I’ve been telling you for a while that Cruz would win more than 50%, and in fact he did even BETTER than I expected.
The Mitt Romney endorsement really helped him. The Mormons take orders from their leaders. Whether Utah votes for Trump or Hillary in a Trump v. Hillary election depends a lot on what Mitt Romney orders them to do.
Trump winning 47% of the vote in Arizona looks even BETTER in light of the fact that, I estimate, 12% of the Arizona Republican primary voters were Mormons who voted the same way as Mormons in Utah. In a Mormon-free Arizona, Trump would have surpassed 50%.
Wisconsin is the key for Trump. There aren’t many Mormons in Wisconsin or other types who would vote for Cruz. Trump would benefit greatly by winning the state and the majority of the state’s CDs, which I predict he will do. (Although I wish I knew more about Wisconsin. The only thing I know about that state is that Laverne & Shirley and Gary Gygax are from there.)