Lion of the Blogosphere

New polls good for Trump!


Trump 47
Kasich 27
Cruz 19

I previously predicted Trump would win Maryland but that Kasich would win the two CDs around DC. With such a strong showing, maybe Trump can get a sweep?


Trump 50
Kasich 26
Cruz 16

My prediction was that Trump would win more than 50% and thus get all of the delegates, unlike Nate Silver’s more pessimistic prediction.

I think this new poll shows that I am more likely to be correct than Nate Silver. I believe that Connecticut is a type of state where Trump will outperform the polls.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

April 14, 2016 at 6:26 pm

Posted in Politics

10 Responses

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  1. OK you are a genius, but enough already. Post some of the new Trump antics I wanna have a good laugh.


    April 14, 2016 at 6:36 pm

  2. Until recently, I lived in Maryland, DC area. The state is defined by rural and suburban whites with a huge population of blacks crammed into the cities.
    Though Maryland is known for its wealthy enclaves, the landscape is dominated by picturesque farmland just a few miles outside the city. I found there’s a huge population of provincial white proles who openly distrust other races.
    MD seems like a natural fit for Trump.

    Giovanni Dannato

    April 14, 2016 at 7:04 pm

  3. CT heavily favored Linda McMahon in a senate race a few years back (against libertarian Peter Schiff), can’t get much more prole than that…


    April 14, 2016 at 7:32 pm

  4. My state of Pennsylvania is almost identical in character to what Giovanni described in MD although we also have lots of miserable, rusted out factory towns to boot. I can tell you on the ground here in Central PA that the white proles are busting at the seams to vote Trump. I know someone at the Department of Voter Registration that said they haven’t seen anything like this before…there have been tens of thousands of Democrat proles changing to R just to vote for him in the primary. Trump is heading for a YUUUUUGE victory in PA


    April 14, 2016 at 7:42 pm

  5. Trump did best in Mass, CT’s neighbor.


    April 14, 2016 at 7:51 pm

    • CT is a suburb of New York City where Trump is very very strong among the white proles.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      April 14, 2016 at 8:09 pm

      • Chateau posted a chart that ranked states on how nice the people are based on white ethnicity. All the states with “nice” people like Wisconsin voted for Cruz. While the mean states vote for Trump. On that chart, Connecticut ranked as the #1 meanest so that’s another reason it should be great for Trump.

        I’m in Washington State which ranks as the 14th nicest so I guess Cruz is going to win here, although I haven’t seen any polling.

        Jay Fink

        April 14, 2016 at 11:56 pm

      • Luckily Washington has proportional allocation of delegatese.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        April 15, 2016 at 12:16 am

  6. Any polling for Delaware? I know it’s small with only 16 delegates but from your post I would assume Trump is favored by a lot. Northern Delaware is a miniature version of Philadelphia and it’s suburbs. Industrial decay along with a little bit of manufacturing. Urban and suburban neighborhoods, some nice and very nice but most dreadful. South of Wilmington is similar to Kentucky. MAGA!

    p s c

    April 15, 2016 at 9:16 pm

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