Lion of the Blogosphere

Trump is back

Even though the reporters at the Washington Post hate him, this is a pretty good inside story about how Trump overhauled his campaign leadership.

I have a good feeling about these changes. Manafort was trying to turn Trump into Jeb Romney Bush and that wasn’t working for Trump and it didn’t work too well for Jeb Bush or Mitt Romney either.


Paul Manafort quit!

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

August 19, 2016 at 8:39 am

Posted in Politics

84 Responses

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  1. So picking fights with that mexican judge and the muslim soldier’s parents was Trump being Bush not Trump being Trump?

    Trump’s decision developed over the weekend as he traveled to the Hamptons on Long Island for a Saturday evening fundraiser at the home of Woody Johnson, the wealthy Republican benefactor who owns the National Football League’s New York Jets.

    According to three Republicans familiar with that event, Trump was confronted by several supporters, including mega-donor Rebekah Mercer, about news reports on his advisers’ desire to tame his personality. The three Republicans spoke on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the campaign’s transition and their relationships with Trump, Bannon and Conway.

    Trump was visibly infuriated at the news stories, the Republicans said, and he conferred with Mercer about potential steps he might take to remake his campaign and populate his inner circle with voices more like his own.

    Bannon’s and Conway’s names soon came up. Mercer, the daughter of hedge-fund titan Robert Mercer, spoke highly of both. (The Mercer family is a prominent investor in Breitbart News as well as in a super PAC opposing Clinton and has worked with Conway.) Trump did the same.

    By Sunday, as Manafort appeared on network television shows, Trump was stewing and dialing up his friends, the Republicans said. He connected with his son-in-law and trusted adviser Jared Kushner, who had been on vacation in Europe. Then he called Conway and Bannon, ruminating aloud on how they could help him jolt his stalled candidacy.

    You’re nuts if you think this is encouraging. You have the comments of a donor sending him into a rage (possibly intentionally to manipulate him) that causes him to drastically change his campaign all over the course of a weekend (and in the direction suggested by donors). I thought he was running on how he wasn’t going to be bossed around by donors? This is revolting. The washingtonpost hates Trump so I don’t know how accurate it is but you’re crazy to react so positively to the story. And Bannon made a documentary about how awesome Palin was. I thought you hated Palin?


    August 19, 2016 at 9:25 am

    • ” And Bannon made a documentary about how awesome Palin was.”

      You’re right, that is a minus point.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      August 19, 2016 at 9:27 am

      • Bannon is a hothead and is probably very difficult to work for, but he’s an extremely articulate spokesman for a nationalist and populist agenda. Until he was tapped by Trump, Bannon had a morning show on SiriusXM and he was pretty impressive. Bannon knows the corporate boardroom, the military and the blue-collar world inside out.

        Lewis Medlock

        August 19, 2016 at 1:37 pm

      • Mitt Romney may have been ………but at least he had the …..

        No! Enough, Mitt’s a loser. Move on.

        Here’s Trump being Trump….full alt-right??


        August 19, 2016 at 3:29 pm

      • What percentage of Trumpphobics on here do you think are Hilbots and what % are NeverTrump Republican dorkboys?


        August 20, 2016 at 4:29 pm

    • You’re delusional. Shocker!

      The entire GOPe is wailing and gnashing that Trump has gone full Alt right with this move and you say he’s become a donor puppet. Trump says illegals must leave, trade must be balanced, the stupid wars must end and the Deep State reigned in for nationalist purposes. The globalists despise Trump.

      Andrew E.

      August 19, 2016 at 9:37 am

      • The main point was that he’s completely capricious, ruled by emotion and possibly being manipulated. I never said he was aligning with the GOP establishment. It’s undeniable that he is giving a huge amount of influence to his donors and is betraying a core part of his message:

        And trump is consistent on trade, very vague on what legal immigration will look like, and promises to start plenty of his own stupid wars (but don’t worrry he has as super secret isis strategy that will knock them out in no time at all he just can’t tell anyone what it is because then it won’t be a super secret anymore!) And please don’t try to prove me wrong by linking to the immigration policy paper that he clearly still hasn’t bothered to read.


        August 19, 2016 at 10:10 am

      • Why must trade be balanced? See, this is one of those things where the masses are clueless about what “globalism” is all about. The whole reason the UN was created is that it was believed it was trade imbalances, due to competitive currency devaluation (i.e. unwillingness to be part of the British Empire or London Banking).

        Trump isn’t going to magically change trade policy, because it has nothing to do with internal policies, but exchange rates.

