Lion of the Blogosphere

Trump ahead 0.2% points in RealClearPolitics polling average!

RealClearPolitics polling average based on the last five polls shows Trump leading Clinton by 0.2%.

Back in Febrauary I wrote:

The polls today still reflect the spin of the MSM that Trump is a bozo racist who has no chance of even winning the nomination of his own party, let alone the White House. But after Trump wins the Republican nomination in a much more decisive fashion than either Romney or McCain before him, and the Republican establishment starts publicly stating their support for him, he will gather to himself much social proof which he currently lacks, and this will push him several percentage points ahead of Hillary in the polls.

I was somewhat wrong about Trump winning very decisively, because I didn’t foresee that the GOPe would decide that they wanted to lose with Cruz rather than win with Trump. But now that Trump is the presumptive nominee, what I predicted about social proof is coming true and now Trump leads in the polls against Hillary.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

May 22, 2016 at 11:37 am

Posted in Politics

31 Responses

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  1. February.


    May 22, 2016 at 12:06 pm

  2. It is amazing how bereft American politics are of anyone (in either party) with masculine charisma.

    Biden and Bill Clinton are among the few to have it. Christie undercut whatever he may have had with his morbid obesity.

    Most nationally ambitious male politicians project some version of beta:
    1. Neutered beta-smiley – O’Malley, Julian Castro, Bayh, Edwards, Sasse, Huckabee, Rubio
    2. Earnest self-sacrificing beta – Kerry, Romney, Walker, Jindal, Santorum, Gephardt
    3. Resentful put-upon beta who has to fix everything around here – Wesley Clark, Webb, McCain, Cruz, Dean, Kasich, Jeb, Gore

    So Trump finds himself to be the big fish in a small pond.


    May 22, 2016 at 12:13 pm

    • This the kind of mediocrity that democracy breeds…sycophants at the ready to loot the ignorant masses. Take a look at pictures from a hundred or two hundred years ago. Our leaders then were always portrayed as fierce, stern and resolute. Now they smile awkwardly at everything, always eager to please and desperate to be liked in their pursuit of popular appeal and nothing more. Such are the ruinous effects of the expanded franchise.


      May 22, 2016 at 2:45 pm

      • Many of our Founding Fathers had a classical education. The same could be said of some of our leaders in the 19th century.
        Today’s Americans are all about low brow, conspicuous consumption, a form of prole drift. Just look at these men, they act like indulgent kids in the toy store.


        May 22, 2016 at 11:55 pm

    • To be fair, Romney, when candid, is quite charismatic. He was a PE guy so he’s a proper shark beneath the wooden PR exterior.

      Also Jim Webb is pretty masculine and in an alternative universe, the senate majority leader for the democrats. He’s a proper old leftist guy in the trade union boss sense.

      And he’s not voting for Hilary.

      The Philosopher

      May 22, 2016 at 3:08 pm

      • Jim Webb is a traitor piece of shit. Absolute vermin. I’m so sick of this loser being praised.

        Otis the Sweaty

        May 22, 2016 at 4:44 pm

      • I didnt like the gotcha politics that derailed George Allen but that is pretty par for the course of the amoral VA Democrats.

        Lion of the Turambar

        May 23, 2016 at 8:06 am

    • It’s a symptom of the general decline of the working class, and degradation of culture and masculinity of course. The “kind” of people who now get into politics are overwhelmingly effeminate liberal arts grads from top tier colleges and pampered upper middle class backgrounds. It’s a symptom of declining social mobility, a down-to-earth working class type who happens to be intelligent and motivated is less likely to succeed now than in previous decades.


      May 22, 2016 at 11:06 pm

  3. It wasn’t the GOPe. The GOPe is not very powerful, or they would have gotten Bush or Rubio.

    Cruz was the result of an alliance between the cucks, the TruCons and the Stupid Christians. All those groups together are an extremely powerful voting bloc with the party, and are outright dominant in the midwest and the plains.

    It is a testament to Trump’s political abilities and the utter incompetence of the #NeverTrump movement that Trump was able to overcome what was essentially the majority of the party.

    Otis the Sweaty

    May 22, 2016 at 12:21 pm

  4. Still have to give Hillary the edge.

    Clinton Inc. wants this really really really bad. They want it worse than Trump who has a fine life outside of politics, while Hillary has nothing.

    Banks (who would rather see Hillary win anyway) will be directed to increase lending activity to stimulate the economy and increase people’s satisfaction with their lives (implicit promise of bailouts after the election).

    Hillary will swallow her pride and resort to letting Bill portray himself as co-president. Obama, who is still popular, will be bribed into letting bygones be bygones and stumping heavily for her.


    May 22, 2016 at 12:21 pm

    • Hillary will swallow her pride and resort to letting Bill portray himself as co-president.

      That might have worked for her if she were running in 2004 when people still had fond memories of the Clinton boom-years and Bill could still schmooze a crowd. But not today when Bill looks and sounds like he’s near death and whole planet has gone to hell in a hand basket.

      The Undiscovered Jew

      May 22, 2016 at 1:50 pm

    • I actually think Obama would prefer that Trump win. That way, he can remain in Washington, and take pot shots at what he thinks Trump is doing wrong. The media will give him the forum to do that, gladly. If Clinton wins, then he is pretty much obligated to get out of the way and STFU.

