Lion of the Blogosphere

Donald Trump now odds-on favorite

Odds checker.

At some sites he is listed at 10/11 odds. (But at other sites, 1/1 and 11/10.)

It has finally happened. The people in the UK finally figured out that Trump will not magically go away after winning Iowa and New Hampshire.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

January 25, 2016 at 11:49 am

Posted in Politics

32 Responses

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  1. Won’t stop them from missing an opportunity to virtue signal.


    January 25, 2016 at 12:04 pm

    • It’s a technicality, dont make too much out of it. England needs it’s own Trump.


      January 25, 2016 at 12:12 pm

      • They have one already – Nigel Farage – and they have given his party one seat in the house of commons.

        Lloyd Llewellyn

        January 25, 2016 at 2:30 pm

      • That’s it?! I don’t follow them, but UKIP is a good party. They are stupid not to vote UKIP, but once Trump is president they will. Maybe they are totally stupid?

        This is funny. In Israel I always vote, in America I finally have whom to vote for and in Russia I can’t vote because they banned my party! Putin has done good things, but I wouldn’t vote for him, he is for oligarchy.


        January 25, 2016 at 3:27 pm

      • UKIP would get far more seats if they had a proportional representation system. They get a huge amount of votes. But it’s done on first past the post which doesn’t help a party like that.


        January 25, 2016 at 7:52 pm

  2. They should have figured that if they had a UKIP, the US would get one eventually.

    Mike Street Station

    January 25, 2016 at 12:55 pm

  3. Still 55% Clinton and 25% Trump overall.

    Lloyd Llewellyn

    January 25, 2016 at 12:55 pm

  4. Well folks, the opportunity to make a lot of money based on what we already knew has vanished. I was a dummy for not grabbing free money dangling in front of me. Anyone here actually cash on the denial that was in the markets?


    January 25, 2016 at 1:52 pm

  5. Sarah Palin one step closer to the levers of power!

    Lion of the Turambar

    January 25, 2016 at 1:54 pm

    • Sarah Palin will never get anywhere near any levers of power again. She’s finished. She couldn’t even hold her job at Fox News. Trump is using her to get votes. He has no intention of helping her get power either in his administration or outside of it.


      January 25, 2016 at 4:05 pm

      • Its a two for one deal. Its a great deal, probably the most tremendous deal ever.

        “Certainly there’d be a role somewhere in the administration, if she wanted – and I’m not that sure she does want that,” Trump said on the “Today” show, fresh off an endorsement the day before by the former Alaska governor.

        “But there would certainly be a role,” he insisted.

        Lion of the Turambar

        January 25, 2016 at 6:08 pm

  6. Meanwhile, as far as I know, zero establishment (governments, senators or representatives) have endorsed Trump. Because enforcing borders is basically the holocaust, obv.


    January 25, 2016 at 1:55 pm

    • I keep thinking Trump is holding back some endorsements to get him over the line in IA or NH. Obviously Sen Sessions helped with Trump’s migration plan. Rep. Brat won running the same Campaign Trump is running. Trump would help a lot of governors in red states.

      And there are very few Republicans that have made endorsements so far so lots are available to get.


      January 25, 2016 at 3:09 pm

      • if Trump doesn’t have a surprise planned for Iowa or New Hampshire, then he’s not the Trump I know. I’d bet he’s got a nice endorsement or two in the pocket.


        January 25, 2016 at 5:05 pm

      • The endorsement of the Iowa’s pro-ethanol governor would help Trump. But even without that endorsement Trump is close to winning Iowa.

        One last question is whether he should attend the Fox debate if Megyn Kelly moderates? I recommend he errs towards not changing the dynamics and attends. Play defense on the big lead, say nothing that changes the trendlines, and then carry Iowa a few days latter.

        The Undiscovered Jew

        January 25, 2016 at 7:41 pm

  7. 1/1 odds mean the markets there think he has a 50% of winning or not winning the nomination. Still not as high as Hillary at around 1/5 (or only a 1/6 chance that she would lose the nomination).


    January 25, 2016 at 4:04 pm

  8. SWPL2

    January 25, 2016 at 4:07 pm

  9. More amazingly, on January 12, less than two weeks ago, he was only 2/1


    January 25, 2016 at 4:23 pm

  10. Nobody is making endorsements it seems. I think Trump will eventually start to pick up some endorsements but not until after he wins SC.

    Otis the Sweaty

    January 25, 2016 at 4:24 pm

    • Actually that is not correct. Lots of establishment endorsements have gone to folks like Jeb! and Rubio. Cruz has gotten a few.


      January 25, 2016 at 6:48 pm

    • relative to past elections there has been an extreme lack of endorsements this time. A lot of money on the sidelines too. The establishment is apparently as disgusted with their choice of candidates as we are.

