.

    December 15, 2015 at 12:11 pm

    • He won’t win in CA or NY no matter what. CA is not only minority majority but it has an extremely liberal white population and non-liberal whites have been continuously pushed out of the state.

      However, an economic crash (which I think is unlikely, although a recession is probable) and multiple large terrorist attacks (which I also think is unlikely) and Trump would win every state but the aforementioned 2.

      What is interesting is that now even douchebag Nate Silver is starting to indicate that Trump winning is a real possibility. For some reason Trump continues to do poorly in the betting markets, however.

      Otis the Sweaty

      December 15, 2015 at 1:00 pm

    • If Trump is the GOP nominee every single famous person in the world will spend all day praising Rodham-Clinton to the skies (first woman president!) while demonizing Trump (Hitler with no mustache!) Every newspaper, TV show, radio program will have destroying Trump as its primary mission, and the websites most people use everyday, Facebook and Google, Twitter and Bing, AOL and Yahoo, will be bent to shaming Trump voters as the new face of the Klan, unfit to be friends with or speak to. Lion has talked about the power of pop culture in making everybody afraid to oppose gay marriage, won’t the same power be turned up to eleven in the struggle against Trump? To my mind, Hilary is the favorite.


      December 15, 2015 at 1:24 pm

      • I basically agree that the elites would put on a full court press against Trump. And I do think he would probably lose. But since you brought up gay marriage, I think it’s worth keeping in mind that if there were a national referendum tomorrow, gay marriage would get crushed just like affirmative action, carbon taxes, and pretty much every other cockamamie scheme being pushed by the Left.


        December 15, 2015 at 7:39 pm

    • I don’t think attacking Islamists like Obama is the best strategy for ISIS. I feel waiting to attack America after Hillary is elected is their best tactic. Most world news organizations seem to think “dieversity” will win the American election. After the election, ISIS plays political chess with Putin versus EU versus America to get worldwide jihadist support.


      December 15, 2015 at 2:06 pm

    • Physical fitness and stamina is also a key part of campaigning, especially for older candidates. They are both close to 70 years of age but Trump is in far better health than Hillary. Many say that Hillary is in ill health and has been covering it up for several years. In a head to head match up Trump will pound Hillary relentlessly in debates and advertising. This could take a big toll on her and effect her performance. I will be a joy to watch.


      December 15, 2015 at 3:41 pm

      • You would think that Hillary would be satisfied with her life by now… first lady, senator, secretary of state. You could say the same for Trump, but he seems to be running for president because he wants to change some things he doesn’t like about the country. Hillary just seems to want to be president.


        December 15, 2015 at 7:03 pm

  4. Here is an example of why all the pundits are completely wrong about Trump and if they could see what’s right in front of their faces they’d see the landslide that Trump is setting up for.

    Here is a video of Trump’s rally from last night in Las Vegas. Trump brought up to the podium Jamiel Shaw Sr. who lost his son who was murdered by an illegal immigrant in LA in 2008. He starts speaking at 0:04:45. Trump has mentioned Shaw in pretty much every speech he gives. They’ve apparently become close friends. A protester tries to interrupt.

    Shaw: “Trump speaks for the dead.”

    Andrew E.

    December 15, 2015 at 12:41 pm

    • What I don’t get about the polls showing a Cruz lead in Iowa is this: where are his Trump-like rallies? Has any other GOP candidate attracted half as many people to a rally as Trump?

      Dave Pinsen

      December 15, 2015 at 5:21 pm

      • Exactly. They don’t exist.

        If you’re not watching Trump’s huge rallies regularly, instead just reading news items and polls (all of which assume convention holds), then you’re completely missing what’s happening with Trump.

        Andrew E.

        December 15, 2015 at 8:01 pm

  5. That Selzer poll seems to be a real outlier. All the other Iowa polls have the race close in IA, with Trump leading in most of them.

    Obviously the CNN poll was garbage but Trump is still alive in Iowa. Ironically, if Trump does win Iowa he will have to thank Carson and Rubio for taking evangelicals away from Cruz.

    Otis the Sweaty

    December 15, 2015 at 1:41 pm

  6. O/T – Here is what forensic experts think what Jesus should have look liked:

    He sure does look Jewish in this one. I’m expecting half guido-Michael Richards (Seinfeld’s Kramer) to play the next Jesus.


    December 15, 2015 at 5:16 pm

    • Thanks for the reminder that Jesus was not white (according to how WNs define whiteness).

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      December 15, 2015 at 7:50 pm

      • Most depictions of Jesus in European paintings, show him as a slim handsome-White guy.


        December 16, 2015 at 10:46 am

  7. What do you think about this?

    It seems like opposition to affirmative action would be the natural complement to Trump’s anti immigration position.

    Lloyd Llewellyn

    December 15, 2015 at 6:31 pm

  8. Debate: Pataki just referred to Trump as the president


    December 15, 2015 at 6:47 pm

  9. I’m going to an Indian restaurant with my kids now and even though we aren’t going specifically to celebrate Trump doing well, but we will certainly drink to that. I think that Trump is a Gentile Macabee, who will cleanse America and save this country. I’m gonna drink a Kingfisher to Trump’s health and success. Actually I’m pretty surprised that I like him more every day, I thought that was it, I mean how great can a man be already? But then he doubles down again and my affection for rises with it. We are all voting Trump.


    December 15, 2015 at 7:36 pm

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