Lion of the Blogosphere

New South Carolina poll!!

Post-debate poll exclusive to the local newspaper.

Trump at 35%, Rubio and Cruz tied at 18%, and Bush way way back there.


Trump was not hurt too badly by the previous debate.

Rubio in second place is a surprise. If we see these numbers hold up, after the primary the GOPe will be screaming bloody murder at Bush and Kasich demanding they drop out before Super Tuesday.

Even if those two drop out, Trump can still sweep Super Tuesday. 100% of the Bush and Kasich voters will NOT switch to Rubio. Some will switch to Cruz and some will switch to Trump. Trump will go into Super Tuesday with the social proof of having won two primaries in a row.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

February 15, 2016 at 10:52 pm

Posted in Politics

16 Responses

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  1. Has a Republican ever lost the nomination after winning both NH and SC? If so, when?


    February 15, 2016 at 11:02 pm

  2. There was a poll taken the day after the debate that tells a similar story, with Trump at 33%

    It’s hard to see what stops him now.

    Part of the Trump brilliance is that just when you think it can’t get any crazier, he adds new drama.

    First he’s fighting with Megyn Kelly, then a few months later he skips the Fox debate and sets up a rival event. In a month, he’ll be back on Fox for a rematch.

    We think we’ve seen the last of Jeb!’s humiliations, and now he’s tearing apart W.’s legacy in South Carolina.

    He spends weeks looking for an angle from which to attack Cruz, and settles on threats to sue him as a Canadian. The show never gets boring.


    February 15, 2016 at 11:04 pm

    • David Frum wrote that Trump’s forcing the GOP to come to terms with the W. Presidency, something they should’ve done 10 years ago (but they’re stupid, so they didn’t).


      February 16, 2016 at 1:49 pm

  3. Trump is Azor Ahai.


    February 15, 2016 at 11:21 pm

  4. Dave Pinsen

    February 15, 2016 at 11:24 pm

    • Why are internal polls considered more credible by people in politics? Public polls have to release their methods for peer-review, while internal polls do whatever they want.


      February 16, 2016 at 1:50 pm

  5. I bet Marco is so happy he’ll treat himself to a foam party.

    Though I’m keeping my eye on the ball and hoping for a Trump landslide, I also hope Cruz wallops Rubio as well. Rubio is such an extreme example of an overt establishment muppet that his very candidacy seems like a middle finger from the ruling class. I don’t want him to simply lose. I want him to be humiliated.


    February 15, 2016 at 11:32 pm

  6. If he’s holding that card should Trump play the Rubio homosexuality rumor/arrest card? A poor finish for Rubio will keep the establishment field divided and weak.

    The Undiscovered Jew

    February 16, 2016 at 12:17 am

  7. In the parlance of Game, Heartiste would say Trump AMOGed George W. Bush. Having already previously thrashed the remaining field, he needed a new foil to demonstrate his dominance over and that GOP-establishment-stacked crowd. Dubya remains popular among idiot republicans because nobody has had the brass balls to tell them they’re stupid and that Bush was a fraud. Trump did that, and South Carolina will likely reward him for his political courage to say such painful, heretical truths to them. That is the mark of the leader.

    If SC is “Bush country” like Jeb said, Trump just invaded and conducted a regime change.


    February 16, 2016 at 2:02 am

    • Spot on. This fight had to happen, sooner or later, in the context of the primary. The Republican Party electorate is broadly speaking, a more nationalist electorate than the Democratic electorate.
      The Republican elite has been using nationalist rhetoric, but executing globalist, anti-national policies for the last 25-30 years (it started with the 1986 Amnesty).
      Trump has asked the party elite to “take a step outside” and talk.
      Let’s see what happens. He is trying to shake things up and win.
      Excellent move by Trump.

      FB (Former Beta)

      February 16, 2016 at 10:10 am

  8. I thought Trump would show some drop after the debate. After all, he did copy one of the left’s more annoying tropes; Bush lied-people died. He really is the Teflon Don.

    Mike Street Station

    February 16, 2016 at 6:25 am

    • Yes, he’s walking a fine line with that anti-Bush rhetoric. He needs to be vocal about it, but not too overboard.

      And every time he criticizes Bush in a debate, he should wake up the next day and tweet ad infinitum about “supporting the troops” and “making American great again” to recapture any pro-war Conservatives he may have ruffled.


      February 16, 2016 at 12:46 pm

    • Apparently T-Heezy Coates has been dogging Bernie for dancing around the issue of reparations, but “black identifier” Shaun King has defended Sanders:

      But if Obama really cared about helping these two Democratic candidates in their laughably ridiculous and potentially inciendiary arms race to see who can grovel the lowest and pander to blacks the most, wouldn’t he come out in public and reiterate that he’s never been in favor of reparations himself? (at least, that was his public, election-friendly stance on reparations in 2008)

      For the benefit of Bernillary this could get black activists to back off a bit, while giving assurance to some elderly, moderate white Dem voters who are surely being sickened by all of the racial kowtowing that’s happening with the Democratic party. Obama could just rehash his old statements that reparations aren’t good because they distract “us” from the larger, more significant work that “we” Americans need to do:

      “I have said in the past _ and I’ll repeat again _ that the best reparations we can provide are good schools in the inner city and jobs for people who are unemployed,” the Illinois Democrat said recently.


      February 16, 2016 at 1:00 pm

      • I still think someday, the other shoe of reparations is going to drop, and it will be part of our political discourse. Some candidate is going to use it to motivate blacks to vote for them, why not Bernie? It’s not like he’s worried about busting the budget.

        Mike Street Station

        February 16, 2016 at 1:33 pm

  9. Thinking about this election i’ve concluded that if Trump doesn’t win, then the Alt-Right/HBD-sphere/whatever we’re calling ourselves should go all in for Cruz (a week ago I was Trump or nobody).

    Two reasons. One, the SCOTUS. Cruz will try really hard to make up for Roberts*. Two, Cruz will cut deals with the right-wing, before going to the Establishment. Cruz’s entire appeal is recognizing the RINOS screwing the base for 40 years, and promising not the repeat that. He’s already conceded on illegal immigration, and I think he’d cave on the crappier visas like H1Bs and H2s and Diversity lottery.

    *Alito’s as conservative as Thomas and Scalia, but he doesn’t upset liberals like Scalia. That’s the type of Justice the next GOP President should nominate. Bush got something right.


    February 16, 2016 at 2:06 pm

    • We should be very happy with another conservative like Roberts. He was right to vote for Obamacare, it wasn’t unconstitutional under the jurisprudence since FDR, which is that economic legislation isn’t unconstitutional.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      February 16, 2016 at 2:15 pm

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