Online polls and Trump
There’s an article in today’s NY Times about online polls.
Trump does a lot better in online polls compared to telephone polls. But Trump is the only candidate who is affected by the method of the poll. The theory posited in the article is that respondents are embarrassed to tell a human about their support for Trump because it’s politically incorrect. If that’s the case, then the online polls will more accurately predict private voting-booth behavior, although embarrassment about supporting Trump could hurt him in the non-private Iowa caucuses.