        We are moving quickly to what the UN was originally created for, a means of adjusting exchange rates so that trade is always more or less balanced between the world’s countries.

        The reality is the Right can only say that the trade imbalances post Nixon Shock were bad because the rising value of the dollar killed our industry. But, at the end of the day, we have gotten a huge amount of manufactured goods from places like China, and they have gotten nothing in return. That SHOULD be a good deal for the US. The question is, why wasn’t it?

      • Believe it or not, Americans like low taxes. It’s one of the reasons the country broke away from England. Move to Scandinavia if you don’t like it. The globalist/corporate nation rapers get their wealth from globalism (cheap labor, rent seeking, war making). Trump means to end globalism in American government. The only military action Trump’s promising is defeating ISIS which actually has attacked us by the way.

        Andrew E.

        August 19, 2016 at 1:39 pm

      • >>………..and possibly being manipulated.

        And what powerful hand is possibly manipulating Trump? The will of 100 million proles? Wall street will stomp on 100 million proles as if they were cockroaches.

        Trump is feared and loathed by every possible actor in the deep state. The deep state would have to be too clever by half to promote Trump and expect that he won’t enact at least some policies that threaten interests near and dear to them, when they have Hilary in their hands who will do everything they expect her to do.


        August 19, 2016 at 6:13 pm

      • Andrew: The revolution may be evidence that Americans like being duped into thinking they’re going to pay less taxes but not that they’re actually smart and rational about it. Americans were getting vastly more in spending from the british than they were taxed. The revolution ended that sweetheart arrangement, gave them a huge war to pay for, and made borrowing money for spending more expensive.

        Helmut: Individual nations have a huge amount of influence through policies like tariffs. And the IMF and World Bank came out of the Bretton Woods conference not the UN. The UN always had a much larger role.


        August 19, 2016 at 7:32 pm

      • Why must trade be balanced?

        Because the status quo of yawning trade deficits has contributed to stagnating wages and 94 million Americans out of the workforce, and protectionism from the time of the founders to the mid-20th century made America the greatest economic power on earth with the world’s largest and most prosperous middle class.

        David Pinsen

        August 19, 2016 at 9:03 pm

      • I hate to break this to you, dipshit, but Americans can’t just move to Scandinavia (or most places) on a whim.


        August 20, 2016 at 11:41 am

    • It’s also weird that Kushner was on vacation in Europe. Isn’t he a de facto campaign staffer? Take vacations after the election, man.

      Greg Pandatshang

      August 19, 2016 at 11:31 am

      • It’s also weird that Kushner was on vacation in Europe. Isn’t he a de facto campaign staffer? Take vacations after the election, man.

        He and Ivanka were pictured with Putin’s latest mistress in Croatia.

        Perhaps they were asking what Russia can do about Hillary’s 30,000 ‘extremely careless’ emails?

        The Undiscovered Jew

        August 19, 2016 at 6:58 pm

      • If Trump is already being painted as being too pro Russia then to have his daughter named Ivanka spend time with Putin’s mistress in a former eastern european people’s republic is really stupid.


        August 19, 2016 at 9:29 pm

      • God forbid our leaders get along with their leaders. Can’t have that.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        August 20, 2016 at 12:22 am

      • If Trump is already being painted as being too pro Russia then to have his daughter named Ivanka spend time with Putin’s mistress in a former eastern european people’s republic is really stupid.

        Russia isn’t a major factor to voters as ISIS. Even if Russia were, Trump can always point out she did favors for Putin when Russia donated to the Clinton foundation.

        The Undiscovered Jew

        August 20, 2016 at 10:35 am

    • So now Manafort has abandoned ship too.

      At least Conway is a Cruz supporter and can bully Trump into dropping out.

      Lion of the Turambar

      August 19, 2016 at 11:51 am

      • Darn, I should have bet on that when I saw it at PredictIt yesterday, would have been easy money.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        August 19, 2016 at 1:31 pm

    • Why must trade be balanced?

      Because our sovereignty requires it. Agreed that having international trade settled in dollars has allowed us to live way beyond our means for decades with endless trade and fiscal deficits. But the trade off was hollowing out of industry and sending that industrial capacity to strategic competitors (China). Unless global trade is settled in physical gold bullion with a floating price, national leaders must ensure that trade pacts don’t result in wealth leaving the country on a structural basis which is what trade deficits are.

      Andrew E.

      August 19, 2016 at 1:45 pm

    • So picking fights with that mexican judge and the muslim soldier’s parents was Trump being Bush not Trump being Trump?

