Lion of the Blogosphere

Archive for September 2016

Trump has 19% black support, who could have predicted?

The latest USC polling shows Trump winning 20% of the black vote.

The mainstream media is shocked and in disbelief, but not the Lion! Way back in March I wrote:

Blacks love Donald Trump []. No, Trump isn’t going to win even close to a majority of the black vote, but if he wins 15% instead of the 6% that Romney won in 2012, then he doesn’t need to capture a full extra 4% of the white vote.

And even further back in January I noted that karate expert Jimmy McMillan, founder of The Rent is Too Damn High party, supported Donald Trump. “While McMillan may seem like a frivolous sort of person to some, I think it demonstrates Trump’s appeal to blacks which I have already discussed.”

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 20, 2016 at 3:36 PM

Posted in Politics

Looking back to August 9th …

On that day I wrote:

Trump’s only hope right now is:

1. Another ISIS attack big enough to to scare people into voting for him.

2. Hillary’s health problems manifest too obviously for the media elites to keep covering up.

3. Devastating Wikileaks release.

Some other external events which would help Trump are unlikely to happen because elites will stop them from happening:

1. Black Lives Matter riots. The elites will keep them on a leash until after the election.

2. Economic crash. The Fed (which works for the Obama administration) will keep money supply super-loose until after the election. If one believes in conspiracies, then one would believe that the Illuminati will cooperate with the Fed to ensure that any economic crash happens after the election.

Since then we have had:

1. The Muslim immigrant bomber from Elizabeth New Jersey.

2. Hillary having a seizure pneumonia at the 9/11 ceremony.

Both of the events could have been bigger, but combined they may be enough to put Trump over the top.

And I was right that so far, no more Black Lives Matter riots and no economic crash. Last week, Trump, himself, accused the Fed of keeping rates low to bolster Obama’s economic legacy.

Last week, I wrote about the possibility that the market could crash if it looks like Trump is going to win the election, but if that happens it would be an effect of Trump having already clinched it and not the cause.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 19, 2016 at 11:45 AM

Posted in Politics

Looks like Muslim terrorism

Looks like the Manhattan bombing may be a “terror cell,” and the police are seeking an immigrant form Afghanistan in connection with the bombing.

I bet some voters are thinking that Trump’s ban on immigration from Muslim countries is making more sense.

* * *

It’s a pretty inept “terror cell.” Most of their bombs never exploded, no one was killed, and the FBI has already figured out who they are.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 19, 2016 at 8:00 AM

Posted in News, Politics

Rational thinking is not very highly correlated with intelligence

This finding is explained in a NY Times article.

My take on this is that most people make decisions based on feelings, emotions, bias, previous behavior patterns, etc, and then, after-the-fact, they use their intelligence to rationalize the decision, and the higher the person’s IQ, the more sophisticated—but ultimately misleading and deceptive—argument they would make for why they made the decision.

And then there are people like me who are unusually rational.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 18, 2016 at 1:16 PM

Posted in Psychology

And about the explosion in Manhattan

Don’t have anything to say here, except that it will be interesting to see if its possible to catch the perpetrator if no one saw him or her plant the bombs. I always thought terrorists are stupid for committing their acts in such a way that they always get caught afterwards. A smart terrorist would get away so he or she could commit more acts. We should be thankful that, since 9/11, the terrorists have been so inept.

* * *

I predict this story will be unimportant and soon forgotten. UNLESS another bomb goes off, in which case it will become a HUGE story.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 18, 2016 at 8:02 AM

Posted in News

In Japan, many are virgins

Interesting news from Japan:

[A] survey of unmarried people aged 18 to 34 found that around 42 per cent of men and 44.2 per cent of single women had never had sex. … The last time the study was conducted in 2010, only 36.2 per cent of men and 38.7 percent of women said they were virgins.

That’s a lot different than the United States where virginity in that age group is so rare it can be considered deviant behavior.

