Lion of the Blogosphere

Trump pulls ahead in polls!

RealClearPolitics Trump vs. Clinton results

Two different national polls released today shows Trump leading against Clinton!

Fox News +3
Rasmussen +5

As I always predicted would happen, the psychological principles of social proof (of being the Republican nominee) and wanting to associate with a winner are working their magic.

Social proof is especially important for Trump because of all of the MSM finger-wagging over the past year saying that Trump can’t possible win and if he were the Republican nominee it would be a huge disaster for the Republican Party. We see now that all of that has been proven wrong, and Trump is likely to be the next President.

Will the pundits say that the polls don’t mean anything, like they said when Trump was leading Republican primary polling back in November, December and January?

* * *

I think the hypocrisy we will see from MSM pundits is that, indeed, they will say that the polls don’t mean anything, even though they were eager to say that earlier polls showing Hillary beating Trump proved that Trump would lose, and they ignored the fact that Reagan initially was far behind Carter in early polling before he became the presumptive nominee.

* * *

The only danger for Trump is if the Democratic Establishment decides to support Bernie instead of Hillary (and with the nomination resting on SuperDelegates rather than pledged delegates from primary wins, that’s within the realm of procedurally prossible), but I think that’s unlikely to happen. The Clintons are too entrenched. The DPe would rather lose with Clinton than win with Bernie for the same reason the GOPe wanted to lose with Cruz rather than win with Trump.

But unlike the GOP, the Democratic primary voters are full of low-information blacks and Hispanics who support Hillary because their leaders tell them to vote for Hillary. If the entire nation were demographically similar to Oregon, there is no doubt that Bernie would be the nominee.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

May 19, 2016 at 10:57 am

Posted in Politics

41 Responses

Subscribe to comments with RSS.

  1. Democrats became victims of their own propaganda. They kept saying that the white race was dying and thought all they had to do was pander to minorities. So they fully embraced Black Lives Matter, La Raza, and transsexual bathrooms. But whites never stopped being the overwhelming majority of voters.


    May 19, 2016 at 11:19 am

    • I don’t understand why Trump doesn’t just run spots showing explosions with the tagline, “keep ’em coming – vote Democrat.”


      May 19, 2016 at 1:48 pm

  2. The elections cycle of this year are a quite impressive proof that immigration is not a disaster but a miracle.
    White democrats wanted to nominate a communist, white republicans succeeded to nominate a buffoon.
    Whites are dangerous to America.
    One smart and influential economist even wrote about it explicitly:


    May 19, 2016 at 11:50 am

    • His market monetarism and ngdp targeting are good ideas, but Scott Sumner has gone rabid against Trump.

      He fails to understand what Trump is doing. All politicians are liars, with GOPe or Hillary you have a sure loss for the country, but Trump has a chance of being good.


      May 19, 2016 at 1:05 pm

    • What a self-loathing crank. You actually read and agreed with his bile? There are 4 primarily non-white continents, I suggest you move to one if we’re so troubling.

      G VIC

      May 19, 2016 at 1:36 pm

    • A lot of the minorities you pander to would prefer full blown Socialism. They are just too low information to know who would give them the most handouts.

      Jay Fink

      May 19, 2016 at 1:45 pm

    • Amazing how out of date, desperate, and plain silly this point of view now seems – in just 3 weeks!. “Buffoon” indeed.

      And one should always be loath to classify any social “scientist” (aka economist) as “smart”. Thats a contradiction in terms.


      May 19, 2016 at 4:48 pm

    • Without ever having run for office before, Trump just beat the billionaire mega donors, SuperPACs, GOPe and media to take the nomination. And he did it by spending virtually nothing while they spent nearly $100M in negative ads against him. Now he’s increasing his lead over the Democrat nominee. If he’s a “buffoon” then what does that make all of them?


      May 20, 2016 at 2:40 am

    • I hadn’t read your link when I posted my comment. Now that I have I’ll respond with a simple question — If whites are so bad at running a society and non-whites so good then why is it that non-whites want to immigrate to white countries rather than the reverse?


      May 20, 2016 at 3:02 am

  3. Trump won’t be running against Hillary!. The dems are going to torpedo her and substitute Biden and maybe Liz Warren. Just saw a 5 minute+ tribute to Biden on the CBS morning news program, and it was in the last 30 minutes and not at 7am when nobody would see it. Just watch, this will be a continuing effort by the left wing media. The Clintons will fight tooth and nail against the party, but it won’t make any difference.