      Of course. It was all brilliantly scripted maneuverings by the master persuader.

      You don’t doubt the great leader is infallible, do you?

      The Undiscovered Jew

      August 19, 2016 at 7:00 pm

  2. I love that Trump repeatedly publicly proclaims that he’s going to finish this on his own crazy-ass unhinged terms and nobody is going to put Trump in a box, just as he is very clearly and visibly reining himself in and showing that he really is in control. If he keeps up this new balance, and maintains the message and tone he’s had this week, I think he can turn it around.


    August 19, 2016 at 9:40 am

    • Exactly. Watch his speeches, Lion. There’s something weird going on here.


      August 19, 2016 at 10:03 am

    • He’s apologizing which I’ve been assured by numerous Trump supporters is the worst thing he could do. How many times have I heard his refusal to apologize for anything up to this point meant nothing less than that he was the greatest political genius who ever lived?

      The details in the washingtonpost article indicate he’s not reigning himself in at all and that he’s lurching into another poorly thought out abrupt strategy change. Reigning ones self in requires controlling your emotions and being able to think things through.


      August 19, 2016 at 10:15 am

      • Maybe he’s reining himself in instead.

        Jokah Macpherson

        August 19, 2016 at 12:58 pm

      • It depends what he is apologizing for. He can apologize for unintentionally insulting gold star families or a handicapped reporter. He cannot apologize for being an immigration hardliner.


        August 19, 2016 at 1:11 pm

      • Have you heard him much this week or just read the analysis? I’m saying that the analysis is wrong, he _is_ reining himself in while simultaneously saying he never will. This is a new twist on Trump, and it’s extremely compelling to watch.


        August 19, 2016 at 7:05 pm

    • Good lord, how many times have we heard THAT before?

      Good idea for Trump epitaph: “there’s still time for him to turn this around.”


      August 19, 2016 at 12:48 pm

      • We’ve heard it several times, because several times he’s found himself in a mess, retreated to the batcave, and reworked the machine. He did it after Iowa. He did it after Wisconsin. He did it, very briefly, at the convention. And now he’s doing it again. We just need to hope the election falls on the right date.


        August 19, 2016 at 7:06 pm

    • If he keeps up this new balance, and maintains the message and tone he’s had this week, I think he can turn it around.

      He’s been very sharp and focused the last week.

      But it’s odd that Manafort left since I thought he was the one telling him to tighten the message and cut out the stream of consciousness gaffes. If he lost confidence in Manafort, which adviser was it who pointed Trump in the right direction again?

      The Undiscovered Jew

      August 19, 2016 at 6:55 pm

  3. We’ll see how long new Trump lasts. He’s been new Trump a couple of times but it’s never lasted more than a week.

    Mike Street Station

    August 19, 2016 at 9:58 am

    • A lot of the mainstream criticism of Trump is right on (even if a lot is completely wrong). The fact is he has a real temperament problem.


      August 19, 2016 at 7:38 pm

  4. Trump blew it a month ago, and it has been downhill ever since. This latest shakeup reeks of desperation.

    Campaign personnel have never really been the problem — it’s the candidate. Trump could hire Barack Obama’s team to run his campaign and still manage to reignite the dumpster fire it has become.

    This is precisely what the #nevertrump’ers were warning about: He’s undisciplined, not self-critical, and has built more of a cult of personality than a presidential campaign. If your message is “Make America Great Again,” you have to CONTINUOUSLY reinforce that. Picking petty fights against nobodies undermines that entire ethos. That’s not great, that’s not constructive. It’s small and spiteful.

    Trump squandered his opportunity and now has zero fallback options. He doesn’t have the capacity to turn people around on their judgments of him, without seeming like a pandering and increasingly desperate loser. A vague apology wasn’t the answer, it was to get back on message. Instead of whining and attacking the media, stay zealously on message and reach through them. That’s the only way they were ever going to respect Trump. Instead he gives them the sideshow headlines they’re dying to write. Again, and again, and again.

    Mitt Romney may have been sunk by a secretly-recorded comment to donors, but at least he had the smarts to say it behind closed doors. Trump simultaneously lacks discretion AND candor. It would do him a lot of good to admit that the attacks on his person and character are hurtful–something that any person could sympathize with. It’s that kind of sincerity that people need to see past the caricature he has allowed to be created. People screw up, even potential presidents, but acting like it’s just the media’s fault looks weak and powerless.

