Lion of the Blogosphere

Important poll closings

with 20 comments

7 PM

Florida (most of state)
Virginia (if Trump wins here, most likely Trump wins the election)
New Hampshire (electoral votes not significant, but will indicate which way the wind is blowing; a Trump loss here is not good because it will predict losses in Florida and North Carolina which are must-win states)

7:30

Ohio (as a bellwether only: if Trump loses here, the evil witch has won)
North Carolina

8 PM

Florida panhandle
Pennsylvania (if Trump wins here, we celebrate, Trump is the next president)
Michigan (most of)

9 PM

Michigan (northwest corner)
Colorado

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

November 8, 2016 at 8:15 am

Posted in Politics

20 Responses

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  1. Vote early and vote often friends!

    As for me, I’m staying far away from Facebook today and the ravings of the SJW crowd. After Trump wins, though, it’ll be a happy place! All those people saying they are going to leave the country (when in reality they aren’t even going to leave Brooklyn).

    Today is the actual last gasp of white, Western Civilization. Have we been so deracinated, so cucked, that we can’t even vote for our own survival? The day will tell.

    PS – F U to all those Anonymous people who claimed Hillary “bombshells” were coming and didn’t deliver on it.

    peterike

    November 8, 2016 at 8:35 am

    • Oh, man–if, God willing, Trump wins, the highlight of my week is going to be scrolling through my Facebook feed and watching all my SJW former classmates, colleagues, and relatives going apoplectic. The schadenfreude will be absolutely delicious.

      Hermes

      November 8, 2016 at 11:24 am

  2. Here’s my election day prediction. 90% of people who post “I voted” images on Facebook voted for Hillary.

    Status signaling, I just can’t get quit of you!

    peterike

    November 8, 2016 at 8:47 am

    • I make a point of refusing the sticker. This kind of thing is corrupting to the election process. The idea that voting in and of itself is virtuous is mistaken.

      Then there is the exposure of people trading something of value for their vote. If you are motivate by societal approval or a Ben and Jerry’s ice cream maybe society doesn’t need your opinion.

      Lion of the Turambar

      November 8, 2016 at 9:22 am

  3. On the east coast of course Trump needs Florida and North Carolina. If those go away he’s done.

    But in addition he pretty much MUST get either the New Hampshire/ Maine 2 OR Pennsylvania.

    If he doesn’t get one of those he is also done UNLESS he pulls Michigan or hits the jackpot in the West and pulls Nevada and Colorado.

    Of course he needs Iowa.

    So Trump needs the Republican states, incl North Carolina.

    Then he needs Florida and Ohio.

    Absolute!

    Then its Pennsylvania or some combination of New Hampshire/ME 2/Nevada or Colorado/New Mexico.

    It will be close to done if Trump can’t get NH and ME2 or Penn.

    That leaves only upsets in Nevada/Colorado/New Mexico.

    So it could go late if Trump is close to dead BUT those three Western states are still available.

    The key I think is will the abandoned White Americans of Michigan or Penn join with Ohio to save America?

    And will blacks protest Hillary by not voting?

    Trump still has a chance depending on a weird non traditional Republican combination of states.

    Despite the UCLA and IBD polls I hate to say it seems like a long shot.

    polls:

    http://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/

    http://cesrusc.org/election/

    https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/latest-polls/election-2016/us-presidential-election-daily-tracking-poll/#tabs-table

    Rifleman

    November 8, 2016 at 9:20 am

  4. I am feeling like God Emperor TRUMP might just pull this thing off after all.

    Two in the Bush

    November 8, 2016 at 9:40 am

  5. Final Otis Index: Hil +1.96

    Final Otis popular vote official prediction: Trump +1

    Final Otis battleground state predictions:

    FL: Trump
    NC: Trump
    OH: Trump
    IA: Trump
    NH: Trump
    ME-2: Trump

    NV: Hil
    CO: Hil
    NM: Hil
    WI: Hil
    MI: Hil
    PA: Hil

    Otis the Sweaty

    November 8, 2016 at 10:05 am

    • So your Otis battleground means Hillary wins UNLESS Trump can flip Nevada.

      Rifleman

      November 8, 2016 at 10:44 am

      • Trump has to flip NV, PA, CO, VA or MI to win, yes. But my battleground predictions are not official like the Otis Index or my prediction of a national 1 point Trump victory is.

        Otis the Sweaty

        November 8, 2016 at 11:37 am

    • It’s really amazing that places like CO and NM have been so altered by immivasion and exit-vasion (California libs moving there). WI and MI yeah, ok, that’s Cuck Central territory. But perhaps enough whites will get woke, as they say, and vote their interests and not their feelz goodz.

      This really is the last chance Republican roundup. After this, if Hill wins we are officially a one party nation.

      peterike

      November 8, 2016 at 11:14 am

      • I think it’s possible that even the citizens of “Cuck Central” will feel it’s time for a change after three Democratic presidencies. If you offer them an acceptable alternative. So 2020 may offer a chance for one last rebound. But then you’d have to do what it takes to keep them.

        IHTG

        November 8, 2016 at 11:27 am

    • Think of the flips that could still happen:

      Trump trades –

      Florida for PA and Colorado = 29, same

      New Mexico for New Hampshire = 5, plus 1

      North Carolina for Michigan = 16, plus 1

      But then he still needs Nevada.

      Tough.

      Rifleman

      November 8, 2016 at 11:56 am

    • What is the difference between the otis index and the otis popular vote prediction?

      Magnavox

      November 8, 2016 at 12:16 pm

      • The Otis index is an aggregate of tracking polls that are not believed to be rigged. At this time, none of the tracking polls appeared rigged so all were included. I did also included an Otis unskewed version of the USC poll with realistic Hispanic and Other Non White Numbers (that was Hil +0.5 instead of the topline # of Trump + 3.6).

        The official Otis prediction is what I think the results will actually be.

        Otis the Sweaty

        November 8, 2016 at 1:52 pm

  6. VI for Hil as well, forgot that

    Otis the Sweaty

    November 8, 2016 at 10:06 am

  7. god speed americans. i will spare you my usual pessimism on this day. here’s to a trump victory.

    james n.s.w

    November 8, 2016 at 11:07 am

  8. New Hampshire (electoral votes not significant,

    Yes they are!!! Those 4 could determine the election!

    Shouldn’t polls stay open to 10-11pm???

    Why the rush to shut things down at 7-7:30pm??

    Rifleman

    November 8, 2016 at 11:59 am

    • So poll workers can get home in time to watch Wheel of Fortune.

      E. Rekshun

      November 8, 2016 at 5:56 pm

  9. Just reported on the national news! Democrats outnumber Republicans in early voter turnout numbers, but that’s expected to drastically change after about 5:00pm when Republican voters get off work!

    E. Rekshun

    November 8, 2016 at 1:11 pm

  10. Already the Trump lawyers are trying to stop the Clark County (Las Vegas) clowns from extending the open polls an extra 2 hours in the heavily dem precincts. Got to have more time to round them up and get their worthless asses in….

    Dee

    November 8, 2016 at 4:12 pm


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