    May 19, 2016 at 12:12 pm

    • Let’s pray her next stroke comes AFTER she’s won the nomination and not before.


      May 19, 2016 at 8:04 pm

  4. Bernie is doing very well with Hispanics. Latinos don’t have any leaders.

    Blacks are truly unfit for democracy. They vote for who they are told to. Hispanics are entirely different.

    Otis the Sweaty

    May 19, 2016 at 12:40 pm

    • Entirely different?
      Are there any well-run Hispanic countries?
      Maybe Costa Rica. But I don’t think America is getting very many Costa Rican immigrants.
      Most of Central and South America is a mess.
      Brazil, Venezuela, Argentina, Honduras, Mexico, etc etc.
      I don’t think the voters down there I’ve done all that good a job picking their politicians.
      I don’t see why their political choices will be any better when they get here.

      Need Ludd

      May 20, 2016 at 11:16 am

  5. The next step for D’s and GOPe to prevent this from happening is the old banana-republic strategy – give the economy a sugar high of ultracheap money and easy loans.

    In 2000, Gore could have won decisively with a “keep the good times rollin’!” campaign featuring his still-popular boss. But Bill was distracted with trying to get HRC elected to the Senate and Gore couldn’t swallow his pride and abjectly ask for more help.

    HRC will be able to run the campaign that Gore should have in 2000. Meanwhile, money printing will go into overdrive this summer while Bill Clinton anchors his face to news stories about “stock market record highs.” Trump’s attacks on Bill’s morals will look churlish in the face of a seemingly good economy.


    May 19, 2016 at 12:49 pm

    • I’ve seen this idea floated multiple times now and I think it’s time to permanently debunk it.

      First off, the wealth effect is no longer felt by the majority of the middle class, so pumping the stock market is a bit of a non starter.

      Second, if you are just trying to hand out free money to people it would be extremely difficult to get bipartisan support for such a strategy (the GOPe remains absolutely against any form of populist style middle class handouts). Anyway by the time people get the checks and feel good, November will have come and gone. At this point you’d need to give significant amounts of money to people anyway to make a difference.

      The real reason cheap credit worked in the past was because it prolonged the bull markets and created jobs in bubble industries such as home building where we wound up with excess supply. Needless to say there are no such oppurtunities to blow a private sector bubble and certainly not one that would make a noticeable differences within the next 6 months.

      Anyway, even if it was possible it would have already been tried. The Fed Gov and Fed Reserve are desperate to stimulate growth.


      May 19, 2016 at 11:11 pm

  6. If Bernie or Biden got the Dem nomination a lot of Dem’s wouldn’t show up to vote for either of them because Clinton received more votes. Either scenario would be good vote Trump.

    Steven J.

    May 19, 2016 at 1:21 pm

    • Remember, at one point Kasich was polling better against the Dem’s than Trump, but if he had gotten the nomination at a brokered convention he would have lost the general because the GOP base would have rightly not supported him in protest, because the rigged system would be so obvious.

      Steven J.

      May 19, 2016 at 5:32 pm

  7. Agreed lion.

    The DPe would rather have bob dole on the ticket than sanders. People have been ignoring the fact that there is even more of a fault line in the dem party along racial lines.

    The real fault line in this and every other election in every country in my lifetime will be plutocrat v populist.

    Sanders actually had a similar immigration policy to trump and trunp secretly believes in progressive taxation and universal healthcare.

    It would be awesome if they both split into an independant ticket together and ran against hilary and romney.

    The plutocrats would not be amused.

    It would be like teddy roosevelt in the early 20th.

    In fact, revive the bullmoose moniker i say.

    The Philosopher

    May 19, 2016 at 1:25 pm

  8. Great polls! Now for something completely different…

    The death of my favorite CBS news correspondent, Morley Safer, today led me to his Wikipedia article and to the New York Times story on his daughter’s wedding in 2000.

    Sarah Safer married a guy whose father was a hairdresser (and whose mother was a chemical engineer) in the Soviet Union. The family moved in 1979 to the United States, where the dad became a hotel bellhop and the mom a bookkeeper. Their son (Sarah’s husband) graduated summa cum laude from Harvard and, at age 35, already co-owned an “investment banking concern” at the time of the wedding (in Italy) in 2000.