    There are no more “last chances” to get this right. It’s probably over already. Hillary’s not going to blow the debates. An outside event like a terror attack won’t do it either– voters have an aversion to letting such things drastically alter their previous intentions, ESPECIALLY if a candidate opportunistically latches on to it before the dead can be mourned.

    Trump isn’t “back,” because he never was there, he never matured beyond the primaries. He never put the onus on his GOP rivals to support them by being gracious in victory. He alienated them, and much of the country as well. This is too little too late.

    Jack R.

    August 19, 2016 at 11:30 am

    • Cool wall of text bro

      Why is it that these mystery NeverTrumpers become most agitated when Trump does something good?


      August 19, 2016 at 4:12 pm

      • Wait, what did he do? Reboot his failing campaign again? Maybe you should read my wall of text instead of just assuming I myself am #nevertrump. I was skeptical about their extreme distaste for Trump as a candidate, but events have proved them right. He’s dragging the whole Republican Party down with him.

        Jack R.

        August 19, 2016 at 7:32 pm

      • “Cool wall of text”

        Classic stuck-on-stupid pumpkin worshipers!

        He just explained in easy to understand sentences why Trump has blown the election and your response is to reject out of hand an argument you haven’t read let alone comprehended.

        Firing your campaign manager 90 days out from an election is NOT a good thing. It reeks of chaos.

        Lion of the Turambar

        August 20, 2016 at 11:08 am

      • That’s true, you could just be a Hillary troll.


        August 20, 2016 at 11:16 am

    • Different generals for different theaters you brainless numbnuts. It’s basic strategy.


      August 20, 2016 at 9:22 pm

  5. This election’s over. Been over. In fact, it never was a thing. Still, all Americans owe Trump their eternal gratitude for knifing Jeb Bush and putting it on the table that the Iraq invasion was a colossally stupid action.


    August 19, 2016 at 12:25 pm

    • Agreed, Trump’s failed candidacy has had some lasting positive benefits.

      Jack R.

      August 19, 2016 at 2:17 pm

    • I think Trump has said a lot of smart stuff but theres a real danger that all those ideas go down with him.


      August 19, 2016 at 7:40 pm

  6. Trump still has a long slog against the Main Stream Media and their candidate, but this at least makes it competitive.

    Scott Adams is too optimistic about Trump IMHO, but he’s calling this the 3rd Act in which Trump finally pivots and gets serious (

    I’m still pessimistic, but this week made me a little bit hopeful.


    August 19, 2016 at 1:06 pm

  7. I am so impressed by Trump this past week. This is the pivot we’ve been waiting for since he wrapped up the nomination in May.

    Granted, it’s months late and he has done tons of damage in the meantime, but I really didn’t think he had it in him.

    LA Times has him down by 0.6. Ras has him down by 2. These are pro Trump polls but Ras at least has been a leading indicator so far. 2 more weeks of the new Trump and he’ll be ahead in both of them and the other polls will start to follow a few weeks after that.

    We’re still better off if Trump loses, but we want it to be a close loss. Best situation is he wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college.

    Otis the Sweaty

    August 19, 2016 at 1:30 pm

    • “he wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college”

      It’s a lot more likely to be the opposite.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      August 19, 2016 at 1:34 pm

    • LA Times has him down by 0.6. Ras has him down by 2

      Citing the outlier poles where your candidate does well reeks of stupidity and desperation.


      August 19, 2016 at 7:53 pm

      • The internet polls are more accurate.

        Lion of the Blogosphere

        August 19, 2016 at 8:42 pm

      • It’s not stupid when you also note that they are outliers and point out that they have been leading indicators for other polls this election season. And, indeed, Trump is closing the gap in other polls as well. 5 down in Reuters, 4 down in UPI.

        The #NeverTrumpers are clearly scared, as we can all see on this thread. The liberals are too stupid to be scared but they will begin to feel fear in a few more weeks.

        Otis the Sweaty

        August 19, 2016 at 10:42 pm

      • People that were wrong in the primaries were making predictions in the absence of large amounts of polling data not misinterpreting polls. Let’s not have a repeat of 2012 where you have Romney people predicting that the polls were all rigged right up until the moment of the election where the poll aggregeators hit it out of the park with their predictions.


        August 20, 2016 at 12:44 am

      • The closer to the election you get, the better will be your guess. At this point, I’d assume the estimates are mostly based on historical data. But will history repeat itself?

        For us here it’s already easy though. We vote TRUMP2016, you vote HILLARY4EVA#NEVERTRUMP or whatever it is you are looking forward to (VOTE WITH YOUR JOHNSON?), then let the chips fall where they may.


