Trump weak in the Midwest, strong in the Deep South.
Trump lost in Texas, Oklahoma, Minnesota, and Iowa, all Midwest states.
On the other hand, Trump does well in Deep South states, or at least well enough to win them.
Trump does best in coastal blue states.
Luckily for Trump, there aren’t too many delegates left in the midwest. Even if he loses Kansas, Nebraska and the Dakotas, there aren’t a whole lot of delegates in those states.
Trump will also probably lose Utah because the Mormon vote will go to Rubio.
* * *
On Saturday, therefore I predict that Trump loses the Kansas caucus, but wins the Maine caucus, the Kentucky caucus, and the Louisiana primary.