Quinnipiac poll good news for Trump!
Trump 4 points ahead of Clinton in Ohio, a state that Romney lost in 2012.
Trump only 1 point behind Clinton in Florida and Pennsylvnia. Romney lost Florida by only 1 point in 2012, but he lost Pennsylvania by a much wider margin of more than 5 points.
In fact, Pennsylvania voted Democratic in the last six presidential elections, so we see that Trump’s appeal to prole whites will allow him to win states like Pennsylvania that have been lost to previous Republican candidates.
Back in November, 2015, I wrote that Pennsylvania is the key state in Trump’s path to winning the presidency.
I believe that in an election against Hilllary Clinton, Trump will be able to win the support of prole whites in Pennsylvania who have traditionally voted Democratic. This is because Trump speaks to issues that matter to prole whites: immigration, free trade deals, national security. Trump is smart enough to avoid focusing on issues that turn off prole whites, such as tax cuts for the rich and the big issue that divides whites, abortion. I wouldn’t be surprised if Trump moves to the center on those issues after winning the Republican nomination.
So we see the prescience of that post. The poll shows Trump almost tied with Clinton in Pennsylvania, and Trump has already moved to the center on tax cuts for the rich. Soon we will also see Trump move to the center on abortion. (Which is good because abortion is one of those issues which divides the white vote and prevents whites from uniting on important issues like immigration. Trump needs to move far enough to the center on abortion so that he loses no votes from pro-choice blue-collar whites who otherwise support Trump’s immigration, trade, and foreign policy platform.)