Lion of the Blogosphere

Indiana polls

One weird outlier poll shoes that Cruz beats Trump by 16 points, and all other polls show that Trump beats Cruz. I would discard the outlier and give Trump the advantage, but it’s going to be a much closer race than the Northeast Super Tuesday contests. Unlike those contests, I don’t think that Indiana is a state where Trump will outperform the polls.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

April 29, 2016 at 7:28 pm

Posted in Politics

17 Responses

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  1. Off topic, I know you like sci fi. I think you’d like this.


    April 29, 2016 at 8:13 pm

  2. Lots of cucks in Indiana and the last two polls have been awful. Very hard for Trump to win there.

    can he get to 1236 pledged even without IN? No reason he can’t win ~125 in CA.

    Otis the Sweaty

    April 29, 2016 at 9:49 pm

    • Trump will win the Republican nominee for prez, and then Slick Willy’s wife will come in for the sweep. It’s like baseball with its playoffs and the World Series in October. Cruz and Sanders are just the wildcards. Beer chugging proles have another week of entertainment, during late fall/early winter.


      April 30, 2016 at 11:51 am

    • Wikipedia has an interesting multi-layered entry for cuckservative, although the Wiki editors say they are itching to delete it. Immigration does not appear anywhere in the Wiki definition even though cuckservative, in my mind, is virtually synonymous with “open-borders Republican.” Wiki does give race traitor as one meaning of cuckservative. Wiki says the term might have originated from a category of pornography that depicts a white housewife who rejects her inadequate white husband to carry on sexually with a black man, and that cuckservatives favor people of color over whites and are under the sway of Jews.

      Mark Caplan

      April 30, 2016 at 8:14 pm

      • A cuckold is a man who unwittingly raises the child of another man. It’s a term as old as Chaucer. In political terms, a cuckservative is a supposed Republican who unwittingly adopts the political ideology of his enemies. Just like a cuckolded man has his genetic legacy stolen, the cuckservative has his political power stolen.


        May 1, 2016 at 1:42 am

  3. I have faith that Trump will win the Republican nominee for president. However, he will lose to Senator Clinton, in the final ultimatum.

    Bernie Sanders is also a heavy hitter, but not so much Cruz. And he’s right, he’s a loser among candidates with NY values. NY is a heavy hitting state. Trump is from NY, Hillary now lives there, and Bernie is a remnant from NY (Brooklyn to be exact).


    April 29, 2016 at 10:05 pm

  4. I was taught in college 20 yrs ago that the Klan had a minor 4th wave that manifested in Indiana in the early 80’s, enough to run a few candidates and act openly. I’ve been assuming for weeks that meant the state would tilt to Trump (whether Trump wants it or not, they’re voting for him) but I can’t find any independent confirmation of my professor’s claims. It may just have been his own theory/model, because nobody else I can find seems to recognize a “4th Wave” Klan.

    True or not, Indiana is still a bit more like Kentucky than it is Iowa or Wisconsin, people commenting from outside the Midwest don’t seem to understand the distinctions between these states. I’m no Trump fan, but my gut is that he has a hidden reserve of off-the-grid votes there that will carry him.


    April 29, 2016 at 11:13 pm

    • Gotta love those college profs who don’t cite their sources.


      April 30, 2016 at 1:56 pm

    • I hope you’re right, but personally I think he will lose for the reasons explained in an old Lion blog post – essentially, there aren’t enough blacks in Indy.

      Sagi Is My Guru

      April 30, 2016 at 5:19 pm

  5. Kasich isn’t going to get more than his current RCP average, 18%. The undecided will go for Cruz. So that means that Trump needs to get 41%, minimum, to win. He’s at 37.5%, so I am leaning towards a Cruz win but a Trump could pull it off.


    April 30, 2016 at 7:00 pm

  6. gothamette

    April 30, 2016 at 9:14 pm

  7. Ted Cruz is a like a malignant tumor that is hell bent on destroying the voter’s will and the unity of the Party. With no chances of winning the nomination without corrupting the delegates into voting against the will of the people whom they represent, he has even less chance of beating Clinton in November. (The only candidate who knows how to beat her and can beat her is Trump. If Cruz cannot even win the nomination by a popular vote, how can he win the general election?) Yet, he stubbornly clings on, and grows another tumor next to him to destroy together.

    This destruction is clearly manifested in what the pair have been obsessed with talking about in the airwaves. Whether the interview was with Kelly or Hannity, they spent practically all the time attacking Trump instead of discussing solutions or policies. Cruz talked about the need to discuss “real solutions” by telling Megyn: “You know, it’s been 48 days since the last Republican debate.” Why, Mr. Senator, do you need a debate forum to tell us what your “real” solutions are? Why not just tell us here and now, in this TV interview?

    Cruz has no solutions of course, let alone real ones, because he is delusional. Building a wall, bringing jobs back from overseas, and repealing the ACA are all Trump’s ideas that he likes to “borrow”. (Same with Hillary, who likes to borrow from Bernie — word for word.) The candidate who has a firm grasp of reality and hits the nail on the head in every problem is Trump. May the Master Troubleshooter win next Tuesday, and beyond.


    May 1, 2016 at 2:25 am

    • Trump will lose to Clinton during the post World-Series finale on Election Day.

      Most polls show Clinton beating Trump by as much as 10% percentage points.

      At the moment, the Jew from Brooklyn has garnered more votes than Trump, and he is playing catch up with Clinton.


      May 1, 2016 at 10:19 am

      • The above message is brought to you by The Ministry of Truth.

        Panther of the Blogocube

        May 1, 2016 at 10:51 am

  8. I ignore JS. He’s a troll.

    The rallies in CA and Indiana have been massive. Now let’s see what the MIC does in the general, because they do not like Trump.

    Why do people here think that Obama said “Trump will not be President” with such assuredness? Who told him to say that?


    May 1, 2016 at 1:23 pm

  9. A new NBC/WSJ poll has Trump up 15%. The betting markets are way down on Cruz in Indiana. I doubt he’ll get above $0.20 again. In fact, betting markets are giving an 80% likelihood of a blowout in Indiana


    May 1, 2016 at 2:24 pm

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