        August 20, 2016 at 11:12 am

      • who said anything about the primaries?

        Again, I noted that LA Times and Ras were pro Trump polls. I also pointed out that they have been leading indicators so far this cycle, hence their relevance despite their ostensible bias.

        This is the 3rd time this cycle we’ve gone through the same song and dance:

        Stage 1: Trump is behind in every poll!
        Stage 2: It’s just Rasmussen!
        Stage 3: It’s just Rasmussen and Fox!
        Stage 4. It’s just Rasmussen, Fox and Gravis/Monmouth/Pew/SurveyMonkey/Whatever! Clinton is still leading in the polling averages!
        Stage 5: Polls don’t matter!

        This time we will add a stage 6 of “The polls will go back to Hillary after she destroys Trump in the debates!” followed by a stage 7 of threatening a civil war if Trump wins.

        While some of the polls are undoubtably rigged for Hillary, pro Trump LA Times and Ras don’t have stellar track records either. But Gravis (Clinton +5), Reuters (Clinton +5), Pew (Clinton +4), UPI (Clinton +4) are all showing the race converging. It is the Libs and the anti Trumpers who are denying the polls now, not the Trump people.

        Momentum is clearly on the side of the righteous. The evil shall see their seed removed from the earth.

        Otis the Sweaty

        August 20, 2016 at 12:19 pm

  8. Not sure how Trump reckons that he needs to go MORE alt-right. He’s already got that vote locked away with ease.

    This is very troublesome.


    August 19, 2016 at 2:02 pm

    • Remember, the alt-right recognized the huge appeal that Trump could have with black voters and now he’s reaching out to them specifically. It might be too little too late, but Trump still has a fighting chance. I’m feeling more optimistic this week than I have since Trump’s temporary post-convention bump.

      Horace Pinker

      August 19, 2016 at 2:31 pm

      • If the alt-right has anything to offer of value it’s the idea that black and white interests are almost completely divergent. I thought we were supposed to mock all the Republicans who went around talking about how democrats are the actual racists. At least Trump didn’t cite the KKK as evidence like so many conservatives do.


        August 19, 2016 at 7:35 pm

      • The alt-right knows that blacks and Hispanics hate each other while democrats and TrueCons view people of color as a monolith. Reducing immigration is in the self-interest of blacks and whites. If we can get a substantial minority of blacks to vote for Trump, the fringe coalition will break up sooner rather than later.

        Horace Pinker

        August 20, 2016 at 4:59 am

      • If the alt-right has anything to offer of value it’s the idea that black and white interests are almost completely divergent.

        However far Trump gets, and he will have gotten very far even if he loses, his accomplishments were all completely independent of the altright.

        If the altright didn’t exist at all Trump would still have done what he did to win the nomination.

        If, on the other hand, Trump had not run for the nomination, the altright would have been left with Rand Paul in the primaries and maybe some irrelevant nationalist third party in the general election.

        The altright is easily the weakest nationalist movement in the West, and it was only by pure luck that Trump picked up some (but from all) of their policies.

        The Undiscovered Jew

        August 20, 2016 at 10:40 am

    • There are certain alt-right policies, like a legal immigration moratorium, that are very appealing to independent voters and even many Dems. It’s more appealing to them than building a wall. He’s not doing it though. There was even a poll at Breitbart that showed how popular that idea is.


      August 19, 2016 at 3:50 pm

    • The alt-right was growing rapidly even before Trump and its ideas were spreading. Trump grew the movement even more and there is still room for growth until October. Successful European nationalists didn’t appeal to the median voter, as any campaign consultant would have adviced them. They followed a long term growth strategy.

      That said, it may be to late for Trump, or rather 2016 may well be to early for populist nationalist success. So it’s a tough call for his campaign, what to do. (move to the center vs. pull the center to the right)


      August 19, 2016 at 5:17 pm

    • The alt right understands the winning formula (Hillary and the Corporate and Global Elites vs Trump and Working Class America). It isn’t about “winning over” the alt right. It is about trusting them and their message to win over working class white normies that Romney failed to secure.


      August 20, 2016 at 8:39 am

  9. Within 48 hours Trump has appointed a new, hard charging campaign staff, made his “i have a soft side” regrets speech (not an apology by the way, there is a difference), has reframed the women/LGBT safety narrative, and has quite impressively one-upped the President with a site visit to the Louisiana flood victims.

