Lion of the Blogosphere

5 NY Delegates for Kasich, 90 for Trump

Looking at the New York State election site this afternoon, I count 5 delegates for Kasich.

There’s a small possibility that Kasich could pick up a sixth delegate from CD13 (northern Manhattan and western Bronx) where Trump has 50.49% of the vote and one of 496 EDs has not yet been counted. But that’s unlikely.

Trump has exceeded my original prediction of 82 by 8 delegates.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

April 20, 2016 at 1:51 pm

Posted in Politics

18 Responses

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  1. I’m still confused about the interaction between delegate boundage and rule 40b (eight state majority). I thought I heard somewhere that (most or all) of Rubio’s bound delegates do not become unbound on the first ballot. Presumably the same holds for Kasich’s delegates. And yet, assuming 40b remains in place, Rubio and Kasich will not be nominees on the first ballot. So, the delegates are bound to vote for candidates who are not in contention for that round?

    Can the candidates choose to release their bound delegates from being bound on the first ballot? They obviously can’t give them orders like a general after that point (although of course the delgs may choose to be loyal soldiers, as is likely the case with the Ohio delegates), but can they unbind them? Maybe it varies state by state. Moreover, I’ve heard pundits call into question how bound the bound delegates really are. It’s not 100% clear that it’s really any more binding than it is for an electoral college vote. i.e., the bound delegates in some sense “should” vote for Trump or Cruz or whoever on the first vote, but if they choose not to do what they should do, their votes will probably still be counted and there won’t necessarily be any consequences for the bindbreaking delegate later.

    P.S. about 40b, Arnold Steinberg makes a good point: “Based on the plain language of 40(b), at least one hour in advance, a majority of delegates in each of eight states can in writing affirm support for any candidate, even if those same delegates are (or were) obligated on the first ballot to vote for, say Trump or Cruz or Kasich or even Rubio (who still has delegates).”

    Greg Pandatshang

    April 20, 2016 at 2:30 pm

  2. As strong as Trump did in NY do you think he would have any chance to beat Hillary there if we do get a Trump vs Hillary general election?

    Jay Fink

    April 20, 2016 at 3:08 pm

    • No. He’d need to win 70% of the white vote to win NY. Impossible because NY whites are too liberal and because the party is too fractured.

      Trump will get blown out, but it is worth it for the destruction of the TruCon enemy. We can win in 2020.

      Otis the Sweaty

      April 20, 2016 at 7:16 pm

  3. Making fun of Ted. LOL.


    April 20, 2016 at 3:22 pm

    • Trump definitely has incredible memes.

      Lloyd Llewellyn

      April 20, 2016 at 8:07 pm

  4. OT:
    what do you say about Harriet Tubman on the 20$ bill?


    April 20, 2016 at 3:35 pm

    • Time to start going cashless.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      April 20, 2016 at 4:03 pm

      • “Cashless.” I fear that may be the whole point. People aren’t going to want to look at that sour mug every time they open their wallets. If the twenty goes down like the Sakakawea, the only rational replacement is plastic.


        April 20, 2016 at 4:11 pm

      • Pecunia non olet. There is no rational replacement to cash. I thought we had cover this already. When you succumb to emotions, you lose money.

        Whos gonna put her there?


        April 20, 2016 at 4:26 pm

      • Whos gonna put her there?

        Secretary of the Treasury Jack Lew appointed by Obama in 2013. Notice how they waited until the last year when the clock is about to run out to pull this stunt. Apparently they have a whole slew of “activists” in the works.

        Ima get a rubber stamp and stamp every one I touch with a pic of fried chicken. Still haven’t decided what to do for the feminists yet.


        April 20, 2016 at 5:52 pm

      • She was a good lady and deserves to be honored in appropriate ways, but puting her on $20 bill is debasing the currency. Crazy stuff!


        April 20, 2016 at 7:03 pm

      • She was a good lady and deserves to be honored in appropriate ways, like naming a school or street after her, but puting her on $20 bill is debasing the currency. Only great people should go on the bills. Crazy stuff!


        April 20, 2016 at 7:15 pm

      • I presume the women were behaving in a ghetto manner that the upper-middle-class passengers found disconcerting to be around.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        April 20, 2016 at 9:00 pm

      • Can Trump reverse this disgrace? I want my old $20 bill back.


        April 20, 2016 at 9:37 pm

    • Why not a watermelon? Sheet, dollas dun be green anywayz…


      April 20, 2016 at 7:56 pm

  5. Trump has exceeded my original prediction of 82 by 8 delegates.

    As Dilbert would say, the Trump flamethrower is fully refueled and deadlier than ever.

    The Undiscovered Jew

    April 20, 2016 at 7:56 pm

  6. Rifleman

    April 22, 2016 at 1:21 am

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