We’ve suspected for a while that Trump doesn’t really know what’s in his position papers on his website, and he outsources them to TrueCon types who ignore what he says in his campaign speeches. It has finally been proven today. The diatribe in his immigration plan against H-1B visas is apparently not something he’s actually going to do if he becomes president.
It seems to me that Trump’s actual beef with immigration is that our laws are being violated. Trump believes in law and order.
But today we see that Trump actually buys into the standard big-corporation lies on immigration.
* There aren’t enough qualified Americans
* We lose “talented” people if they graduate college and then aren’t allowed to stay here and work
* We need foreigners to do jobs Americans won’t do
When asked about his hotels’ use of H-2B visas, he could have said “I’m a businessman, I take advantage of the laws to make as much money as possible. But when I’m president, we are going to reform the H-2B program to create more jobs for Americans.” Instead, he just agrees with the standard corporate position that these are jobs Americans won’t do.
Trump has said all along that his wall is going to have a big beautiful door in the middle of it for people to come here legally. I now think that he means it, and that he has no interest in reducing the amount of legal immigration and may actually increase it.
Because I personally feel strongly about this, it’s hard for me to say if other people watching the debate have a lesser opinon of Trump because of this debate.
I think that Cruz had a very strong debate. He avoided trading stupid personal insults with Trump the way that Rubio did.
Cruz is definitely the strongest candidate on immigration. I think Cruz is the one who believes in the plan on Trump’s website (which we believe was written by someone from Senator Jeff Session’s office), and not Trump himself.
However, I would have a hard time supporting Cruz because he’s a crazy zealot on every TrueCon issue and everyone hates him. Abolish the IRS? Is that for real? He’s supposedly very smart and he want to Harvard Law School, but he obviously didn’t learn any tax law while he was there. Paying taxes with just a postcard is fine if your only income comes from W-2 employment, but the reality is that figuring out income for businesses and investments is extremely complicated and can’t be simplified away with a “flat tax.”
On the other hand, if Cruz somehow becomes president (and it could happen, Cruz could win the nomination after Trump loses in the first round of voting, and then Hillary could get in big trouble for her emails), he probably won’t be able to get Congress to do any of his crazy TrueCon stuff.
Rubio didn’t look very good to me tonight. He’s trading insults with Trump while Cruz is the guy talking policy and presenting himself as an alternative to Trump.
And then there’s the fact that we know that Rubio is just a puppet of his donors and handlers. He was all invested in the Gang of Eight bill to grant amnesty to illegal aliens, and now he pretends that’s not what he wanted to do.
Rubio just isn’t qualified to be president. Even if you approve of amnesty, he’s not qualified. If you want amnesty, then Kasich is a way better choice for president. If Rubio ever actually became the nominee, the Democrats would hammer him nonstop that he’s against abortions for women who were raped and got pregnant by their rapist.
I’m starting to fall for Kasich’s only-adult-in-the-room shtick.
Unfortunately, Kasich thinks that the adult thing to do is to grant amnesty to illegal aliens, which he previously promised to do within 100 days of taking office. That’s a huge deal killer for me.
I don’t understand why the GOPe, which I think agrees with amnesty, isn’t supporting him instead of Rubio.
He wasn’t physically at the debate, but he was there. He’d be a better candidate than Cruz, Rubio, or Kasich. And back in 2012, Ann Coulter supported him as the best candidate on immigration.
But Trump supporters will perceive him as stealing the nomination from Trump and he will lose their votes. I don’t think he’d be able to recover from that and be able to beat Hillary. (Although as discussed above and below, there are scenarios where Hillary become beatable by anyone.)
With Hillary as president, we’d get a continuation of Obama’s illegal executive orders to quasi-legalize illegal aliens by refusing to enforce the laws and actually grant them government benefits, while not doing anything to enforce the border. But at least Republicans in the House would refuse to vote for any amnesty bill that she proposes. They might, however, vote for an amnesty bill from Rubio or Kasich because they’re on the same team.
With Hillary as president, we’d also get a new liberal justice on the Supreme Court, and then the Supreme Court might find that illegal aliens have a constitutional right to stay here. Really, it could happen. Although slowly. They’d start by giving illegal aliens so many legal rights to fight deportation that it would be practically impossible to deport anyone. And then the Court would say that it’s unconstitutional not to give illegal aliens the “freedom” to work at a job. You get the idea.
It’s not a done deal that Hillary becomes president. She’s a very weak candidate. She’s a case of the party insiders selecting her, not the actual voters. And that email thing is hanging over her head which could kill her between now and November.
* * *
My favorite comment so far, written by “chairman”:
Cruz is a crazy libertarian ideologue. He wants money backed by gold. He’s spent too much time reading kooky libertarian (probably Austrian) nonsense. I’d rather vote for Hillary than such a type.
* * *
Frank Luntz’ focus group says Kasich won, and one woman says he was the “only adult in the room.” Maybe she was reading my blog???
* * *
Before I go to sleep, here’s the official Trump campaign response, denying what he said at the debate about work visas. I presume that, unlike his tweets, he didn’t write this response personally. Will Trump know what’s in it the next time he talks about the issue?
* * *
Commenters have corrected me. Cruz has a legislative record of being in favor of massive increases in legalized immigration. Trump is the best candidate on immigration, even though he doesn’t know what’s on his website.
Being against legal immigration isn’t part of the TrueCon gameplan, and TrueCons don’t have a strong unanimous viewpoint on amnesty. They are in favor of amnesty as long as it’s called by a better euphemism, just as they are in favor of adding complexity to the tax code as long as it’s called a “tax break.”