    Do you all think that these events happened by accident? Not me. I think that Scott Adams is right..Trump is gearing up for his third act, a very DRAMATIC third act. An no, it is not too late. You don’t want to peak too early. The hero must always come back in the last minutes of the movie. Trump is about to do it right now and it is all a part of his plan. The next couple of months is going to be HELL ON WHEELS.


    August 19, 2016 at 2:13 pm

    • This is mildly insane.

      Yes, you do want to lock in your supporters early. Its a long distance to try to get someone to totally reverse a decision they made and do the opposite. Having people declare support commits them to support- thats why push polls work.

      There is no advantage to losing by 10 points and being in danger in Utah, Georgia etc…

      Lion of the Turambar

      August 19, 2016 at 7:30 pm

    • The problem with that theory is that there is zero evidence to suggest that any of these strategy shifts were planned before hand or carried out in a rational, thoughtful way. He just decided one weekend to fire Lewandowski and blindsided his campaign with the news, and now he just did the same thing with Manafort. If the washington post article is accurate than the details of the transition (the abruptness, the anger and embarrassment that dictated it, the donor influence) are deeply disturbing.

      I hope you’re right but I doubt it.


      August 19, 2016 at 7:46 pm

    • People already are locked in who they are going to vote for. This dramatic third act comes a day after the show already ended. Trump is not magically going to change people’s minds, as they know what he stands for.


      August 20, 2016 at 7:38 pm

  10. The negativity in some of these comments is comical.

    Quite frankly, I think he was taking some bad advice from Ivanka and company. Trump is better off doing things his own way.


    August 19, 2016 at 2:34 pm

  11. Lion, why do you still link to and read the Corporate media? The Corporate media lies. The Corporate media is evil.

    Andrew E.

    August 19, 2016 at 2:41 pm

  12. What difference does it make then? You can’t save something that doesn’t want to be saved. If 52% want Hillary to be president then let them eat cake.


    August 19, 2016 at 3:16 pm

  13. Trump himself hasn’t “blown” anything.

    The forces which were always gathering to defeat him, the globalists AND the media they control, simply waited for the conventions to launch the media-coordinated attack.

    The moment “dark” was on EVERY single local ABC, NBC, CBS affiliate, along with CNN and Fox to boot, you saw the global puppetmasters and the pollsters they hired go to work. It’s been a 24/7 onslaught ever since and if the Gold Star idiot dad had never existed at all, they’d have made him up anyway.


    August 19, 2016 at 3:58 pm

    • Agreed. Very blatant and well-coordinated. It’s only going to get worse.
      What’s the point of opposing the Masters of the Universe if you’re going to fold as soon as you get pushback?

      Panther of the Blogocube

      August 19, 2016 at 10:28 pm

  14. “Campaign personnel have never really been the problem — it’s the candidate.”

    It’s not the candidate, it’s the MEDIA and the DEMOGRAPHICS. No man can singlehandedly fight all the forces of hell and triumph. Trump will likely lose, but so would any and all other Republicans who would at least have the GOP on their side.

    Before any campaign even begins, Dems have wrapped up the white woman vote, near half of white men, and dominates all non-white groups. And they own the media. It’s over before it begins.

    Demographics is destiny. There is NO WAY to vote yourself out of this situation.


    August 19, 2016 at 4:35 pm

    • Very good argument for restricting the vote to the people who actually contribute to society.

      Panther of the Blogocube

      August 19, 2016 at 10:30 pm

  15. Hopefully less about tax cuts more about immigration going forward!


    August 19, 2016 at 5:19 pm

  16. Good, summer is soon over and the campaign starts for real. Manafort wanted to turn Trump into a GOPe product, but spent all his time mired in media lies and gotchas, much as, I might add, would a standard cuck Republican candidate. The convention was pretty good but more was needed.

    Defensively, Trump should beef up his response team to the Dems (in particular, let others take care of the tiddlers who are just there to take up time and attention, and have a team to do quick research to finish them off more reliably). Trump could have an archival section on his site with his speeches too, and post clips with “what Trump actually said” when the media gets too bananas.

    On offense, it will be interesting to see what role TV ads has this time. Perhaps less than one might expect. My advice: Don’t entirely ignore TV but focus on short quality videos and target your audiences via FB ad spend instead. (I’ll skip a deeper discussion of social media.) Trump will win because he’s perhaps brash but also a formidably competent, likeable candidate who wants all to go well with Americans. Get the message out.

    (It will be hellish for pundits to figure out how things are going when they can’t just turn on the TV and critique the usual mass audience ads.)