I believe that HBD is responsible for the difference, and that the Japanese genotype is unable to deal with modern times which call for marriage being delayed until young people are finished with their education and have a career track. But don’t worry about the Japanese race dying out, what will happen is that natural selection will cause a vast increase in Japanese sex drive after a few generations like this. If you want to know what Japan will be like in two hundred years, you need to look at how the minority of Japanese who are actually having a lot of children differ from the rest of their society.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 18, 2016 at 7:57 AM

More from Publius Decuis Mus

He answers some questions from a website called “American Greatness.” Worth reading.

The highlight:

The “conservatives” have at least two motives for band-wagoning with this nonsense. One is that they simply don’t understand higher principle anymore, because their whole mindset is unconsciously leftist, so they believe that everything the Left calls “racist” is in fact racist. Oppose more immigration? Racist! Don’t believe the police systematically try to kill blacks? Racist!

The other is simple cowardice. Conservatives are terrified of being called racist. I don’t know if this is bad conscience or what—maybe at heart they really believe it? Maybe living in all-white neighborhoods perhaps makes them feel guilty. But being called out for it scares them above all so they are always desperate to make public declarations of their purity as non-racists. They think they will get credit from the Left, which of course they never do, but that never stops them from trying.

I’m not sure, myself. Do so-called “conservatives” genuinely believe in the leftist viewpoint on “racism”?

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 17, 2016 at 8:27 PM

Posted in Politics

Will the stock market crash if Trump is elected President?

To start, let me point out that the stock market is near its all-time high. The S&P 500 index is significantly higher than where it was at its previous 2007 peak (before the crash in 2008). Stock markets crash when they are near all-time highs, so even without the Trump factor, the market is in danger of crashing.

Then there is the observation that when the stock market does crash, it tends to happen in the fall. There’s no way of knowing if this is mere coincidence of if there is something to it. But the historical accident of previous crashes happening in the fall could cause the cycle to repeat itself again because the stock market is based as much on psychology as it is on the logic of financial valuations. If traders think that other traders will sell because it’s the fall and they think the market is risky in the fall, then they will want to sell before the other traders, leading to a cascade effect of selling.

And finally we get to Trump. The mainstream media has been pushing the meme that if Trump is elected president, it will be a “disaster” for the economy. For example, using the word “disaster” in the headline, Business Insider reports:

Willem Buiter, the chief economist at Citi, said in a note to clients on Thursday that a Trump win would weigh heavily on financial markets, and that his policies would deter global trade and economic growth.

Brian Klaas says in a Newsweek op-ed:

The second problem for Trump’s Frankenstein economics is that his seemingly contradictory proposals would be a disaster if they were enacted. Moody’s economic forecasting conducted a nonpartisan analysis of Trump’s proposals and concluded that they would lead to a loss of 3.5 million jobs. And they would cost the U.S. economy trillions of dollars of lost growth.

If Trump wins, some people actually believe the disaster predictions and will sell before everything goes to hell. And then there are those traders who may not believe the anti-Trump propaganda, but they believe that other people believe it and will want to sell first, because no one wants to be the last man holding the bag (that’s for Joe Sixpack holding mutual funds in his 401K).

Also, I think that some people will want the stock market to crash if Trump wins, in order to punish the stupid voters who elected him and to be able to say “see, we smart liberals told you so.”

Right now, everyone believes that Trump has no chance of winning, because he’s just too low class too win, and polling throughout the summer has shown a huge lead for Hillary. But if polls start showing that Trump is in the lead, this could trigger the stock market crash before the election even happens.

Or it might not happen that way at all. Predicting the stock market is beyond the power of most mortals. No one should buy or sell any securities based on this blog post which has been written strictly for entertainment purposes.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 15, 2016 at 12:27 PM

Posted in Investments, Politics

What does pneumonia look like?

I don’t think it looks like that, but I’m not a doctor.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 11, 2016 at 9:59 PM

Posted in Politics

Prole Jews LOVE Donald Trump

It’s true.

Prole Jews love Donald Trump a lot more than Mormons in Utah.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

September 11, 2016 at 10:27 AM

Posted in Politics, Proles

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