Lion of the Blogosphere

Reuters poll, Trump still at 40%+

There is news about some poll that has Trump in second place.

Reuters reminds us that Trump has held steady in their tracking poll after the last debate, with a huge lead over Cruz and Rubio a distant third.

Link to Reuters tracking poll.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

February 18, 2016 at 12:30 am

Posted in Politics

18 Responses

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    • I didn’t believe it just because I knew where it came from. On the day the poll came out, it was the top story on NBC News that name. They are basically manufacturing their own stories and running them as news over in NBC land.

      Mike Street Station

      February 18, 2016 at 6:54 am

  1. the big alpha alt right males seem to all start collectively freaking out as soon sa theres even a tiny indication trump isnt going to win a landslide. just relax guys, we’ve got this.

    james n.s.w

    February 18, 2016 at 2:10 am

    • Big alpha alt right males? The ones who crapped their panties when Trump came in 2nd in Iowa? Hell, I’d rather have those two black chicks watching my back in a foxhole than them – they are total pussies. The alt-right is made up of low-grade loonies and trolls.

      But I dont’ think that Trump has this in the bag. After March, when the marginal candidates have been kicked out, what happens to their delegates? What if they give their delegates to Cruz? I don’t know what the rules are on this. Dick Morris has a lot of stuff about this issue.

      gothamette

      February 18, 2016 at 8:24 am

  2. I’ve been watching a bunch of his speeches on youtube and his immigration comments sound nothing like the position paper on his site. He’s big on the wall and ending illegal immigration but says nothing about who should and shouldn’t be allowed to immigrate. There is nothing about promoting social cohesion, nothing about protecting wages, and nothing about the dangers of importing poverty. I think he mentioned the (basically false) statistics about south american immigrant crime just that once. Nothing ever about the very real effect on the three things I just mentioned.

    Lloyd Llewellyn

    February 18, 2016 at 2:45 am

  3. This is what he should sound like!

    Lloyd Llewellyn

    February 18, 2016 at 2:50 am

    • Trump’s inability to frame his points rationally is one thing I’ve been commenting about here, but I’ve come to the conclusion that maybe he’s figured out something: his events are massive pep rallies, and his followers respond viscerally to the image of the fighter, the guy who gives a yuge middle finger to the PC bullshit artists who are choking us to death.

      Annie does the words. He does the music.

      If he actually does get elected President, she’ll be the Peggy Noonan to his Reagan. Every President needs one of those.

      gothamette

      February 18, 2016 at 8:19 am

      • Trump’s inability to frame his points rationally is one thing I’ve been commenting about here,

        Trump is not a writer or a lawyer, he’s a “doer”. He uses language with a goal to seeing results in the real world.

        …but I’ve come to the conclusion that maybe he’s figured out something: his events are massive pep rallies,

        ………………………..for gods sake!!! Good to see you.

        …If he actually does get elected President, she’ll be the Peggy Noonan to his Reagan. Every President needs one of those.

        Except that Noonan is an idiot and Coulter is really smart. Noonan was also a weak, prissy woman and Ann is a tough bitch who wants to fight.

        Plus Trump doesn’t read canned speeches, he just says what he thinks. For good or bad.

        Rifleman

        February 18, 2016 at 5:12 pm

      • If she’s so influential then why don’t his immigration comments sound more like hers?

        Lloyd Llewellyn

        February 18, 2016 at 7:06 pm

      • “If she’s so influential then why don’t his immigration comments sound more like hers?
        I think they do, in essence.

        Actually immigration I think is the only thing they really agree on. Coulter is pretty liberal on blacks. In fact, she was in many ways a classic cuck when it came to black people, often deploying the “it’s the Democrats who are the real racists” card, which is despised by the alt-right cuck-haters. She also still thinks that Amanda Knox and her hapless Italian BF killed Meredith Kercher, when it’s pretty obvious it was an African drifter.

        gothamette

        February 18, 2016 at 9:42 pm

      • @Rifleman,

        Meds time!

        gothamette

        February 18, 2016 at 9:43 pm

  4. The poll in question, NBC/WSJ is rated as “awesome” by Nate Silver. I don’t think it should be discounted. It’s interesting to note that Silver praised them for publishing an outlier poll (assuming it is, in fact, an outlier). Apparently, that makes pollsters more credible.

    If you max out the margin of error and take into account that Trump has historically done poorly with this poll, maybe it isn’t so surprising. On the other hand, I wonder if his comments about Bush/Iraq etc. were sufficiently shocking to the GOP base to cause a momentary dip in his appeal.

    I don’t like the timing of this poll, given that SC is two days away.

    SWPL2

    February 18, 2016 at 9:02 am

    • The poll in question, NBC/WSJ is rated as “awesome” by Nate Silver. I don’t think it should be discounted. It’s interesting to note that Silver praised them for publishing an outlier poll (assuming it is, in fact, an outlier). Apparently, that makes pollsters more credible.

      Publishing outliers makes one credible in that it shows a lack of publication bias.

      One problem in research of any kind, is results that disagree with previous research tend not to get published, because folks assume it must be wrong or are afraid of ridicule, so established ideas are hard to overturn until someone is finally brave enough to report contrarian findings.

      pumpkinperson

      February 18, 2016 at 11:40 am

      • If you have a poll that’s an extreme outlier, the correct thing to do is to determine if it’s really correct, such as examine the methodology for systemic biases, or re-conduct the poll with different respondents.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        February 18, 2016 at 11:53 am

  5. name recognition, that’s all. the average person simply has not kept up on these Cruz and Rubio characters. And Bush is a known, and a nonstarter

    Mrs Stitch

    February 18, 2016 at 11:01 am


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