Lion of the Blogosphere

Advice for GOPe (tell Rubio to drop out NOW)

All polls show Rubio losing Florida to Truimp.

Only if you believe the poll most favorable to Trump, and assume that every undecided voter breaks for Trump, then only can Rubio win Florida by one percentage point. But more likely, voters will break away from Rubio because of his pathetic underperformance and the chatter in the MSM that Rubio is doomed and is being urged by his donors to drop out.

On the other hand, polls also show that Rubio is stealing a lot of votes from Kasich in Ohio and Illinois. If Rubio drops out right now and endorses Kasich, he will at least assure that Kasich has a big convincing win in Ohio and denies the delegates to Trump, and also boosts Kasich in Illinois where he would take more delegates from Trump with a good showing. Kasich would pick up a lot of momentum and donors, and he could effectively challenge Trump in the remaining primaries, especially the West Coast primaries where Kasich would be strong.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

March 10, 2016 at 12:51 pm

Posted in Politics

24 Responses

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  1. What’s with your spelling, Lion


    March 10, 2016 at 12:58 pm

  2. Rubio is now running anti Kasich ads in Florida.

    So, he’s not going to run with Kasich. The neocon leaning American Spectator, which had been pro Rubio, now wants both Rubio and Kasich out.

    Come to think of it, Kasich never really got big donor money even though Lion’s right: he is the only one to directly make the case for Establishment policy on the stage & he possibly has a higher ceiling than Rubio.

    If, for example, California turns out to be relevant, then can you see Cruz doing well there in a 1v1? I could see Rubio or Kasich, endorsed by the Governator, doing well.


    March 10, 2016 at 1:01 pm

  3. Early voting has already been underway for several days in Florida.


    March 10, 2016 at 1:14 pm

  4. Supposedly Jeb is thinking of endorsing Rubio. (Talk about the kiss of death…)

    If he does, what will you conclude? Two obvious possibilities:
    1. The GOPe is still stupidly fixated on Rubio as the best anti-Trump.
    2. The GOPe actually wants Trump to be the candidate.


    March 10, 2016 at 1:24 pm

    • Lol, very funny question.

      The Philosopher

      March 10, 2016 at 7:39 pm


    If You Think You Know Trump’s Voters, You’re Mistaken

    Mar 9, 2016
    By Ramesh Ponnuru

    Robert Kagan, a neoconservative writer, has a theory about Donald Trump: He has risen to the top of the Republican field because the party has taught its members to value obstruction and hate President Barack Obama.

    The more detail Kagan puts into his case, the less plausible it appears.


    March 10, 2016 at 1:43 pm

    • I don’t need the GOP to teach me to want to obstruct the Democrats and stop Obama. That’s what I want the sonsobitches to do! That’s the only reason I hold my nose and vote for Republicans! I wish they were better at it!


      March 10, 2016 at 3:08 pm

    • Kagan is a traitorous vermin, married to an even more disgusting vermin, the execrable Tricky Vicky Nuland. Nothing he has to say is worth a moment’s thought. He is the enemy.


      March 10, 2016 at 4:47 pm

  6. Lion, please please have a look at the front page of the digital NY Times today. It’s Trump Trump Trump. They are having a fucking meltdown over The Donald. This is great.

    Biggest globaloney lie article:

    Trump is a mercantilist, therefore he must be destroyed. What do China, Japan and Germany practice?

    Funniest article:

    The title speaks for itself.


    March 10, 2016 at 1:50 pm

    • I sent an email to my sister asking if the article about explaining Donald Trump to one’s children is true.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      March 10, 2016 at 2:26 pm

    • Not a fan of Kristof and I don’t agree with everything he says in the piece but I do agree that nearly every parent doesn’t want their underage daughter to be a prostitute. Not sure what’s funny about it.

      Lloyd Llewellyn

      March 10, 2016 at 4:45 pm

      • Oy, I made a mistake. (Moral of the story: don’t play hooky at work.)

        The article I meant to link to, and thought was funny, was how to talk to your kids about Trump.



        March 10, 2016 at 7:26 pm

      • Really, it’s all Trump all the time. The Duopoly Establishment is genuinely worried.

        “But studies have shown that his bigger appeal is as an authoritarian voice of the voiceless. Part of that has been rallying people — particularly those who haven’t gone to college — who feel a resentment toward racial, ethnic and religious “others.”

        Goddit? Authoritarian and resentful. That means fascists.


        March 10, 2016 at 7:35 pm

    • Germany and Japan aren’t really independent countries. The arrangement is that they export stuff to us, and in exchange they host our military and basically do what we say on important foreign policy and military arrangements and affairs. If there’s a war with Russia or China, Germany and Japan’s industrial machines, manpower, and militaries would be available to us. Mercantilist policy by us would disrupt this and other similar arrangements, and likely disrupt international order which has been peaceful since WWII.


