Scott Adams writes about Donald Trump and climate change hoax
So I think we can agree that Trump has world-class skills in negotiating and persuading, but he should keep his opinions away from science. That is NOT his field.
But I’ll tell you one thing a Master Persuader can do better than just about anyone: He can spot a hoax.
That doesn’t mean Trump is right. All I’m saying is that if your question is about science, don’t call Trump. Call a scientist. Then call lots more scientists to make sure the first one was right. Do NOT call Trump about science.
But if you want to spot a hoax, you might want an expert who operates in the third dimension, where reason is an illusion and cognitive dissonance is the landscape. That person is trained to filter reason from illusion. He is also trained to know how persuasion influences large groups, such as the scientific community, and science-loving voters. That guy is Trump. And he says climate change is an illusion.
Science is the expert on science, but Trump is the expert on hoaxes.
I think that Scott Adams is being very sneaky. He actually believes that climate change is a hoax, but he doesn’t want to come out and say it because that would destroy his credibility with a lot of Dilbert readers, so he pretends like he’s just saying it as a thought experiment.
I’ve previously argued similarly about climate change, that I can tell it’s fake because I’m an expert on the psychology of mass delusions, and that climate change supporters act more like missionary priests than scientists.
Only nerds believe what they believe because they have independently verified the science and/or used logical thought to arrive at the belief. The vast majority believe what other people like themselves believe, or what they’ve been taught to believe as a child (which reflects the beliefs of their parents or their school teachers). I think that belief in global warming, now called climate change, and belief that vaccines cause autism, is part of the same trend of what New York Times reporter John Tierney calls information cascades, often false, spreading among the smarter members of the population.
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Because of social proof, once Donald Trump starts winning early primaries, more people will jump onto the Trump bandwagon because they will see that other people support him for real and not just in polls (which the average person doesn’t really pay much attention to because they are not political junkies).
In a similar vein, take a look at this article in yesterday’s Washington Post. In June, only 23% of Republican respondents could see themselves voting for Trump, but that number has risen to 65% in the most recent poll. This is an example of cascading social proof. The fact that other people support Trump makes people more likely to support him.