Lion of the Blogosphere

Final Iowa poll, New Hampshire polls

Emerson poll of “likely caucus-goers” has Bernie ahead of Biden by 7 points.

Three new New Hampshire polls, Bernie leads all of them. As I’ve been saying for a while, I don’t see how Bernie can possibly lose NH with momentum from IA, and I don’t see how he can possibly lose NV with momentum and NH. He’ll probably lose SC, but by how much? With that momentum, does he score a knockout blow on Super Tuesday?

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

February 3, 2020 at 8:19 AM

Posted in Uncategorized

25 Responses

Subscribe to comments with RSS.

  1. Does Pete endorse Biden when he drops out and does it help?

    Biden has a 2nd term issue being 90 already so maybe Pete as VP would help.

    I would say we are poised for a Tulsi surge but she has some weird religion that isnt going to fly..

    Lion of the Turambar

    February 3, 2020 at 10:26 AM

  2. Interesting comment from Robert P. George:

    The Democratic Party establishment is terrified that Bernie Sanders will prevail. Yet Sanders’ socialist economic views and extreme social liberalism are firmly shared by the Party’s base. The establishment itself doesn’t so much oppose them as it desires them to be hidden.

    ….

    The Democratic party establishment was so frightened of St Bernard in 2016 that they rigged the system to favor Madame Hillary over him, but I think the fear that he is unelectable is only part of it. They are afraid of his fanatical supporters’ taking over the party. This would mean the loss not only of the current election but many other future ones (think George McGovern, only worse).. Ask Jeremy Corbyn how this works.

    Black Death

    February 3, 2020 at 11:38 AM

    • The Democratic establishment hates Bernie’s economic policies. There are no real leftists among American elites. They all believe in free markets and meritocracy. Elite Democrats are more willing to provide welfare and social giveaways to the poor, true, but they usually want to tax rich Republicans (oil and gas industries, hedge funds, cut corporate welfare, etc.) to find that money. Bernie would tax all the wealthy. The Republican elite hated Trump because they thought he was going to be the combination of social conservative but economic leftist all the elites are terrified of. Trump has proved to be a protectionist and a deficit spender, true, but his tax and regulatory policies are mainstream GOP, which has won him a lot of goodwill with the elites. He has also shoveled money into areas the Republicans (and a lot of Democratic elites) like wasting taxpayer money on – military defense complex, homeland security, agricultural subsidies and resource extraction. Every politician knows – if you give a poor person money, he may vote for you. If you give a rich person money, he will pay you enough money to get 1000 poor people to vote for you.

      Peter Akuleyev

      February 4, 2020 at 1:20 AM

  3. If they were honest, the Democrat establishment would say something like “yeah we agree with Bernie on all of it: higher taxes, open borders, free medical for everybody (illegals included), free college, abolishing ICE, even censorship of unpopular political views. But for God’s sake, we can’t say that out loud, the voters aren’t ready yet.”

    As an aside, I don’t understand why they’re pushing for cancellation of the all student loan debt. Wouldn’t the same be accomplished by changing the law to allow those debts to be treated like any other, and be dischargeable through a bankruptcy filing?

    Sgt. Joe Friday

    February 3, 2020 at 11:41 AM

    • Yes, changing bankruptcy laws would be a better way to go, it would let people who are struggling get out, but not unfairly reward people who aren’t struggling.

      Lion of the Blogosphere

      February 3, 2020 at 11:53 AM

      • Cancelling school loan debt makes school a “free” government handout, which is what the parasites and commies of the Democratic Party want, and part of their government-runs-economy-and-society agenda. People going bankrupt is more like an escape hatch for people who have blundered—people with school debt don’t want to admit any responsibility, they are confident they deserve free schooling (and free everything else.)

        Gozo

        February 3, 2020 at 5:27 PM

    • Make students loans cancellable in bankruptcy, and no one is going to issue new loans for crap degrees and for crap schools. Then the NAMs will scream.

