Lion of the Blogosphere

CBS News national poll!

Trump 35%
Cruz 18%
Rubio 12%
Kasich 11%
Carson 6%
Bush 4%

Live-interview poll conducted 2/12 to 2/16. So 60% of this poll was conducted after the SC debate, which doesn’t appear to have hurt Trump.

Remember that Trump does worse on live-interview polls because some respondents (especially college-graduate respondents) don’t want to tell a live person that they support a politically incorrect candidate. But when people vote in the privacy of the voting booth, this isn’t a factor, so Trump will outperform live-interview polls in real secret-ballot primaries.

The NBC/WSJ poll showing different results than every other poll should be ignored as an outlier. That poll had a margin of error of 5%.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

February 18, 2016 at EDT am

Posted in Politics

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