Lion of the Blogosphere

West Virginia and Nebraska analysis

West Virginia delegate rules are here.

The West Virginia Primary is May 10.

I believe that Trump will be strong in West Virginia. West Virginia is a split winner-take-all state (by CD and at-large). I predict that Trump wins all 34 delegates.

In the previous post, I predicted that Truimp would have 992 delegates after winning in Indiana. Add another 34 to his total and Trump is at 1,026. Getting pretty close to 1,237.

Nebraska delegate rules are here.

The Nebraska primary is May 10.

Nebraska is winner-take-all and Cruz wins all 36 delegates.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

March 16, 2016 at 6:52 pm

Posted in Politics

2 Responses

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  1. West Virginia 2nd could go either way. It’s on the rail to DC and there are a lot of commuters on the eastern panhandle, no coal, and a lot of government and white collar employment. It’s notably a swing district with the GOP rep having gotten a plurality. One of their state reps is a black woman Republican.

    I suspect Trump will have no problem with the other two, however.


    March 16, 2016 at 6:59 pm

  2. Though not altogether optimistic about Trump’s chances in Nebraska, it should be noted that unlike Kansas and Iowa, which share a border with it and have backed Cruz, Nebraska is a primary state and not a caucus state. One thing that has become abundantly clear to me in mapping these election results is that caucus states do not follow the geographical voting trends across state boundaries like primary states do, and in particular, they are artificially pro-Cruz. Cruz may perform well in Nebraska, but it is not a state that Trump should write off.

    The Reluctant Apostate

    March 18, 2016 at 4:10 am

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