Lion of the Blogosphere

Trump’s Twitter followers

Analysis of Trump’s Twitter followers

In addition to having more Twitter followers than any other candidate (including Democratic candidates), a higher percentage of his followers are black than any other candidate (except for Martin O’Malley who I don’t think should count because he dropped out). This demonstrates what we have been talking about on this blog for several months, that blacks like Donald Trump.

Trump also has the highest percentage of followers with incomes less than $30,000, showing that in the general election, Trump can win the votes of proles which usually o to Democrats.

Cruz, on the other hand, has a very different distribution of followers. He has the lowest percentage of female followers of any candidate, and the fewest young people, as well as the most white people, and the lowest percentage of followers with income of less than $30,000. If nominated, Cruz would lose the general election badly because he is unappealing to women and the working class.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

February 13, 2016 at 9:06 am

Posted in Politics

24 Responses

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  1. A better analysis would include only new followers added since the day he declared he was running. Many if not most of his followers probably started following him during his Apprentice days, assuming he had an account back then.


    February 13, 2016 at 10:29 am

  2. You are a starter on the top team of people looking at the world brillantly under extremely difficult conditions today.

    FWIW Have you considered offering your talents as a boutique analyst to Madison Ave or enlightened Hedge Funds?

    You are 3 sigma to the right side of the curve!!! Never half anything. Thank you for everything you do!

    A long, long, long time Reader


    February 13, 2016 at 10:50 am

  3. Lion, why don’t you write more about what a sham Donald Trump’s tax proposals are? You’ve railed against the idea of cutting taxes for the rich, yet your preferred candidate wants to cut taxes for them and even thesuper rich by a huge degree, and, astonishingly, far more than even his “true Republican/conservative” oppents. To borrow a phrase, it’s a total disaster. In massively slashing taxes for the top 1%, he’d blow a 10 billion dollar hole in federal revenue, exacerbating the deficit.

    There’s a real reason so many of his supporters earn under $30,000 in annual income — they’re not keen enough to examine and understand what it is they’re buying from him: a massive give away to the elite overclass with outsized control of national politics — including the politics of immigration. His fan base is so deluded at this point that they don’t see that he plans to vest MORE power in the hands of the oligarchy that has created the state of affairs — stagnant wages, mass black market labor influx, offshoring, regressive taxation — they find themselves in.

    Why do you want ultra wealthy tech CEOs like Zuckerberg to get an extra $1.3 million in tax cuts only to use that cash to continue promoting more H1b visas and the importation of foreign workers who neither belong here culturally, nor are necessary to the thriving of the tech sector?

    This is a YUGE, unreconciled issue that seems to have been ignored by every and all Trump fan.


    February 13, 2016 at 10:57 am

    • I assume he doesn’t take it seriously, and he can’t change the tax code without Congress.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      February 13, 2016 at 11:25 am

      • He can’t change much of anything without congress. By this logic we shouldn’t take his immigration proposals seriously either.


        February 13, 2016 at 1:38 pm

      • Wrong, he can reverse 8 years of Obama executive orders to ignore the immigration laws.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        February 13, 2016 at 2:50 pm

      • If you’re saying he’s just BSing on his tax plan to get through the nomination, shouldn’t that give Republicans even more to worry about his bona fides in carrying out their conservative agenda? Alternatively, don’t you think that such an extreme proposal will be impossible to run away from in the general election? It killed Romney, and his plan wasn’t nearly as generous to the wealthy (his own cohort) as Trump’s is.

        Cutting off illegal immigration and curtailing legal immigration is smart and fair, but it needs to paired with a sane tax plan that doesn’t REWARD the very economic class that has engineered the wholesale dispossession of the working and middle classes. They will just use that added largesse to see that all of Trump’s nationalistic-minded reforms are undone and dismantled, while living comfortably far, far away from the social, economic, and cultural carnage.

        Trump’s enthusiastic backers deserve more from him, and should demand it.


        February 13, 2016 at 1:48 pm

      • Both of you are right. Trump’s tax proposals are a sham. He’s interested in trade deals and immigration and wool the get to taxes.

        The thing that’s wrong with the country aren’t really taxes (other than the fact that taxes out to be moved closer to international norms if the country is going to be competitive.

        But what’s the alternative? Cruz’s plan is a non starter, and Rubio’s plan is more unrealistic than any.


        February 13, 2016 at 3:58 pm

    • It’s not ignored, Trump fans just aren’t motivated by envy the way leftists are. Trump voters realize they’re getting screwed by suffocating regulations, tax loopholes, monopoly powers and favored nation deals which are structured to favor the powerful. Marginal tax rates hardly enter into it. The top tax rate is currently 39%, you think any wealthy person’s effective tax rate is anywhere near 39%? It’s in the teens or lower. Trump’s tax plan, by eliminating loopholes, would bring the effective tax rates of the wealthy up by 10 or 15 percentage points.

      Andrew E.

      February 13, 2016 at 12:34 pm

    • Regardless of what Trump actually believes or intends to do, his candidacy is very important because it could shift the overton window on immigration and race. Before his campaign, the media calling someone sexist or racist, even when the person was objectively correct, was considered a “death blow” to that person’s career. By showing that one can survive these empty attacks without groveling, he’s opening the door to a more honest and scientific discussion of race in the western world.

      Also, the failure of the Bush campaign is incredible, especially when you look at the ratio of $spent to #votes. In future elections I think that even mainstream conservative candidates will steer clear of pro-amnesty positions. We might even see some democratic candidates publicly support wall-building.