    Strategically, it looks like likeable Trump will be fighting the media rather than sickly huddling Hillary, carted off to some luxury hospital suite five days a week. The public should not be allowed to forget this. “Where is my opponent? We’re not electing the Washington Post or New York Times for president, so maybe Hillary could show up once in a while. Could someone send her an email?”


    August 19, 2016 at 5:27 pm

  17. Donald Trump, Lansing, MI, Friday, Aug. 19th:

    Making remarks directed at black voters, Trump asked: “What do you have to lose by trying something new, like Trump?”

    “What do you have to lose?” Trump asked repeatedly. “You’re living in poverty, your schools are no good, you have no jobs, 58 percent of your youth is unemployed. What the hell do you have to lose?”…

    “One thing we know for sure is that if you keep voting for the same people, you will keep getting the same, exactly the same result,” Trump said.

    Pure Gold!

    E. Rekshun

    August 19, 2016 at 7:33 pm

    • It’s the same thing republicans have been saying for decades!


      August 20, 2016 at 12:53 am

      • But Donald Trump is not the “same Republican” is he?

        Trump is a very different form of Republican which is why the GOPe/Bush, nevertrump/glenn beck type dorks hate him.

        Or maybe you haven’t noticed that.


        August 20, 2016 at 4:26 pm

      • The type of Republican who gives money to Democrats and doesnt believe in following the Constitution.

        Lion of the Turambar

        August 21, 2016 at 7:10 am

  18. With all the PRs flooding into FL, this will likely be its last election as a swing state. GOP will have to go Trumpian whether they like it or not to have a chance to pick up PA and MI.


    August 19, 2016 at 9:57 pm

    • The narrative that “its all over – Trump has blown it” has not been sustainable. You would have to be blind to not notice that the polls have tightened, though the crooked one still holds a comfortable(?) lead thanks to her hiding out and letting her sycophants – the media – do the hard lifting for her.

      It’s a difficult one for Trump, but he’s had a great bounce back week, topped off by him playing POTUS while O played golf and Hillary played with herself and did the sort of thing she must do to win – stay out of the public eye and try to avoid been noticed.

      With the entire media and every Washington flunkie against him, the best thing Trump can do is to keep with the serious speeches, keep freaking out the media and take his opportunity when it matters – in the “debates”, when Hillary HAS to come out of her burrow/hole.

      It’s not quite over yet, despite rumours of his demise. As the saying goes “today is a funny night”.

      Don’t despair quite yet.


      August 20, 2016 at 12:58 am

  19. I think most of the commenters in this thread are wrong.

    During the time Manafort got sacked, Trump has adopted a new speaking style: it’s hardcore, Bannon-approved Trumpism, but it’s scripted and read from a teleprompter. The style has been working like magic. Even my NeverTrumper dad has admitted that he’s really liking Trump a lot more now. If Trump keeps this style, his polls numbers are going to shoot up big time.

    Trump is redoubling his outreach to gays. He will win them 50/50. Sure, gays aren’t a big electoral block, but they’re one of the left’s sacred minority groups. Leftists can’t virtue signal about how much they live gays anymore.

    Trump is appealing to women. Conway is clearly helping him fine-tune his message. Saying he regrets some of his harsher comments appeals to women.

    Trump is now reaching out to blacks. This is a huge deal, and this is why my NeverTrumper dad is starting to like him. Trump can’t win more than 20% of the black vote, but he can convince suburban, college educated white Republicans that he’s not racist, and that his civic nationalism will advance black interests. Blacks didn’t like Reagan, but Reagan cared about blacks, and that matters to every American conservative/rightist/Republican who doesn’t believe in HBD.

    (45% of voters will go with Hillary. 40% will go with Trump. 15% of voters don’t like where the country is going, but they’re uneasy about Trump’s temperament, and suburban whites make up the bulk of this group.)

    Manafort tried to make Trump a GOPe candidate. The effort failed, so Trump is ditching that plan. He’s staying true to Trumpism, but now he’s marketing civic nationalism to women, blacks and suburban whites. This is what he has needed to do since the primaries ended, but he ultimately got sidetracked trying to mend fences with the GOPe.

    Finally, Manafort was poisonous because of his ties with Yanukovych. Say what you will about that, but the American deep state was freaking out about that, and that’s a major reason why the coverage Trump was getting was overwhelmingly negative. If the deep state sees Trump as someone who will try to improve relations with Russia, but will not suck up to Putin, the way Peter III was to Frederick the Great, the American media will still be slanted against Trump, but their handlers in the American deep state won’t tell them to generate hoaxes to undermine him the way they were doing the first half of this month.