      March 10, 2016 at 6:32 pm

  7. I’m writing in my pick…..Al Bundy for President!!!

    Baldassano Benjamin

    March 10, 2016 at 2:14 pm

  8. I keep assuming that Rubio is going to drop out after tonight’s debate but I just don’t know anymore. He is really stupid and that makes him unpredictable.

    Otis the Sweaty

    March 10, 2016 at 2:19 pm

    • If his objective was to win the nomination then he should have quit long ago and he was stupid to persist this long. But that is not his objective. His objective is to sell his decision to the highest bidder (“If you want me to stay in, or you want me to quit, what’s it worth to you?”). Therefore his decision is rational. As soon as he quits then he has nothing left to sell.

      Of course, his decision also has no value after the Florida primary is done, so he needs to make the best deal he can before Monday night.


      March 10, 2016 at 3:06 pm

  9. I live in southern California. Schwarzenegger’s endorsement isn’t going to sway a lot of votes to Kasich; Arnie is not all that popular among the GOP here. He’s seen as having been something of a sellout after making nice with Democrat sleazeballs like Fabian Nunez.

    As I see it, most Republicans in California want to “vote with their middle finger,” and we all know who will get those votes. People really are that angry.

    Sgt. Joe Friday

    March 10, 2016 at 2:27 pm

    • Arnold Schwarzenegger got elected California governor in a special recall election for Gray Davis. There was no primary to be on the ballot as a replacement for Gray Davis. If Arnold had to run for governor in the normal manner at that time, he never could have won the primary. He is not conservative enough for California Republicans. Arnold got a lot of Hispanic votes when he ran for governor. No other Republican has been able to appeal to Hispanics in California in recent history.

      Today California has an open primary for governor where the top two in the primary go on the November ballot and candidates like Arnold have a chance.

      The California Republican primary is a closed primary. Only register Republicans can vote in it. Joe Friday is right that not many registered Republicans care what Arnold thinks.

      The California Democratic primary is a semi-open primary in that independents can vote in the Democratic primary.


      March 10, 2016 at 3:43 pm

      • The dynamic revolving around the Davis recall, Schwarzenegger’s governorship, and the changes in California electoral law is an interesting case of political tactics for politics junkies.

        California voters statewide tend to prefer liberal/ moderate Republicans to Democrats. Reagan himself, despite some hippy bashing, did not govern the state all that much as a conservative. They perceive the national Republican Party as being too far to the right, at least culturally, so no Republican has won the state in a presidential or senatorial contest since 1988. The party could still win statewide with candidates from their moderate/ liberal wing.

        However, the Republican primary electorate within California is mostly conservative and won’t play ball.

        In 2002, the Republican establishment wanted to run the wealthy moderate Mayor of LA, Richard Riordan, against Davis who was up for re-election and pretty unpopular. Davis got his PACs to intervene in the Republican primary to run ads criticizing Riordan for not being conservative enough (sort of the same thing Nixon was doing in the 1972 Democratic primaries to make sure he would face McGovern), and Republican primary voters took the bait and selected an un-electable candidate. Davis won -reelection with a fairly narrow plurality.

        The Republican establishment then set up the recall to get their wealthy moderate candidate in, using the lack of primaries in the recall to by-pass the Republican primary electorate, and making sure of things by running a celebrity. Once this worked -the “no recall” percentage was pretty close to Davis’ percentage in his last election, Schwarzenegger pushed through the top two system which among other things removes closed primaries. However, in the long run these sort of tactics can’t overcome demographic trends.


        March 10, 2016 at 4:41 pm

    • You must live in Orange County. There aren’t any Republicans even left in the L.A. basin, are there?


      March 10, 2016 at 6:36 pm

  10. Right now the only possible way for GOPe to stop Trump would be to pull both Kasich and Rubio out. The deal would then be that Cruz would have to take Rubio as V.P. Their situation is so dire right now, that I believe that is the most leverage, and best possible result that they can achieve in having any control over the next Republican administration.


    March 10, 2016 at 6:39 pm

  11. Best hope for GOPe is to have brokered convention and/or try to intimidate/blackmail Trump into playing ball. I’m sure their buddies in the CIA/NSA can dig up something salacious. If not “lone gunman” #56 awaits in the general against Madame Secretary Sociopath…Of course, they can’t make #56 a muslim this time as that would actually stop immigration haha. Someone Chinese would be perfect as that demo can take the publicity hit and still be viewed as respectable enough to let the rapids of open borders continue to flow.

    The Philosopher

    March 10, 2016 at 7:48 pm

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