Lion of the Blogosphere

Huge win for Trump in Indiana

With 30% of the precincts reporting, Trump has 53.5% of the vote. If this holds, then it’s the 7th state in a row in which Trump wins more than 50% of the vote. And Indiana was a state that people thought Cruz could win. Finally, the psychological principles of social proof and people wanting to vote for the winner are working in the Republican primaries.

If Trump wins all of the delegates in Indiana (which seems pretty likely), that will put Trump ahead by 22 delegates over my comprehensive analysis from mid-March. So it looks pretty likely that Trump is going to win the nomination. He has big momentum now. Furthemore, CNN says that 45 unbound delegates from Pennsylvania are Trump supporters, so Trump only needs 1192 bound delegates to win the nomination, and on top of that I think that some of the delegates from Guam and American Samoa support Trump.

It will be interesting to see if Trump could even win in Nebraska next Tuesday, a state I previously predicted that Cruz would win.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

May 3, 2016 at 7:53 pm

Posted in Politics

6 Responses

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  1. This is fantastic news!

    One way or another this is the death of the feckless GOPe, which I’ve come to hate more than the Dems.


    May 3, 2016 at 7:59 pm

  2. He’s now over 1040. After each congressional district is called he’ll probably have swept all 57 delegates. With that Trump need only win New Jersey (WTA) and take 150 of California’s delegates to clinch.

    The Undiscovered Jew

    May 3, 2016 at 8:08 pm

  3. Stop with the GOPe bashing. The GOPe is not the problem. The problem is the evil axis of the Stupid Christians, the TruCons and the CLIMPs. The GOPe is not our enemy, or at least the elites of the GOPe are not our enemy. The CLIMP outer party is the problem.

    And even they would be a non issue if not for the vile TruCons who have ruined America.

    Otis the Sweaty

    May 3, 2016 at 8:31 pm

    • Most Christians support Trump. It’s only the excessively religious who opposed him.


      May 4, 2016 at 12:56 am

      • i.e. the “Stupid Christians”. I have been very clear my only problem is with the Stupid Christians who always vote for the biggest Bible thumper in the race. They are vile scum who have ruined America.

        Otis the Sweaty

        May 4, 2016 at 4:46 pm

  4. Cruz has apparently suspended his campaign.


    May 3, 2016 at 8:48 pm

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