    May 19, 2016 at 2:14 pm

  9. “The DPe would rather lose with Clinton than win with Bernie for the same reason the GOPe wanted to lose with Cruz rather than win with Trump.”

    I really do wonder if the Dems won’t try oust Hillary for Biden. They probably can’t at this point, but I’m sure they will be wishing Biden had run for president once Trump really twists the knife in Hillary’s back over her “enabling,” the email scandal explodes, none of her attacks against him stick, etc.


    May 19, 2016 at 2:43 pm

    • I really do wonder if the Dems won’t try oust Hillary for Biden.

      The level of panic required to pull Hillary would have to be substantial. It would take double digit Trump leads nationally, in the swing states, as well as comfortable Trump leads in purple states and small ones in safe Democrat states like New Jersey.

      Very unlikely but not out of the realm of possibility.

      The Undiscovered Jew

      May 19, 2016 at 5:36 pm

  10. But if the entire nation were demographically similar to Oregon, there would be no need for Trump in the first place.


    May 19, 2016 at 3:39 pm

  11. The only danger for Trump is if the Democratic Establishment decides to support Bernie instead of Hillary (and with the nomination resting on SuperDelegates rather than pledged delegates from primary wins, that’s within the realm of procedurally prossible), but I think that’s unlikely to happen.

    It’s unlikely because the Wall St./business Dem Establishment behind Hillary would rather have Donald than Bernie in the White House. At the end of the day, Donald is pro-business and would play ball with Wall St. and big business. Whereas Bernie is unpredictable and his whole persona and campaign is based on cracking down on Wall St. and business.


    May 19, 2016 at 3:52 pm

    • This really isn’t true at all. The problem with Bernie Sanders is that he accepts that all the problems that are happening in America are due to natural and immutable forces. Yes, you will lose your job to mass immigration, foreign competition, and offshore outsourcing. Yes, you will carry massive student loans. Yes, you will be poorer than your parents and experience a steeply declining standard of living. But I, Bernie Sanders, promise to use the machinery of government to grease the shaft that you are sitting on so the situation does not hurt as badly.

      After all, socialism simply benefits the bureaucrat. Bernie just wants to be a partner in Goldman Sachs business so that he can privatize costs and socialize benefits, mainly, buying votes. This will not, however, alter the relative status of Goldman Sachs vis a vis the regular American. That’s why all of his anti-Wall Street talk rings hollow. No problems are really solved.


      May 19, 2016 at 9:25 pm

  12. Gothamette, come back. Don’t let the vermin drive you of your own house.
    I voted for Trump because Feminists defecate on me constantly in the real world, while Rightist Jewhaters only defecate on me frequently in their nasty blogspaces, which I visit because they’re the only anti-Feminists and anti-antiWhitists around so it’s a bit of a relief until their Jewhatred pokes its nasty little goblinface out its anal hole and makes me fantasize about sledgehammering their heads.


    May 19, 2016 at 4:12 pm

    • Their odd cult of personality around a washed-up fossil with no personality and an unfortunate habit of fabricating evidence out of thin air is such a failure you almost wonder if MacDonald is really working for Mossad:

      Lieberman accused MacDonald of dishonestly made up lines from the work of British Holocaust denier David Irving. Citing Irving’s Uprising, which was published in 1981 for the twenty-fifth anniversary of Hungary’s failed anti-Communist revolution in 1956, MacDonald asserted in the Culture of Critique:

      “The domination of the Hungarian communist Jewish bureaucracy thus appears to have had overtones of sexual and reproductive domination of gentiles in which Jewish males were able to have disproportionate sexual access to gentile females.”

      Lieberman, who noted that MacDonald is not a historian, debunked those assertions, concluding, “(T)he passage offers not a shred of evidence that, as MacDonald would have it, “Jewish males enjoyed disproportionate sexual access to gentile females.”[34]

      The Undiscovered Jew

      May 19, 2016 at 5:44 pm

  13. The Clintons are too entrenched. The DPe would rather lose with Clinton than win with Bernie for the same reason the GOPe wanted to lose with Cruz rather than win with Trump.

    Which makes Biden the DPe’s Paul Ryan in any ‘Toricelli’ scenario.

