Lion of the Blogosphere

James Thompson lost, but Nate Cohn doesn’t get it

with 14 comments

Nate Cohn thinks that James Thompson, doing better than expected against the Republican (although not good enough to win), means that the voters are already rejecting Trump.

Nate just doesn’t get it. As I explained yesterday, the reason why James Thompson is popular is because he’s a white Army veteran who did a campaign ad where he shoots an assault rifle. And if you watch the ad, you’ll see that Thompson is genuine prole. The Democrats don’t have a bunch of people like that on the bench. They just have a lot of SWPL SJW types, a lot of minorities, not the kind of candidates who will win back the blue-collar white voters who went over to Trump.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

April 12, 2017 at 7:17 pm

Posted in Politics

14 Responses

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  1. It seems like a lot of intellectual types who liked Trump because they thought he was a non-interventionist are now very angry at him. What might Trump do (or fail to do) that might similarly make the white working class angry at him? Fail to build the wall? Fail to bring back a substantial number of industrial jobs? Get us involved in some horrible guerrilla war in Syria or Korea?

    Gozo

    April 12, 2017 at 7:23 pm

    • White proles don’t care about Trump bombing Syria. They care about jobs jobs jobs, and they care about being represented by politicians who don’t publicly let on that they think they’re a bunch of deplorables clinging bitterly to their guns and religion.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      April 12, 2017 at 7:26 pm

      • Then Trump is screwed because the desired jobs aren’t coming back.

        Anon

        April 12, 2017 at 7:54 pm

  2. The Democrats are kidding themselves if they think this strategy will work. There aren’t enough authentically prole whites who hold a liberal ideology and are willing to run as Democrats in red states. James Thompson is a strange bird..a redneck who is a civil rights attorney, wtf? As far as Syria goes, as I said the other day, the attack was a brilliant move as it totally shook the Russian collusion narrative, which Trump absolutely had to do in order to move forward.

    The Alt Right is seriously overreacting to this. Trump will be a limited military action Republican in the same vein as Ronald Reagan, but he won’t be a George “Dubya” type of neo-con. We all need to keep things in perspective here. Trump has made ENORMOUS gains for the right in just three months. If you don’t think so take a look at Jeff Sessions comments at the border yesterday. Catch and release is over and new border arrests will be felonies. Even if the wall is never built this is huge. Add in the Gorsuch confirmation, deregulations and pedo arrests and I am damn proud of him. I think is Trump is doing everything in his power to deliver and we must continue to support him.

    B.T.D.T.

    April 12, 2017 at 7:41 pm

  3. Trump is never going to lose the support of the proles unless he ends up passing an Obamacare repeal that really hurts them. While there is talk of doing another Obamacare repeal, this one isn’t being done by Ryan and the insurance lobby and might actually do some good.

    The key demo for Trump are college educated whites. He doesn’t need to dominate with them, but he needs to get Romney margins from them. Romney margins with college educated whites will get Trump 48.1% of the popular vote in 2020, which should be just enough to win the electoral college.

    Cohn is doing some serious wishful thinking in considering this special election as a rebuke towards Trump. All it does is show how energized the Democratic base is, which we already knew. Now if the Dems can pull off GA-6 or even make it close then that will be a win for The Resistance and I will admit as much, but KS-4 really wasn’t anything. PPD has an article about it: https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/news/elections/2017/04/12/media-reading-too-much-into-kansas-special-election-results/

    #NeverTrump Republican analyst Sean Trende, and a lot of other anonymous Republican pollsters in the media, are saying the House is in play if Trump’s numbers stay this low. I really don’t see it but I suppose it shouldn’t be outright dismissed. In any case, I don’t see Trump’s numbers going up too much between now and the midterms so we’ll have to see how this shakes out.

    Otis the Sweaty

    April 12, 2017 at 8:02 pm

  4. Well, I do find it worrying that Democrats have found a blueprint to get within 6 points in an R+25 district. How hard could it be to repeat it? There’s probably a prolish white Army vet who loves universal health care in every district in the country. Thompson, who has no political experience, wasn’t on any “bench” that I can see.

    Richard

    April 12, 2017 at 8:04 pm

    • “There’s probably a prolish white Army vet who loves universal health care in every district in the country. Thompson, who has no political experience, wasn’t on any “bench” that I can see.”

      Your two sentences string together the whole problem. Yes, there are guys like Thompson in every district, but no way no how is there desire among the liberal elites to find those guys and run them.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      April 12, 2017 at 8:29 pm

      • They only need to find 24 in the House and 3 in the Senate to flip Congress, and a lot of Republican politicians live in places that would vote for a SWPL-friendly candidate anyway, so the need for Dem proles is actually less than that. If it was easy as there being no desire for such candidates then we wouldn’t be talking about Thompson.

        Richard

        April 13, 2017 at 10:37 am

  5. You underestimate the hatred toward Trump and the Republicans who enable him. There was a lot of complacency from liberals and minorities but that has changed. If the situation keeps up until 2018 and 2020 those elections will look a lot different with or without proles.

    There are others calling for Dems to run more military types. We’lll see what they do.

    Aric

    April 12, 2017 at 8:31 pm

    • >You underestimate the hatred toward Trump and the Republicans who enable him.

      Nope. Maybe in the deep blue states, but in red states we’re loving this.

      Two in the Bush

      April 12, 2017 at 8:59 pm

    • There was no complacency about Trump from the Left. The hard core are super energized now and that helps in low turnout special elections but will mean nothing in the midterms and in 2020.

      Let’s see what happens in GA-6 before we start even preliminary analysis of what’s going on.

      Otis the Sweaty

      April 12, 2017 at 9:20 pm

  6. If Thompson had won by one vote, the MSM would have been piling on and gloating for the rest of the current session of Congress. MT-AL will be far more revealing than GA-6, as the Dems in the latter are coalescing around Big Bucks Ossoff, who hopes to put it away by gaining a majority on the first round while the GOP vote is split among a larger number of contenders. If Karen Handel makes it to the runoff, I think she’s got a good shot at winning, as I’ve seen polls that show a very tight race between her and Ossoff.

    sestamibi

    April 12, 2017 at 11:04 pm

  7. Lion,

    You’re right about how out of touch and off base the MSM liberals are. They really are pathetically clueless. I listened to as much of NPR yesterday as I could stand and they were taking the Nate Cohn line.

    gothamette

    April 13, 2017 at 3:16 pm


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