      Sgt. Joe Friday

      May 22, 2016 at 3:48 pm

      • Former presidents almost never comment on current ones.


        May 22, 2016 at 5:27 pm

  5. some great liberal unskewing here:

    expect to here more and more of this over the next 5 months

    Otis the Sweaty

    May 22, 2016 at 12:36 pm

    • Btw, polls of the 2012 race were somewhat skewed in favor of Obama even though ‘unskewed polls’ over-adjusted them.

      The Undiscovered Jew

      May 22, 2016 at 1:52 pm

  6. Maybe the colleges grant worthless degrees in worthless majors? Maybe most of the students don’t learn anything in college like the don’t earn anything in high school? To do what low IQ immigrants do you don’t need to go to college. Let’s have details: what did a person study, where, what where his grades and then let’s take a look at his major. I just think most American colleges give a lousy education.


    May 22, 2016 at 2:26 pm

  7. Do you think that Trump will ultimately win the election, Mr. Lion octopus-Oracle? If so, by how much?


    May 22, 2016 at 4:32 pm

    • I’m not Lion but I still think the smart money is on Hil. The Dems have a huge structured advantage with their bloc black and other minority votes.

      Trump, might, and I stress *might* do less with non white voters than Republicans usually do but even if he does he is still losing a group that is going to be an ever greater slice of the electorate.

      That said, increased white enthusiasm and sagging non white enthusiasm could mean that the 2016 electorate is actually whiter than the 2012 one. Even then, however, Trump needs to hold serve in comparison with Romney’s percentages of cucks and minorities and that is a tall order.

      At this stage Hillary is the favorite for one simple reason: she can blow out Trump (although I don’t think she will), but Trump can’t blow out her. Trump’s only path to victory is a narrow one.

      Otis the Sweaty

      May 22, 2016 at 4:55 pm

  8. Lion: why haven’t you talked about the idiot TruCons passing a bill to prosecute abortion providers in OK?

    You are very soft on the TruCons. I think you are secretly sympathetic with them. I am doubting your commitment to the ideals of the Revolution.

    Otis the Sweaty

    May 22, 2016 at 5:05 pm

    • I think the bill is not just stupid, but in bad faith.

    • Get ready Otis because if Trump wins, and he will win big, then by the end of his presidency not only will we have a wall, a balanced budget and balanced trade, 0 illegal immigration and drastically reduced legal immigration but the SCOTUS will also have the judges to reverse Roe v. Wade. It’s going to happen so prepare now.

      Andrew E.

      May 22, 2016 at 11:25 pm

      • You want 10s of millions of more blacks and hispanics?

        Scotus will uphold Roe v Wade. I’m confident of as much.

        Otis the Sweaty

        May 23, 2016 at 12:34 am

      • What about cash payments for black sterilization?


        May 23, 2016 at 1:22 am

      • Blacks and hispanics (or underclass whites) having children are not a problem if the welfare state is significantly reduced and middle and upper class whites start having kids again.

        Remember that Trump is only promising to save social security and Medicare/Medicaid. The rest of the welfare state is fair game. I can certainly see trump dismantling it once the jobs start flowing back to the country.

        Andrew E.

        May 23, 2016 at 9:39 am

      • Middle and upper class whites are never going to have kids again in the quantity they had them immediately after the end of WWII.

      • Strong, confident forward looking nations have baby booms.

        Plus, when Trump talks about bringing jobs back he’s talking about America making things again. Making things is inherently masculine, men will naturally gain in status. when Trump talks about making health care affordable again that will mean the bloated health care industry (~20% of US economy) will have to shrink 50-80% bringing down costs. Lots of useless make-work admin jobs will go away. The nation will become less feminine with a lot fewer make-work admin jobs. If Trump succeeds in solving the student loan problem by bringing down the cost of university then colleges will need to become more reality-based in the subjects they teach. Which is to say that colleges will shrink, lose cultural power, become more masculine and less feminine. Again, young men will gain in status and young women will go down in status.

        When men gain in status viz a viz women, the babies start flowing.

        Andrew E.

        May 23, 2016 at 10:29 am

  9. I don’t like how the likes of Sheldon Adelson, apparently Lindsey Graham now, etc are starting to fall in line behind Trump. I don’t want to see these people “getting used” to the idea of a Trump presidency, it’s not a good sign. If Trump were going to stay true to the spirit of his campaign, they would recognize that he has nothing to offer them. Hopefully he is just playing them, of course, but I’m not extremely optimistic.


    May 22, 2016 at 11:03 pm

    • In order for Trump to win, Trumpism needs to be a big tent.

      • exactly. I welcome the Cucks as long as we get rid of the immigrants and TruCons. I am willing to give Lindsey and Sheldon whatever they want in terms of taxes and crony capitalism and judges, but they have to give us a free hand to deal with the immigrants.

        Otis the Sweaty

        May 22, 2016 at 11:46 pm

  10. Leon — Newt’s name keeps getting mentioned. And I haven’t heard any one else mentioned who brings nearly as much to the ticket. Thoughts?


    May 23, 2016 at 12:40 am

    • Newt’s name keeps getting mentioned. And I haven’t heard any one else mentioned who brings nearly as much to the ticket. Thoughts?

      Newt is an old, dried up GOPe who is just looking for one last chance for power.


      May 23, 2016 at 1:45 pm

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