Three most recent polls look good for Trump
Rasmussen: Trump +4
PPP: Clinton +4
Gravis: Clinton +2
This averages out to a very slight lead for Clinton, but we know that polls underpredict how well Trump will do in real-world voting because poll respondents are unwilling to admit to a pollster (even an automated pollster) that they intend to vote for a “racist” candidate. In the Brexit vote in the UK, Leave outperformed the polls by six points: the polls showed Remain +2 but the real-world results were Leave +4. Will a +2 lead for Clinton translate to a +4 lead for Trump in real-world voting?