      February 13, 2016 at 1:35 pm

    • While I would also like to see more “tax the rich,” tax policy isn’t that important. Trade policy, on the other hand, is massively important to working people; we just haven’t had ANY for decades (“wide open trade” isn’t a policy for anyone but globalists). I’ll happily give Trump his tax cuts if he gives us tariffs, cuts back on off-shoring and reigns in H-1Bs.

      PS – There was a good article on H-1B abuse in some Palo Alto paper, and people were chiming in with real life stories and exposing the fraud, and the paper was deleting comments as fast as it could.


      February 13, 2016 at 3:10 pm

  4. Lion: Assuming Twitter is representative, wouldn’t Cruz’s numbers indicate at least more success in the primary, since his demographic tends to participate in voting at much higher frequency than Trump’s demographic?

    I am not sure who I favor at this point…probably Trump (but I do not like his style, just very crude).

    FB (Former Beta)

    February 13, 2016 at 10:58 am

    • You’re not a FORMER beta if you don’t like his “crude” style.


      February 13, 2016 at 11:37 am

      • My friend:
        Alpha comes in many, many varieties…Trunp’s is populist, crude and vulgar…and probably the only type of alpha that the American people will elect at this point.

        I have no doubt that Washington, FDR, Kennedy, etc…were extremely alpha. None were crude and vulgar in their puic presentation of themselves.

        FB (Former Beta)

        February 13, 2016 at 12:50 pm

      • But that was a time before reality TV. Times have changed.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        February 13, 2016 at 2:47 pm

      • There are plenty of alpha prudes. Look at the late Billy Graham.

        Otis the Sweaty

        February 13, 2016 at 1:38 pm

      • Alphas like Kennedy did not sniff prissily about the crudity and vulgarity of other alphas. At most they’d laugh and roll their eyes.


        February 13, 2016 at 6:40 pm

  5. This is encouraging news. But I’d like to add the minor caveat that a lot of Trump’s social media following may pre-date his foray into politics. I’ve been following him on Facebook for more than 5 years.


    February 13, 2016 at 12:29 pm

  6. SO when you’re preferred candidate attracts more poor people, women, and blacks on twitter (!) then that means he’s the best. But the candidate that actually gets more of those groups vote than Trump in the general election or more of them on twitter in almost every other election without Trump is just some democrat douchebag?

    Lloyd Llewellyn

    February 13, 2016 at 1:35 pm

  7. Cruz is the Elmer Gantry candidate for this cycle. I think Trump has shown just enough deference to Christianity to permit this cohort to support him on economic grounds without feeling like sell outs. The folks struggling are the young multiculturalist Christians. These folks really thought they were changing the Church for the modern era. I find this crowd really dislikes Trump.


    February 13, 2016 at 1:36 pm

    • Not really sure who you mean by young multiculturalist Christians – are you talking about socially liberal Christians who usually vote Democratic (and yes, they exist.) You are wrong about Trump, however. He has shown no deference to Christianity. What he’s shown is that Otis the Sweaty is right. Christians really ARE stupid. They’re willing to vote for a decadent plutocrat from Manhattan who became a “conservative” a few months before declaring his candidacy. And all he has to do is tell them that the Bible is his favorite book and repeat the Giuliani lie that he will appoint judges like Scalia and Roberts. And they’re willing to reject a genuine conservative like Ted Cruz – all because Donald Trump promises to run the government as if it’s his own corporation.

      But the people here and on other right-wing websites who talk of a Trump-Cruz ticket are dreaming. There is a substantial portion of the Cruz constituency who will NEVER vote for Trump under any circumstances. I am torn between voting Constitution Party or for the Democrats. If it looks like Trump will lose to a Democrat I can go third party. But I’m willing to vote for American’s first democratic socialist president to show evangelicals the high price they had to pay for a Trump nomination.


      February 13, 2016 at 3:50 pm

      • “Not really sure who you mean by young multiculturalist Christians.”

        They are Jack Kemp flavored young conservative Christians who think that flooding the country with immigrants will make it easier to turn the rest of the world to Christ and Milton Friedman. They think that believing in HBD is as sinful as gay sex or adultery, perhaps more so. They are a weird mix of SJW and conservative Christian. They assign blame for racial disparities to racism and straying from ‘the word.’ Like their intellectual predecessor Jack Kemp, they think dumb gimmicks like enterprise zones combined with religious revival will end such disparities. They live in mostly white states and attend churches that have at least one well put together young black Christian enthusiast in the congregation whom they’ve befriended and whom they believe is characteristic of the black population in general. They blame black dysfunction on the nation’s turning away from Christ rather than on black ineptitude. They talk about adopting black babies from Africa. They think evolution is BS.

        I’ve got one of these in my office. He’s supporting Rubio. He doesn’t support Cruz because he thinks Cruz is a phony (e.g., Elmer Gantry).


        February 13, 2016 at 7:35 pm

  8. Two OTs: a machete-wielding Somali attacked customers eating in an Israeli-owned restaurant in Columbus, Ohio. Somali was on FBI watch list for four years. “Motive not known.”



    February 13, 2016 at 1:56 pm

    • Sad story. I love Carrier, it makes great high end products. They are too expensive though. I recommend Bryant, a cheap Carrier brand, to my customers. Still more expensive then the popular brands. They need to cut costs badly so the move makes sense. $26 an hour isn’t too bad for a factory job. Maybe it’s even good over there, I don’t know.


      February 13, 2016 at 6:41 pm

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