Lion of the Blogosphere

Archive for the ‘Weather’ Category

Long range weather update 12/29 for NYC

Rain on the evening of New Year’s Eve, ending early New Year’s Day morning.

No longer see any rain for next Friday 1/4. No rain or snow between New Year’s Day and Tuesday 1/8.

Saturday 1/5 will be cold.

Major winter storm with significant snowfall looking more likely for Tuesday 1/8 into Wednesday 1/9.

Another major winter storm possibility on Saturday 1/12 into Sunday 1/13.

* * *

I will be writing a second post on the Star Trek episode “Who Mourns for Adonais?”

ALSO, I sincerely intend to finish reviewing the Lord of the Rings, and will let you know when I write about another chapter.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

December 29, 2018 at EST pm

Posted in Weather

Lion’s long range weather forecast for NYC, 12/28/2018

Rain on New Year’s Eve evening ending early on New Year’s Day morning.

Possibly some rain late Friday 1/4 and early Saturday 1/5.

Unseasonably warm weather on Sunday 1/6.

Possibly rain on Tuesday 1/8, turning into snow at the tail end. This event has the most potential for a plowable snow accumulation (let’s say 6 inches at the most), but I think it’s mostly rain.

Possibly light rain or snow on Friday 1/11.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

December 28, 2018 at EST pm

Posted in Weather

NYC weather forecast 12/21/2018

Rain today.

Possibility of some snow flurries early Christmas Eve morning, but no snow accumulation.

Rain later in the week after Christmas (Thursday evening through Friday morning).

Possibility of major winter storm on New Year’s Eve.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

December 21, 2018 at EST am

Posted in Weather

Green Christmas NYC weather forecast

Weather forecast remains unchanged since my last forecast on Saturday.

A Nor’easter type storm will pass through New York City, peaking in intensity early Friday morning, bringing approximately 1.5 inches of rain. It will be far too warm for any of it to be snow.

Don’t see any snowstorm happening after that. There’s a possibility of New Year’s Day Nor’easter, but that’s too far in the future to say anything else than that.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

December 18, 2018 at EST pm

Posted in Weather

Heat Miser says “green Christmas”

This guy must have been reading my blog! He has intervened and canceled out my previous forecast. He hates snow and doesn’t want any of the gentile boys and girls to have a white Christmas.

After a warmy and rainy Nor’easter passes through New York City early Friday, December 21, there will be no frigid cold and no snow, through Christmas.

The week between Christmas and New Year’s still holds the potential for a snowstorm.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

December 15, 2018 at EST am

Posted in Music videos, Weather

White Christmas weather forecast for NYC

On Sunday, December 23, an Alberta Clipper will drop several inches of snow on New York City, and bring in frigid air behind it, ensuring that there will still be snow on the ground on Christmas Day. Something which doesn’t often happen in New York City.

The goyim will be happy!

* * *

Long-range weather forecasts are often wrong, so no guarantees it will pan out that way.

* * *

Even more long-range, possibility of a Nor’easter between Christmas and New Year’s.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

December 14, 2018 at EST pm

Posted in Weather

Bill de Blasio should read my blog

NY Times says

Leaders in New York and New Jersey said they were caught off guard by the ferocity of the storm after early forecasts predicted a light dusting.

The day before the storm I wrote:

The NAM* predicts 6 inches of snow for New York City and more than a foot for Pennsylvania and upstate New York.

Final result: National Weather Service reports exactly 6 inches of snow fell in Central Park.

Why can’t this moron mayor just read my blog for information?

* * *

*The NAM is the National Mesoscale model, which along with the GFS (Global Forecasting System), is one of the two major computer weather forecasting models run by the National Weather Service.

There are other models out there, some think the European Model is better, but information from the GFS and the NAM runs are easily available to the public for free, plus there’s the fact that the NAM was specifically designed for short-term forecasting in the United States. The NAM used to be considered kind of a joke, but the National Weather Service has improved it a lot, and with its big success with yesterday’s storm, I say to look to the NAM first for winter weather forecasting.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

November 16, 2018 at EST pm

Posted in New York City, Weather

The NAM was right

Yesterday I said that the NAM predicted snow while the GFS predicted rain.

Looks like the NAM was right, heavy snow falling in NYC. According to the National Weather Service, it is coming down at a rate of 1 to 2 inches per hour. Must be global cooling!

HOWEVER, nothing is sticking to the streets in Manhattan at this time. (So I guess there’s a philosophical question here. Were there really several inches of snow if all of the snow melted after it landed on the ground? I would further say that you don’t see the ground in Manhattan become white with snow unless the temperature is in the 20s when the snow is falling.)

4:27 PM update: Snow is starting to stick to the roads and sidewalks in Manhattan!

4:51 PM update: It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas!

5:55 PM update: there’s some serious snow on the ground in Manhattan!

FINAL UPDATE: Officially (according to the National Weather Service) there were 6 inches of snow in Central Park, but I didn’t see that much on the streets. The temperature is currently 39, so it should be melting.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

November 15, 2018 at EST pm

Posted in Weather

Winter may be coming

The NAM predicts 6 inches of snow for New York City and more than a foot for Pennsylvania and upstate New York.

But the GFS has only some mixing in New York City, and only 6 inches in places where the NAM predicts a foot.

If the NAM forecast pans out, it will be the biggest snowstorm of my lifetime to happen so early in November (from a New York City perspective).

It must be the lack of sunspots.

Even though the NAM had a better track record for winter storms last year than the GFS, Bayesian logic would lead me to bet that the GFS is more likely to be correct.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

November 14, 2018 at EST pm

Posted in Weather

Hurricane Michael update

2:29 PM Tuesday

Predicted to strengthen to a strong category 3 before making landfall, which means the wind damage will be much more extensive than we had with Florence which weakened before making landfall.

Landfall late tomorrow afternoon, near Panama City, Florida. 200,000 people live in the Panama City metropolitan area, which is nothing compared to the six million who live in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach metropolitan area. One day a major hurricane will land there and there will be massive economic damage.

9:28 AM Wednesday

Will make landfall shortly after 2 PM, east of Panama City, as a Category 4.

Written by Lion of the Blogosphere

October 9, 2018 at EST pm

Posted in Weather

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