    The Undiscovered Jew

    May 19, 2016 at 5:29 pm

  14. Trump needs to layoff Hillary and let her get the nomination.


    May 19, 2016 at 5:54 pm

    • I used to think this. But if the DPe really feels forced to pull Crooked Hillary for a ringer it will only be because Trump had reduced her to a quivering mess of incoherent senility and no one else would take the job. And if someone did step up, Trump would just do the same thing to he/she. So I say bomb away Trump.

      Andrew E.

      May 19, 2016 at 6:44 pm

  15. Hillary says Trump is no qualified to be president. Laughable.


    May 19, 2016 at 6:55 pm

  16. 100% off-topic. But Lion, your favorite director Whit Stillman has new movie out called “Love and Friendship,” based on a Jane Austen short-story.

  17. Will the pundits say that the polls don’t mean anything, like they said when Trump was leading Republican primary polling back in November, December and January

    2 weeks ago the pundits were saying the polls were super important when Trump was down 10+ points to Clinton.

    • Oversample of Dems. A push poll.

      Andrew E.

      May 20, 2016 at 12:12 am

  18. “If the entire nation were demographically similar to Oregon, there is no doubt that Bernie would be the nominee.”

    That is oh so true. My favorite gaystream media outlet, the local Portland Fox affiliate (KPDX), kept pushing a poll that said Mrs. B.J. Clinton would win here by at least eight, if not thirteen points. I scoffed right away and yelled at the teevee: “Hell no, Bernie’s taking Oregonia totes no probs!” Duh!

    This is where the alt-right [sic — I know you’re not really alt-right, Lion] is far far ahead of the gaystream media: AFAIK, only the alt-right [sic] has focused on the fact that Mrs. B.J. Clinton wins where there are lots of blacks and Bernie wins where there’s lots of SWPL Whites.


    May 19, 2016 at 8:02 pm

  19. If Hillary is such a weak candidate then would the posters on this board not prefer her to be the nominee rather than the looney tune commie.

    Bernie has been losing minority vote like crazy. Nobody believes that shyster from Vermont.


    May 19, 2016 at 8:45 pm

    • The difference is that minorities know which side their bread is buttered on, they will all show up to vote D regardless. White libs, however, may not turn out for Hil. And moderate whites may also prefer Bernie to Hillary, as they do in current polls.

      Otis the Sweaty

      May 19, 2016 at 10:11 pm

  20. If the entire nation were demographically similar to Oregon, there is no doubt that Bernie would be the nominee.

    If the entire country had Oregon’s demographics it would make sense to vote for Bernie.

    Now? not so much


    May 19, 2016 at 9:37 pm

  21. The greatest internal threat to the Democrat Party (and liberalism in general) is the internal split and growing dischord between college educated SWPLs and their pet blacks. As can be seen by this year’s primary, the regressive blacks ruined their utopian dreams by denying Bernie the election.

    A similar battle played out early this year when the historically upper class Episcopal Church got suspended from the Anglican Communion for practicing gay marriage. Why? Because the ultraconservative African Bishops within the Communion voted them out. Not only are the Africans against gay marriage, but they routinely imprison or murder their congregants for being gay. So the very Anglican Church which colonized Africa is not only taking orders from these tribal blacks, they are betraying their own principles and turning a blind eye to their crimes in the name of inclusion. Now that’s tolerance! Behold the wonders of diversity.


    May 19, 2016 at 10:08 pm

    • Don’t forget there is growing discord between liberals, those who favor their own, now that the apple pie is shrinking, vs those who still play black favoritism. The former group votes for Sanders, and the second group, in the likes of Hillary, and tweedlebums like Bill de Blasio.

      This college president of NYU, is one of worse liberal hypocrites I’ve witnessed in history. Not only is he a friend of this big stupid mayor (here next to the stupid guidette, Maria Bartiromo), he happens to be a friend of the Clintons and corrupt Albany bosses like Sheldon Silver. He abused his powers, by allowing his non-student son to live at the University’s dorms in the Greenwich village, for dirt cheap, while he was working in BIGLAW. If this isn’t cronyism practiced by of our elites, then I don’t know what is. I’m sure students at the school, many whom are indebted with college loans, can see through the facade of the hypocrisy that is going on. These are the ones who will be supporting Sanders.


      May 19, 2016 at 11:10 pm

      • Trump could get the Bernie student vote by offering to discharge student loans in bankruptcy and then expunging the records of the bankruptcy off of the credit reports.

        Bernie Sanders is effectively neutralized.


        May 20, 2016 at 2:03 pm

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: