Lion of the Blogosphere

How are Republican candidates doing on the 40(b) requirement?

Rule 40(b) requires that in order for a candidate to be eligible to be voted on at the Republican convention, he must have the support of at least half the delegates from at least 8 states.

Trump has already met this requirement from the following 8 states:

South Carolina

Cruz only as 4 states:


No other candidate has even one state.

In case you are wondering about Rubio, he won less than half of the delegates in Minnesota, and although he won all of Puerto Rico’s 23 delegates, Puerto Rico is a territory and not a state so it doesn’t count.

If the GOPe wishes to stop Trump with anyone but Cruz* (and they hate Cruz as much as they hate Trump), they will have to change rule 40(b) at the convention. Because such a rule change would be for the express purpose of denying the guy with the most votes the nomination. Ironically, the reason why that rule was made in the first place was so the guy with the most votes would get the nomination on the first ballot, because it was believed (with valid reasons) that a drawn-out contested convention led to weakened candidates who would lose to the Democrats.

*This assumes that Cruz qualifies by winning the majority of delegates in four additional states. I think that he could pick up four additional Interior Northwest and Great Plains states. He is most likely to win in: Utah, Montana, Wyoming, Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

March 12, 2016 at EDT pm

Posted in Uncategorized

12 Responses

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  1. Great, looks like Trump and Cruz may make appearances here in Montana. For some reason in 2008, Hillary came here once and Obama two or three times. Usually we never see the candidates in person.

    Mrs Stitch

    March 12, 2016 at EDT pm

  2. Rubio is advocating for his supporters to vote Kasich in Ohio, and for him in FL as the only way to stop Trump.

    Obviously Marco is unaware of rule 40(b). (Among the other things of which he is unaware)


    March 12, 2016 at EDT pm

  3. slightly OT:
    Attempted attack on Donald Trump at Dayton Ohio March 12, 2016


    March 12, 2016 at EDT pm

  4. Lion, Trump is not going to be the nominee. They will figure out a way to expel him from the party.


    March 12, 2016 at EDT pm

    • You need to put that prediction into a bet on a betting website, Gothamette. Money on the table.


      March 12, 2016 at EDT pm

    • No they won’t, but I don’t think that he can get to 1237. Too many cucks.

      Otis the Sweaty

      March 12, 2016 at EDT pm

    • Lion, Trump is not going to be the nominee. They will figure out a way to expel him from the party.

      See, overly emotional woman. You are cracking up. This will happen to more women as the GOPe and libs and media do their strategy of psyching out voters.

      That’s how they work in the schools, in the media, in politics. It’s happening all over the “White World”. Giant mind assault.

      I’m bothered by Trump’s lack of intellect and verbal precision. BUT, he has the ability to get in the middle of this battle and not break. I mean the guy is literally hated more people than Bin Laden was by many people in the power structures around the world. Because apparently he’s more of a threat.

      But the guy is relentless.

      Rubio, Cruz, Kasich, Sanders and Clinton. That’s all the enemy has left. No Superman is going to arrive and save the day.


      March 13, 2016 at EDT am

  5. It would be best if all the primaries / caucuses where held on the same day, instead of this drawn-out process.

    Steven J.

    March 12, 2016 at EDT pm

  6. Cruz won Wyoming with 66% of the vote, so looks like he’s up to 5.

    Mercy Vetsel

    March 12, 2016 at EDT pm

  7. Last December, RealClear Politics wrote that GOP officials passed Rule 40(b) as a temporary measure. Party bigwigs intend to rewrite Rule 40(b) in the week before the convention to benefit whichever candidate they favor at that time:

    Why Rule 40 Won’t Make a Difference

    Republican lawyer Ben Ginsberg and University of Georgia political science lecturer Josh Putnam (who also runs the excellent FHQ blog) emphasized to RealClearPolitics that Rule 40(b) is temporary. In the week before the 2016 convention, the delegates will have multiple opportunities to change it, so no GOP presidential campaign has to worry about getting delegate majorities in at least eight states.
    [end quote]


    Mark Caplan

    March 13, 2016 at EDT pm

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