Huge win for Trump in Indiana
With 30% of the precincts reporting, Trump has 53.5% of the vote. If this holds, then it’s the 7th state in a row in which Trump wins more than 50% of the vote. And Indiana was a state that people thought Cruz could win. Finally, the psychological principles of social proof and people wanting to vote for the winner are working in the Republican primaries.
If Trump wins all of the delegates in Indiana (which seems pretty likely), that will put Trump ahead by 22 delegates over my comprehensive analysis from mid-March. So it looks pretty likely that Trump is going to win the nomination. He has big momentum now. Furthemore, CNN says that 45 unbound delegates from Pennsylvania are Trump supporters, so Trump only needs 1192 bound delegates to win the nomination, and on top of that I think that some of the delegates from Guam and American Samoa support Trump.
It will be interesting to see if Trump could even win in Nebraska next Tuesday, a state I previously predicted that Cruz would win.