      Otis the Sweaty

      January 25, 2016 at 8:39 pm

  11. I got it! The only reason that Bloomberg is running is to hurt our Donald! Won’t work. Trump is gonna schlong him all the way to Wall St. People are not stupid! He should have been going after all these crooks and trimming the city’s payroll instead of banning soda. This was real stupid.


    January 25, 2016 at 4:41 pm

    • Wall St is the impetus, which gives Manhattan its status whoring, expensive real estate, pricey 5 star restaurants, turning transplant women into gold diggers for guys in value transference, and to a certain degree, the arts scene, which has contributors from many of its donors. Under Bloomberg, Manhattan was a luxurious playground and high price hedonism, all tied to Wall St. This was the only way to stop far left liberals like de Blasio with their NAM prerogatives of affordable housing, we need to help poor racial minorities BS…..


      January 25, 2016 at 6:38 pm

      • It’s time Wall St/Manhattan had all their nice monopolies taken away from them and were forced to earn a real living. And I say this as someone who works on Wall st. Bring it on Trump.

        Andrew E.

        January 25, 2016 at 9:48 pm

      • In that case, the Upper East Side residents will not be voting for Trump. The wealth concentrated there, is 99% Wall Street money.

        I blame the credulous proles who are the backbone to these parasites. Most important, proles are frivolous consumers, who enrich the capitalists.


        January 26, 2016 at 1:16 pm

    • I think Bloomberg fears a Bernie vs. Trump race puts him in a lose/lose. Either way, he just wants a Wall St. president (Hillary), and if she’s wounded, he sees himself as the only chance.


      January 25, 2016 at 9:08 pm

  12. Americans can’t legally bet on that UK site, so the skewed odds don’t surprise me.
    All most Brits have to go by is CNN and Fox BSkyB and BBC news.
    They all hate Trump. So what else do English punters have to go by?

    Do you think that many in the UK read LOTB, or Zman, or Steve Sailer?
    You can be arrested in the UK for even thinking HBD thoughts.

    Certainly you can’t read out-loud from Churchill’s The River War:
    “How dreadful are the curses which Mohammedanism lays on its votaries! Besides the fanatical frenzy, which is as dangerous in a man as hydrophobia in a dog, there is this fearful fatalistic apathy. The effects are apparent in many countries. Improvident habits, slovenly systems of agriculture, sluggish methods of commerce, and insecurity of property exist wherever the followers of the Prophet rule or live. A degraded sensualism deprives this life of its grace and refinement; the next of its dignity and sanctity. The fact that in Mohammedan law every woman must belong to some man as his absolute property – either as a child, a wife, or a concubine – must delay the final extinction of slavery until the faith of Islam has ceased to be a great power among men. Thousands become the brave and loyal soldiers of the faith: all know how to die but the influence of the religion paralyses the social development of those who follow it. No stronger retrograde force exists in the world. Far from being moribund, Mohammedanism is a militant and proselytizing faith. It has already spread throughout Central Africa, raising fearless warriors at every step; and were it not that Christianity is sheltered in the strong arms of science, the science against which it had vainly struggled, the civilisation of modern Europe might fall, as fell the civilisation of ancient Rome.”
    ― Winston S. Churchill, The River War

    Election candidate arrested over Churchill speech
    European election candidate was quoting an anti-Islamic passage from Winston Churchill book when he was arrested

    Trump 2016!

    Nedd Ludd

    January 25, 2016 at 7:59 pm

    • Beautiful writing! I’m so ashamed of myself because I haven’t read any Churchill. Just ordered the book.


      January 25, 2016 at 9:11 pm

      • Yakov, I’m a lifelong Churchill fan and have read all he wrote. After The River War, try “Thoughts and Adventures.” First published in 1932, but there are several editions. Of all the essays and stories I especially enjoyed “A Day with Clemenceau” which has a riveting account of Marshall Foch explaining Ludendorff’s 1918 offensive and how he was going to stop it. Churchill was a master of style.


        January 26, 2016 at 1:25 pm

  13. do you guys think that any liberals will literally kill themselves when Trump gets nominated? I do.

    Otis the Sweaty

    January 25, 2016 at 8:43 pm

    • Apparently there are lots of Bush/Kasich/Graham Republicans who will as well.

      Along with libertarians, old nerds like George Will and lets hope low IQ basket cases like Glenn Beck.


      January 26, 2016 at 12:11 am

    • They are “all talk, no action.” They love Venezuela and Cuba but wouldn’t move there, no way. Watch what the disgusting Whoopi Goldberg does if that happens. Nothing.


      January 26, 2016 at 1:28 pm

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