Lion of the Blogosphere

Is Trump weak in Milwaukee?

This news article from Wisconsin is worrisome for Trump. It’s very important for Trump to win in Wisconsin in order to ensure that he obtains a majority of the delegates.

I thought Trump would be strong in Milwaukee, but according to the article, Trump has very high unfavorable ratings in Milwaukee and in southern Wisconsin. Trump could lose congressional districts 1, 2, 4, and 5 based on this information, which is half of the CDs in Wisconsins. Each CD is winner-take-all. (See map of Wisconsin CDs.)

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

March 20, 2016 at 9:42 pm

Posted in Politics

21 Responses

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  1. Where doesn’t he have high unfavorable ratings? Seems like it hasn’t been a deterrent thus far.

    K.l. Asher

    March 20, 2016 at 9:50 pm

  2. One word: Germans. Trump is weak with his own people. And Wisconsin is perhaps the most German state in the country.


    March 20, 2016 at 9:55 pm

  3. Is Trump weak in Milwaukee?

    Based on demographics – VERY weak:

    Racial composition 2010:

    White (Non-Hispanic) – 37.0%

    Black or African American – 40.0%

    Hispanic or Latino (of any race) – 17.3%

    Asian – 3.5%


    March 20, 2016 at 11:09 pm

    • Trump should be strong based on those demographics. The minorities are Democrats, and the Republican prole whites should be very pro-Trump, like they were in Chicago.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      March 20, 2016 at 11:12 pm

      • Except that they might be government workers, uptight TruCons and others.

        If there were Republicans in Milwaukee they have mostly either died off or moved out.

        Lots of prissy Republicans out there. They aren’t all nationalists, tough guys, independent thinking right wing types.

        Plenty are Good Guy Beta Daddies, Super Church types, libertarian Aspey types and Midwestern wimps.

        Look at all the Republicans who HATE Trump – Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush, Kasich, George Will, Eric Erickson, Bill Kristol, Lots of these types of White males all over America along with the Bill deBlassio, Harry Reid liberals.


        March 20, 2016 at 11:24 pm

    • The article mentioned Waukesha, Washington, and Ouzakee Countirs. These suburban areas have very different demographics than the city of Milwaukee.

      Jay Fink

      March 21, 2016 at 12:18 am

  4. According to the article he is weak in upscale parts which is the norm. Is WI winner take all?

    It says his faves are 40/47 overall. Not bad and probably better than Cruz.

    Otis the Sweaty

    March 20, 2016 at 11:35 pm

  5. I went to law school with an IA Catholic from Milwaukee. Nice guy, but a braindead McGovernite. Dated a hot Jewish chick, who probably gave him his politics. I know he ain’t no Trumpster.


    March 20, 2016 at 11:40 pm

  6. OT: Guy that banged guidette on Ferris wheel is shot after leaving strip club. Remember you vauguely mentioning them in a post a few months back.

    Mayor of Space

    March 20, 2016 at 11:41 pm

    • At least he had good sex before he died.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      March 21, 2016 at 12:04 am

    • According to his Facebook, he was almost killed by a drunk driver 3 weeks ago…

      and this:
      “On the day Philip Panzica was set to marry Mistie Bozant (l.), he was caught having sex on a Ferris wheel with another woman. His fiancée, meanwhile, was pregnant with another man’s child.”

      Take about prole…

      Anders Lindqvist

      March 21, 2016 at 2:28 pm

  7. Likely to be a problem in CDs 1 and 5.

    Look at CD 4. It’s overwhelmingly urban and Democratic. That’s the Trump demographic, though it won’t show up in polls because there are so few Republicans there.

    CD2 has some Republucan suburbs around Madison but also rural areas and Madison Republicans so it’ll be competitive. CDs 1 and 5 swallow all the suburban True Con area from the article. Trump will have trouble there though the divide between Cruz and Kasich may help him.

    The rest of the state up north and west is Trump country. I predict 6-2 Trump over Cruz in districts plus statewide victory.


    March 21, 2016 at 12:14 am

    • The article says views on Trump mirror the 2012 GOP primary (he does well where Santorum did well, weak where Romney was strong). If that’s the case then Trump looks good only in CDs 3, 7 and 8, the three northwestern districts, which were the only districts Santorum carried. Romney beat Santorum in district 4. I don’t have the exact numbers, but Santorum lost Milwaukee County by 20 points, and got wiped out in all the counties bordering it. It looks like the race will be won in CDs 2 and 6.

      There’s a detailed map of the 2012 primary here:


      March 21, 2016 at 10:51 am

  8. On your Wisconsin preview I predicted those exact counties could be strong for Cruz because they are filled with TrueCons.

    Jay Fink

    March 21, 2016 at 12:15 am

  9. what is the standard truecon stance on immigration? are trucons pro immigration or anti it? or are they just anti illegal immigration but pro legal immigration.

    james n.s.w

    March 21, 2016 at 1:47 am

    • It really depends. There are some TrueCons who are totally open borders but they are a minority. I think you can generally say that they are extremely hostile to illegal immigration and H1Bs but ambivalent towards legal immigration. Basically what Ann Coulter was before her awakening.

      What apparently really defines being a TruCon though, in March 2016, is extreme, fanatical hatred of Trump.

      Purging the party of these losers is going to be more joyous than would be the deportation of 12 million illegals.

      Otis the Sweaty

      March 21, 2016 at 10:50 am

      • if they are opposed to immigration much more than say, a GOPestablishment con is, why do they hate trump so much? i don’t get it the “trucon” concept – are trucons sort of like a half-way position between a trumpian conservative and a gope? and if that is the case, why would they hate trump *more* or similarly to the GOPe?

        james n.s.w

        March 21, 2016 at 1:39 pm

      • More than anything else it’s identity politics. If you talk to most voters, even very intelligent ones, they don’t decide who to support based on policy, but rather various forms of identity.

        Take my mom for example, an accomplished US Attorney, very intelligent; she dislikes Hillary Clinton but absolutely adores Corey Booker, despite the fact that their policies are exactly the same. She also loves John Kasich despite the fact that she is pro choice and basically hates SoCon stuff, of which Kasich is a die hard.

        Why does my mom love guys like Kasich and Booker so much? Because they appeal to her “moderate” temperament. She likes politicians who come off as affable and non ideological. She also has an old school fetishization with politicians who have “accomplished” things. Policy doesn’t enter the equation for her.

        Now, back to the TruCons; Trump creates the reverse reaction in the TruCons that Booker and Kasich do to “moderates” like my mother. His proleness, his total lack of religion, his indifference to “Conservatism Inc.” issues like tax cuts for billionaires, wars, defunding Planned Parenthood, Benghazi, muh Constitution, etc. In isolation some of those things might be forgivable but put together they are just too much for your classic TruCons. And Trump’s continued success has only fueled their rage which has caused them to develop full blown Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS).

        tl;dr, it’s about identity, not policy

        Otis the Sweaty

        March 21, 2016 at 2:47 pm

  10. Today there was a big debate between a popular youtube personality named Sargon of Akkhad and an alt-right vlogger Millenial Woes. Unfortunately Woes didn’t know enough HBD to mount a convincing case.

    The problem with the alt-right is that it has gone too far down the nazi road and forgotten about HBD.


    March 21, 2016 at 5:09 am

    • Lots of people on the internet pick fights about topics they poorly understand.


      March 21, 2016 at 10:16 am

  11. This article doesn’t say he’s weak in Milwawaukee, it says he is weak in Milwaukee suburbs, which we knew.

    That’s Cruz country. He’ll do bad there and in Madison and good in the rest of the state.


    March 21, 2016 at 10:19 am

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