Bush likely to drop out after South Carolina
On Tuesday I wrote:
If Bush finishes well behind Rubio, even if it’s in fourth place and not fifth place, I think he definitely drops out. Anything but a third-place finish drastically underperforms expectations for the guy who used to be the front-runner and who spent a massive amount of money on his campaign. 6th place in Iowa, 4th place in New Hampshire, and then 4th place in South Carolina, that’s a big loser with no chance of winning. He will capitulate and spend the rest of his life nursing a deep personal hatred for both Donald Trump and Marco Rubio.
Here is some evidence (thanks to commenter “Jesse”) that Bush is indeed going to drop out unless he finishes in third place in South Carolina. Although the Bush campaign officially denies the rumors.
The big suspense lies with Kasich. I think he personally will want to stay in, and because he has been much more frugal with his spending he can afford to stay in, but the GOPe will be screaming at him to drop out so that Rubio, the Boy Wonder, can finally break out on Super Tuesday (although I predict that even with Bush and Kasich gone, Trump still beats Rubio because the anti-Trump vote will split between Rubio and Cruz).
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Mr. Bush is fighting for his political life, under increasing pressure from donors and supporters to drop out if he does not place in the top three, or finishes far behind Mr. Rubio.
More evidence that Bush is going to drop out after South Carolina (unless by some miracle he comes in third place).
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And Politico reports that big donors are refusing to give Bush any more money and have told him they want him to drop out if he finishes behind Rubio on Saturday.