    So yes, Trump is returning to Trumpism, but he’s simultaneously becoming more presidential by pivoting his message to gays, blacks, women and suburban whites.


    August 20, 2016 at 1:43 am

    • “Trump is redoubling his outreach to gays. He will win them 50/50.”

      Gays are 3% of the population. Probably less in swing states. How much time are you going to spend trying to get 1% of the vote? This effort is probably just to appease Ivanka.

      Meanwhile 70% of the likely voters view Trump unfavorably, including 94% of blacks. There is no coming back from that. Maybe Kellyanne Conway could have done it if she had started last year but too many minds are made up at this point.

      Lion of the Turambar

      August 20, 2016 at 11:21 am

      • “Gays are 3% of the population. Probably less in swing states. How much time are you going to spend trying to get 1% of the vote?”

        Read the rest of the paragraph I wrote.


        August 20, 2016 at 6:54 pm

      • So has anyone else questioned this 70% number? What is it in reference to. Anybody can come up with a set of questions that result in voters viewing someone unfavorably.

        Also wtf does viewing Trump unfavorably mean? What that he said women who get abortions should be put in jail of abortion is a crime? Turambar where are you on this issue our cuckservitude friend.. Is this another reason why you view Trump unfavorably? Because he might actually do some ugly things which are the logical conclusions of conservative ideology.

        The really irritating thing about 21st century white people is there really are jobs they won’t do. Nobody wants to get their hands dirty anymore. When it comes time to deal with the Muslims all these tough talking so called conservatives don’t have the stomach to actually hurt others. It’s too gory and too gruesome. We get it, it’s ugly business being a conservative. That’s why trump said he’d bring in baaaddd dudes to work for us, to do the jobs we won’t do. Manafort was such a dude.

        Also to the haters.. Is it not obvious to you clowns that Manafort was a temporary hire meant to swindle the cucks at the GOP convention to prevent Ted Cruz from stealing the nomination. Also doesn’t it bother you people that Ted Cruz was basically a lying oppurtunist when he ripped off Trumps immigration platform and pitched it as his own. Lyin Ted couldn’t even lie long enough about his immigration plans long enough for people to believe he’d truly pivoted.

        NeverTrumpers, there’s room on the lamp posts for you to. So beware whose sides you pick. The trump train doesn’t take prisoners and neither does a hungry American mob robbed of everything they ever loved or held dear, by a bunch of hoity toidy right wing intellectuals.


        August 21, 2016 at 1:16 am

      • Read Magnavox’s original comment in this thread.

        Trump “ultimately got sidetracked trying to mend fences with the GOPe” because “Manafort tried to make Trump a GOPe candidate”???

        Attacking the Mexican judge for a week, attacking the Kahn family for a week, not opening campaign offices, not reserving ad time in states where he needs it- none of that was done by the dreaded GOPe.

        He is on his third campaign manager of the year- how is this supposed to be a well run operation?

        The whole ‘Trumpism’ phenomena explains how con men work. You marks are actively rooting for the con man to fool you successfully.

        Lion of the Turambar

        August 21, 2016 at 7:23 am

      • “Attacking the Mexican judge for a week, attacking the Kahn family for a week, not opening campaign offices, not reserving ad time in states where he needs it- none of that was done by the dreaded GOPe.”

        No, it was Trump being stupid and aimless. Trump probably has some form of ADHD, and he needs a good handler to keep him focused. Manafort wasn’t that person, the way Conway has been so far.

        “He is on his third campaign manager of the year- how is this supposed to be a well run operation?”

        I never argued that Trump has run a good campaign. I think the reason why he won the primaries is that he was able to get a plurality of Republican voters behind him, and his 16 opponents divvied up the rest. Trump does have some notable persuasive skills, but he also bungles things up.

        After the last week or two, he’s run a much more effective campaign. He’s found a winning formula, and I think he has a slim shot at winning, but one nevertheless. This isn’t to say that he won’t do something stupid up ahead, however.

        “The whole ‘Trumpism’ phenomena explains how con men work. You marks are actively rooting for the con man to fool you successfully.”

        I dislike Trump as a person. I’m still uneasy about his temperament. But because he opposes illegal immigration and resettling Muslim migrants into the US, he’s the best we’ve got. He’s certainly a lot better than Hillary.


        August 21, 2016 at 5:59 pm

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