      GMR

      February 3, 2020 at 12:51 PM

      • Uncle Stupid (I.E. you) is the one backing the loans. So there can be no discrimination based on usefulness of degree.

        Some Guy

        February 3, 2020 at 1:23 PM

      • You make the loan dischargeable and then you seize university assets to make the government whole. This includes endowments, pensions and real estate.

        map

        February 4, 2020 at 2:23 AM

  4. Bernie is surging at exactly the right time. If he wins Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada they will not be able to stop him. The Dem establishment would rather have Bernie face Trump and lose. They know that this time around if they screw him the base will go ape shit and possibly mount a 3rd party candidate. What they are really afraid of is that Bernie getting the nomination will cause a bloodbath in the next congressional election and cost them the house. I believe that is exactly what will happen. Trump will both win the general election and win back the house. Then with the grave of God we get the Goodlatte Bill and merit based immigration.

    B.T.D.T.

    February 3, 2020 at 1:41 PM

  5. Black and hispanic voters still find Bernie very boring.

    Camlost

    February 3, 2020 at 2:14 PM

  6. The conventional wisdom is that the DNC likes what Bernie stands for but they fear him because he will not only lose the general election, he would cause Democrats to lose down ballot as well. I have the opposite opinion. I think the DNC believes Bernie could win and that’s what scares them because they do not like his ideas.

    18 (or 19 I forgot which) of the 20 wealthiest voting districts voted for Hillary over Trump. There are lots of rich Democrats and the DNC is looking out for them. Democrats are supposed to focus on things like identity politics. You can talk about how you support the poor on the campaign trail but you aren’t supposed to actually do anything about it. The DNC fears Sanders because his speeches aren’t just political rhetoric, he believes what he says.

    Jay Fink

    February 3, 2020 at 3:06 PM

    • Certainly what I’m seeing from Bernie supporters on Twitter is that they think the Democratic party isn’t nearly liberal enough, in fact that it’s not liberal at all, it’s right-wing (the party of “corporate interests”) so they think Bernie is a well-deserved threat to that. However, as I keep pointing out, Bernie also now is a true believer in all the identity politics stuff, and the Bernie supporters on Twitter are also routinely praising him for being the best candidate on “racial justice” and LGBTQ rights and all the other woke SJW crap.

      Hermes

      February 3, 2020 at 4:36 PM

      • Bernie also now is a true believer in all the identity politics stuff

        As a socialist he sees class as more important than race or sex. He is probably not a true believer, but he wouldn’t have come this far if he weren’t a politician and ready to compromise his beliefs in exchange for power.

        Peter Akuleyev

        February 4, 2020 at 1:31 AM

      • The D party is the party of the very rich and the very poor. Basically, the old communist identity of hating the bourgeoisie (the middle class.)

        map

        February 4, 2020 at 2:35 AM

      • “However, as I keep pointing out, Bernie also now is a true believer in all the identity politics stuff, and the Bernie supporters on Twitter are also routinely praising him for being the best candidate on “racial justice” and LGBTQ rights and all the other woke SJW crap.”

        Yes, the D party is an anti-white party.

        map

        February 4, 2020 at 2:36 AM

    • You are correct. Beginning with Clinton, and accelerating rapidly under Trump, the Democrats have become the party of the educated upper middle class. There are a lot of suburban professionals who used to vote Republican to keep their taxes low but because of the GOPs allegiance with evangelists, rural gun enthusiasts, and “old fashioned” social values, began moving to the Democrats. Trump has made the realignment almost complete. Bernie is a 1970s Democrat and appeals to exactly the sort of working class union man the Democrats were trying to leave behind. Bernie is also precisely the sort of “hippie” Democrat suburban whom professionals used to dislike in the Reagan era.

      Peter Akuleyev

      February 4, 2020 at 1:29 AM

  7. Wait, what? Alfred E Newman won??

    peterike

    February 3, 2020 at 10:00 PM


Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: